clock menu more-arrow no yes

Filed under:

Kentucky at Auburn: Odds, betting trends, expert picks and predictions

The Tigers are the trendy pick, but these Cats have the potential for a special season.

Kentucky Wildcats v Auburn Tigers Photo by Chris Graythen/Getty Images

So much uncertainty, so many emotions swirling around when the 2020 college football season will finally begin. While Austin Peay and Central Arizona officially kicked off the fall slate back in late August, the SEC is just now getting underway for an all-conference schedule.

Head coach Mark Stoops and his No. 23 Wildcats will travel to Auburn, AL where they’ll begin their season against a Tiger team that’s currently ranked No. 8 in the country. The Wildcats’ quarterback, Terry Wilson, will start his first game in over a year due to injury, and the offense will see a few new faces emerge, while the defense has a strong chance to be the best unit to ever suit up during the Stoops era (yes, even better than 2018).

Per ESPN’s Football Power Index, Kentucky only has a 15.1% chance if victory at Auburn. As 7.5-point underdogs, Kentucky is technically the “sharp side.” According to pregame.com, only 42% of tickets are being placed on Kentucky but the Wildcats are receiving 68% of the money placed.

Kentucky returns several high-quality players, but also lost some to the NFL earlier this spring. Good news for the Wildcats is their won’t necessarily be that great of a home advantage for the Tigers, making life slightly easier for Stoops and his guys.

Betting Trends

Kentucky Wildcats

  • Kentucky is 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games.
  • The total has gone OVER in 4 of Kentucky’s last 5 games.
  • Kentucky is 5-1 SU in their last 6 games.
  • Kentucky is 1-4 SU in their last 5 games against Auburn.
  • The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Kentucky’s last 9 games on the road.
  • The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Kentucky’s last 7 games against an opponent in the Southeastern conference.
  • Kentucky is 12-4 SU in their last 16 games played in September.
  • Kentucky is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games played in week 4.
  • Kentucky is 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games played on a Saturday.

Auburn Tigers

  • Auburn is 10-4 ATS in their last 14 games.
  • The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Auburn’s last 6 games.
  • Auburn is 10-4 SU in their last 14 games.
  • The total has gone OVER in 4 of Auburn’s last 5 games against Kentucky.
  • Auburn is 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games at home.
  • The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Auburn’s last 6 games against an opponent in the Southeastern conference.
  • Auburn is 6-0 SU in their last 6 games played in September.
  • Auburn is 5-1 SU in their last 6 games played in week 4.
  • The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Auburn’s last 5 games played on a Saturday.
  • Auburn is 10-3 ATS in their last 13 games when playing as the favorite.

Expert Picks

Per CBS Sports, David Cobb is their only expert siding with Kentucky. Barrett Sallee, Ben Kercheval, Chip Patterson, Dennis Dodd, Jerry Palm and Tom Fornelli are all picking Auburn to win. As far as the spread, Cobb is joined by Kercheval, Palm, Patterson and Sallee as far as experts siding with Kentucky’s 7.5 points.

Steven Lassan of Athlon Sports is also siding with Kentucky on the spread, but is picking Auburn to win a 27-24 game.

Pete Fiutak has a slightly lower scoring affair, predicting 23-17 in favor of Auburn.

Michael Jenkins with Covers is following suit, going on record that Kentucky +7.5 is the side to bet on.

James Kratch of NJ.com is picking the Wildcats to win.

Prediction

Kentucky seems to have quite a large amount of upside. However, Auburn has quite a few star athletes and real football players, too. While this game could very well produce some offensive highlights, their defenses will most likely play a significant role in the outcome. You can feel confident in Kentucky covering their +7.5 point spread, but winning straight up against a top-10 team like Auburn will certainly be tough. Technically it’s doable, but will indeed be quite the challenge for Kentucky quarterback Terry Wilson and company.

Auburn 23, Kentucky 20