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Long Beach St. 49ers @ Kentucky Wildcats: Pre-game

By Glenn Logan

Today at the unusual time of 1:00 PM, the Long Beach St. 49ers of the Big West conference make the long trek from Long Beach, California to the Bluegrass to take on the Kentucky Wildcats.

Here are the particulars of the 49ers season so far:

Rank and Records LBSU UK
RPI #47 #12
Strength of Schedule #21 #156
Overall 6-5 12-0
Conference 0-0 0-0
Home 3-0 7-0
Away 2-3 1-0
Neutral 1-2 4-0
Top 25 0-3 2-0
RPI Top 50 1-3 2-0

The 49ers' notable games so far have been defeats at the hands of the Notre Dame Fighting Irish, the West Virgina Mountaineers, the Clemson Tigers, and the Texas Longhorns.  Long Beach St. does have one significant win, over the UCLA Bruins on a neutral floor.

The 49ers have won three of their last five games, and come into Rupp Arena off a loss at the Loyola Marymount Lions.  The 'Cats are giving up about 20 points in this game, for those who care about such things.

The Long Beach St. Roster

Long Beach St. 49ers Basketball Roster

# Pos. Comments W H College
Larry Anderson 21 G Starter/Major contributor 200 6-5 sophomore
Lin Chang 11 F - 235 6-9 sophomore
Andrew Fleming 50 C - 290 7-0 senior
Stephan Gilling 33 G Starter/Role Player 205 6-2 senior
Jerramy King 20 G - 170 5-11 freshman
Arturas Lazdauskas 10 F - 239 6-7 senior
Jules Montgomery 1 F - 195 6-9 freshman
Brandon Nevens 5 G - 210 6-3 senior
Eugene Phelps 2 F Starter/Role Player 213 6-6 sophomore
Greg Plater 3 G Role player 165 6-1 junior
Kyle Richardson 34 F Role player 222 6-7 freshman
T.J. Robinson 15 F Starter/Significant contributor 210 6-8 sophomore
Sean Starkey 23 G - 185 6-4 junior
Mike Vantrimpont 14 C - 220 7-0 freshman
Casper Ware 22 G Starter/ Major contributor 175 5-10 sophomore
Tristan Wilson 32 G - 203 6-5 junior
Jesse Woodard 24 G Role player 193 6-1 sophomore


Long Beach St. Team Statistics

FG 3PT FT Rebounds Misc
G M M A Pct M A Pct M A Pct Off Def Tot Ast TO Stl Blk PF PPG
T.J. Robinson 11 33.6 6.2 10.6 58.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 4.6 7.6 60.7 2.7 8.0 10.7 0.6 2.7 0.6 0.2 2.1 17.0
Larry Anderson 11 32.5 4.1 9.5 42.9 0.6 2.3 28.0 4.0 6.0 66.7 1.8 2.0 3.8 3.9 3.5 2.4 0.5 1.5 12.8
Stephan Gilling 11 29.4 4.5 10.4 43.0 3.5 7.8 45.3 0.4 0.7 50.0 0.5 1.0 1.5 0.9 0.8 0.8 0.1 2.3 12.8
Casper Ware 11 32.0 3.8 9.6 39.6 1.2 2.6 44.8 3.4 4.8 69.8 0.5 2.3 2.8 5.6 3.6 1.9 0.0 2.5 12.2
Eugene Phelps 11 28.5 3.6 6.1 59.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.6 2.9 56.3 3.4 3.6 7.0 1.0 1.8 0.8 0.5 3.3 8.9
Greg Plater 11 20.7 3.3 7.7 42.4 1.8 5.4 33.9 0.5 0.6 71.4 0.4 1.8 2.2 1.5 1.2 0.8 0.3 1.4 8.8
Jesse Woodard 7 9.1 0.6 2.1 26.7 0.1 1.0 14.3 0.7 0.9 83.3 0.0 0.6 0.6 0.7 0.9 0.0 0.1 1.1 2.0
Arturas Lazdauskas 6 10.2 0.8 1.3 62.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.3 100.0 0.8 1.2 2.0 0.7 0.2 0.2 0.3 2.2 2.0
Kyle Richardson 9 6.2 0.4 1.0 44.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.6 1.0 55.6 0.6 0.3 0.9 0.2 0.6 0.2 0.0 0.7 1.4
Mike Vantrimpont 4 2.5 0.3 0.3 100.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.0 0.3 0.3 0.5
Andrew Fleming 9 4.7 0.1 0.4 25.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.4 0.0 0.3 1.0 1.3 0.0 0.3 0.0 0.4 0.9 0.2
Lin Chang 7 4.6 0.0 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.4 0.7 1.1 0.1 0.3 0.0 0.1 1.1 0.0
Jerramy King 5 3.0 0.0 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.2 0.6 0.0 0.2 0.0


Four Factors Analysis (from Kenpom.com)


 Kentucky Long Beach St.
Category Offense Defense Offense Defense D-I Avg
Adj. Efficiency: 116.4 [15] 91.1 [48] 107.6 [77] 95.4 [98] 100.0
Adj. Tempo: 69.0 [160] 68.6 71.1 [77] 68.6
Four Factors
Effective FG%: 55.5 [21] 44.3 [51] 50.8 [111] 52.4 [274] 48.9
Turnover %: 23.3 [276] 20.5 [188] 21.3 [186] 19.1 [264] 21.0
Off. Reb. %: 45.9 [1] 30.4 [86] 30.8 [241] 34.3 [220] 33.0
FTA/FGA: 40.7 [100] 27.3 [28] 42.2 [79] 27.4 [29] 37.4
Miscellaneous Components
3P%: 42.1 [14] 35.4 [214] 36.3 [115] 30.5 [59] 34.2
2P%: 52.9 [46] 39.3 [9] 49.1 [127] 55.3 [322] 47.7
FT%: 69.9 [128] 67.3 [140] 65.6 [247] 67.9 [153] 68.4
Block%: 7.9 [108] 20.7 [3] 8.3 [128] 5.3 [303] 9.2
Steal%: 11.0 [252] 10.3 [139] 9.8 [168] 9.6 [181] 10.0
Style Components
3PA/FGA: 26.0 [294] 36.2 [272] 31.4 [196] 30.5 [116] 32.6
A/FGM: 55.1 [147] 53.3 [165] 52.6 [192] 54.4 [198] 53.8
Defensive Fingerprint: Inconclusive
Inconclusive
Point Distribution (% of total points)
3-Pointers: 23.5 [248] 35.9 [18] 26.4 [179] 22.6 [294] 27.2
2-Pointers: 56.1 [88] 46.9 [307] 52.2 [177] 62.3 [8] 52.1
Free Throws: 20.4 [179] 17.2 [296] 21.4 [138] 15.1 [328] 20.7
Strength of Schedule
Components: 99.7 [212] 100.8 [208] 112.3 [2] 95.5 [19] 100.0
Overall: 0.4700 [216] .5000 0.8658 [2] .5000
Non-conference: 0.4700 [227] .5000 0.8658 [3] .5000
Personnel
Bench Minutes: 27.3% [279] 32.1% 21.6% [336] 32.1%
Experience: 0.92 yrs [332] 1.69 1.47 yrs [245] 1.69
Effective Height: +2.5 [31] 0.0 -1.3 [259] 0.0
Average Height: 78.7" [8] 76.6" 75.6" [295] 76.6"

 

Analysis

The 49ers have played a very tough schedule, and have given a good account of themselves in most of them.  Ken Pomeroy's site has the 49ers ranked at #80, which is by far the best team Kentucky has played since UConn.

Long Beach St. takes good care of the basketball, and they get to the line a lot.  As with most teams that UK has played this year, they are much smaller than Kentucky.  Like Kentucky, they are a young team, starting only one senior and four sophomores.

Like Kentucky, Long Beach St. likes to get up and down the floor, although their pace numbers are slightly lower than that of the Wildcats.  They shoot the three-point shot adequately, but they defend it remarkably well, holding opponents to around 30% from the arc.  The 49ers take more shots from the arc than UK does, which is as you would expect for a team like this.

Overall, Kentucky's size and skill should be too much for them, but don't look for the Wildcats to run over the 49ers like they did the Drexel Dragons.  This team can play, and they are capable of pulling the upset.

Projected score:  UK 80, Long Beach St. 64.

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