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Kentucky vs. Missouri odds, betting trends, expert picks and predictions

Breaking down Cats vs. Tigers with predictions.

LA Monroe v Kentucky Photo by Andy Lyons/Getty Images

What an opening day it was for the Kentucky Wildcats football program and their 2021 season.

A new quarterback showed flashes of Tim Couch, Chris Rodriguez gave us his Benny Snell impression, and the defense smothered Louisiana Monroe for 60 minutes. With all due respect to the Warhawks, this week’s opponent — Missouri — is an entirely different playing field.

All Southeastern Conference games are a battle (unless you’re Alabama), and these Tigers shouldn’t be taken lightly. Kentucky and Missouri are set to kick off Saturday night at 7:30 pm ET. Catch the game LIVE at Kroger Field or on the SEC Network.

Odds

After opening as -3.5 point favorites, Kentucky is a -5 point favorite as of Friday afternoon. The over under opened at 52.5 and has been steamed to 56. ESPN’s Football Power Index is giving Kentucky a 69.1% to 30.9% edge at victory.

Betting Trends

Kentucky

  • The total has gone OVER in 4 of Kentucky’s last 6 games.
  • Kentucky is 4-2 SU in their last 6 games.
  • The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Kentucky’s last 7 games against Missouri.
  • Kentucky is 11-2 ATS in their last 13 games at home.
  • The total has gone UNDER in 12 of Kentucky’s last 17 games against an opponent in the Southeastern conference.
  • The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Kentucky’s last 6 games against an opponent in the East Division division.
  • Kentucky is 1-4 SU in their last 5 games played in September dating back to 2019.
  • Kentucky is 13-1 SU in their last 14 games played in Week 2.
  • Kentucky is 10-5 ATS in their last 15 games when playing as the favorite.

Missouri

  • Missouri is 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games.
  • The total has gone UNDER in 12 of Missouri’s last 17 games.
  • Missouri is 6-3 SU in their last 9 games.
  • Missouri is 2-4 ATS in their last 6 games against Kentucky.
  • Missouri is 1-5 SU in their last 6 games against Kentucky.
  • Missouri is 1-7 ATS in their last 8 games on the road.
  • Missouri is 5-12 ATS in their last 17 games against an opponent in the Southeastern conference.
  • The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Missouri’s last 6 games against an opponent in the East Division division.
  • The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Missouri’s last 5 games played in September.
  • Missouri is 6-1 SU in their last 7 games played in week 2.

Expert Picks

Prediction

Missouri running back Tyler Badie had a field day against Central Michigan last week, rushing 25 times for 203 yards. Connor Bazelak also had a solid afternoon, completing 21 of his 32 attempts for 257 yards and two touchdowns. Needless to say, the smothering Kentucky defense you saw last week will be asked to rise up to the challenge.

Good news for Kentucky is the defense shouldn’t have to do it all alone. Transfer quarterback Will Levis put on a clinic, airing it out to Josh Ali and Wan’Dale Robinson. Chris Rodriguez was able to run through a much less-crowded box and Kentucky’s offensive line punished UL Monroe in the trenches.

The energy Saturday night at Kroger Field will have all of Lexington buzzing. With home field an advantage this year, along with Kentucky now able to rely on an offense that can score points quickly, the Wildcats shouldn’t have much trouble pulling out a victory.

Final Score: Kentucky 31, Missouri 20