Just like last week, this is the log5 predictor for the NCAA Tournament, and again, UK is a huge favorite. I realize 33% isn't 76%, but the NCAA tournament is six rounds, not four, and, at any rate, a one-in-three chance of doing something that hasn't been done in almost forty years is pretty impressive, anyway. As always, enjoy if you want. Also, thanks everyone for the positive feedback from last week. It's a pleasure to be part of this community.
Midwest | Second Round | Sweet Sixteen | Elite Eight | Final Four | Finals | Champion | |
1 | Kentucky | 97.92% | 89.71% | 81.41% | 67.94% | 45.94% | 33.69% |
2 | Kansas | 83.63% | 48.58% | 26.91% | 7.43% | 2.52% | 0.99% |
3 | Notre Dame | 87.54% | 53.78% | 29.36% | 8.21% | 2.82% | 1.12% |
4 | Maryland | 61.77% | 30.98% | 4.39% | 1.55% | 0.32% | 0.08% |
5 | West Virginia | 62.80% | 37.08% | 6.01% | 2.39% | 0.56% | 0.15% |
6 | Butler | 47.80% | 20.50% | 8.68% | 1.78% | 0.44% | 0.13% |
7 | Wichita State | 73.17% | 39.26% | 20.99% | 5.53% | 1.78% | 0.67% |
8 | Cincinnati | 56.58% | 6.09% | 3.08% | 1.07% | 0.21% | 0.05% |
9 | Purdue | 43.42% | 3.78% | 1.67% | 0.49% | 0.08% | 0.02% |
10 | Indiana | 26.83% | 8.45% | 2.55% | 0.35% | 0.06% | 0.01% |
11 | Texas | 52.20% | 23.42% | 10.40% | 2.25% | 0.59% | 0.18% |
12 | Buffalo | 37.20% | 17.20% | 1.90% | 0.54% | 0.09% | 0.02% |
13 | Valparaiso | 38.23% | 14.74% | 1.46% | 0.37% | 0.05% | 0.01% |
14 | Northeastern | 12.46% | 2.30% | 0.36% | 0.03% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
15 | New Mexico St. | 16.37% | 3.71% | 0.75% | 0.07% | 0.01% | 0.00% |
16 | Hampton | 0.28% | 0.03% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
16 | Manhattan | 1.80% | 0.40% | 0.08% | 0.01% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
West | Second Round | Sweet Sixteen | Elite Eight | Final Four | Finals | Champion | |
1 | Wisconsin | 95.56% | 81.90% | 64.45% | 36.51% | 17.51% | 10.56% |
2 | Arizona | 97.70% | 81.33% | 65.82% | 42.07% | 21.73% | 13.97% |
3 | Baylor | 77.25% | 49.50% | 15.36% | 5.92% | 1.70% | 0.63% |
4 | North Carolina | 79.30% | 54.33% | 18.84% | 6.58% | 1.86% | 0.69% |
5 | Arkansas | 73.09% | 31.65% | 7.84% | 1.95% | 0.39% | 0.10% |
6 | Xavier | 55.24% | 24.68% | 5.53% | 1.60% | 0.33% | 0.09% |
7 | VCU | 44.39% | 7.42% | 3.27% | 0.89% | 0.17% | 0.04% |
8 | Oregon | 47.30% | 7.77% | 3.01% | 0.61% | 0.10% | 0.02% |
9 | Oklahoma State | 52.70% | 9.36% | 3.85% | 0.84% | 0.14% | 0.03% |
10 | Ohio State | 55.61% | 11.01% | 5.45% | 1.71% | 0.39% | 0.12% |
11 | BYU | 27.03% | 11.49% | 2.41% | 0.65% | 0.13% | 0.03% |
11 | Ole Miss | 17.73% | 6.47% | 1.11% | 0.25% | 0.04% | 0.01% |
12 | Wofford | 26.91% | 6.24% | 0.75% | 0.09% | 0.01% | 0.00% |
13 | Harvard | 20.70% | 7.78% | 1.10% | 0.15% | 0.02% | 0.00% |
14 | Georgia State | 22.75% | 7.86% | 1.02% | 0.18% | 0.02% | 0.00% |
15 | Texas Southern | 2.30% | 0.24% | 0.02% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
16 | Coastal Carolina | 4.44% | 0.97% | 0.16% | 0.01% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
East | Second Round | Sweet Sixteen | Elite Eight | Final Four | Finals | Champion | |
1 | Villanova | 96.75% | 81.55% | 60.18% | 35.85% | 22.99% | 9.96% |
2 | Virginia | 95.25% | 75.37% | 55.82% | 33.82% | 21.98% | 9.72% |
3 | Oklahoma | 89.09% | 61.23% | 24.27% | 10.43% | 4.90% | 1.38% |
4 | Louisville | 78.70% | 37.33% | 11.68% | 3.93% | 1.46% | 0.30% |
5 | UNI | 84.89% | 54.15% | 20.63% | 8.44% | 3.79% | 1.00% |
6 | Providence | 56.68% | 22.03% | 5.77% | 1.66% | 0.53% | 0.09% |
7 | Michigan State | 61.72% | 16.50% | 7.96% | 2.73% | 1.03% | 0.22% |
8 | NC State | 51.68% | 9.50% | 3.47% | 0.84% | 0.23% | 0.03% |
9 | LSU | 48.32% | 8.45% | 2.96% | 0.69% | 0.18% | 0.02% |
10 | Georgia | 38.28% | 7.35% | 2.73% | 0.69% | 0.19% | 0.03% |
11 | Boise State | 21.56% | 7.22% | 1.58% | 0.38% | 0.10% | 0.01% |
11 | Dayton | 21.76% | 7.19% | 1.55% | 0.37% | 0.10% | 0.01% |
12 | Wyoming | 15.11% | 3.92% | 0.46% | 0.06% | 0.01% | 0.00% |
13 | UC Irvine | 21.30% | 4.60% | 0.57% | 0.07% | 0.01% | 0.00% |
14 | Albany | 10.91% | 2.33% | 0.20% | 0.02% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
15 | Belmont | 4.75% | 0.78% | 0.11% | 0.01% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
16 | Lafayette | 3.25% | 0.50% | 0.05% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
South | Second Round | Sweet Sixteen | Elite Eight | Final Four | Finals | Champion | |
1 | Duke | 92.99% | 70.77% | 45.04% | 26.18% | 12.53% | 4.43% |
2 | Gonzaga | 93.83% | 70.49% | 48.68% | 29.06% | 14.47% | 5.37% |
3 | Iowa State | 86.46% | 53.87% | 23.82% | 10.99% | 4.02% | 1.04% |
4 | Georgetown | 83.57% | 33.73% | 12.80% | 4.85% | 1.40% | 0.28% |
5 | Utah | 73.96% | 51.99% | 27.72% | 14.86% | 6.44% | 2.02% |
6 | SMU | 62.47% | 29.69% | 11.01% | 4.26% | 1.28% | 0.26% |
7 | Iowa | 55.28% | 16.70% | 7.59% | 2.74% | 0.76% | 0.14% |
8 | San Diego State | 57.73% | 17.41% | 6.89% | 2.36% | 0.61% | 0.11% |
9 | St. John's | 42.27% | 10.41% | 3.41% | 0.95% | 0.20% | 0.03% |
10 | Davidson | 44.72% | 11.78% | 4.76% | 1.50% | 0.36% | 0.06% |
11 | UCLA | 37.53% | 13.60% | 3.65% | 1.02% | 0.21% | 0.03% |
12 | S.F. Austin | 26.04% | 12.22% | 3.70% | 1.11% | 0.25% | 0.04% |
13 | Eastern Washington | 16.43% | 2.06% | 0.24% | 0.03% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
14 | UAB | 13.54% | 2.84% | 0.35% | 0.04% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
15 | North Dakota State | 6.17% | 1.03% | 0.14% | 0.01% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
16 | North Florida | 4.97% | 1.10% | 0.16% | 0.02% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
16 | Robert Morris | 2.03% | 0.31% | 0.03% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |