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Which weeks of the season does Kentucky most often win and lose?

They often start hot and end hot but sag in the middle

NCAA Football: Louisville at Kentucky Mark Zerof-USA TODAY Sports

Good day, BBN!

Today we’re going to look at which weeks Kentucky wins the most games, and which ones they lose the most games, (almost) regardless of who they’re playing. We’ll look at the past four seasons for our data, and disregarding byes:

  • Week 1: 3-1
  • Week 2: 3-1
  • Week 3: 3-1
  • Week 4: 2-2
  • Week 5: 2-2
  • Week 6: 3-1
  • Week 7: 2-2
  • Week 8: 4-0
  • Week 9: 0-4
  • Week 10: 2-2
  • Week 11: 3-1
  • Week 12: 3-1
  • Bowl Game: 2-2

It looks like that, on average, Kentucky does well during the first 3 games of the season, struggles, bounces back, rocks Week 8, slumps, and rides out on top. Now let’s put these averages into the 2020 schedule:

  • Auburn Week 1: W
  • Ole Miss Week 2: W
  • Mississippi St. Week 3: W
  • Tennessee Week 4: Toss-up
  • Georgia Week 5: Toss-up
  • Missouri Week 6: W
  • Vanderbilt Week 7: Toss-up
  • Alabama Week 8: W
  • Florida Week 9: L
  • South Carolina Week 10: Toss-up
  • Bowl Game: Toss-up

Obviously Weeks 11 and 12 aren’t included, but aside from calling Vandy a toss-up (those days are mercifully behind us!) and @ Alabama a guaranteed win (those days never came at all), this looks eerily like many people are predicting the ‘Cats for. I think they will win the first three games, lose to either Georgia or Tennessee (but not both), whip Mizzou and Vandy, and win one or two of the final three games. That makes them either 7-3 or 8-2. A hot start will be crucial to the team’s success this year, but thankfully that is now the norm with Mark Stoops, as recent history shows.

But, history also says the 8th game is a guaranteed win. Will they make it five 8th game wins in a row? I wouldn’t put it past them.

Go ‘Cats!