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Kentucky at Tennessee -- Statistical Comparison

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Here is the statistical comparison between Kentucky and Tennessee.

You may have believed that Tennessee is statistically a much better team than Kentucky.  You would be wrong.  The fact is, thanks to the Cats' excellent play in conference, when you look at these statistics you will not cringe in horror.  Kentucky is a much better defensive team than UT, and UT is not that much better offensively than Kentucky.  But many of these statistics are somewhat distorted due to the pace that Tennessee plays at, which is the fastest in the entire SEC.

You may not have noticed in all the hoopla surrounding Patterson's injury, but as the week has progressed, Kentucky has steadily risen in the RPI and now stands at #57.  Win or lose at Tennessee, UK's SOS and RPI will increase even further.  The problem is that Patterson is responsible for a lot of our improved play, and to imagine that UK will be able to come in, plug in one or two other players and replace him is likely to be fantasy.  But that is a story more for the Adversary Analysis than this statistical look.

There are two clear advantages that Tennessee has over the Cats, statistics-wise.  One is their passing -- they are among the most unselfish teams in the conference.  Second is their defensive 3-point percentage, which is tops in the conference and sixth in the entire land.  They are great at defending the three, so we can hardly expect our two senior guards to shoot Kentucky into the game from the outside.

I'll have a more in-depth look at the game in my adversary analysis.  For more on the Tennessee Volulnteers, you can take a visit to our SBNation brothers at Rocky Top Talk.

Thanks again to Statsheet.com and Basketball State for the statistical data.


Statistic UK UT Comments
Overall 16-10 25-3
Conference 10-3 11-2
Home 13-4 14-0 Tough team to beat at home.
Away 3-5 9-2 UK isn't the greatest road team.
Top 25 2-3 3-2 Surprisingly close
RPI Top 50 5-4 8-2 Not close
Ranking NR 1 Not even close
RPI 57 1 What a jump by UK!
SOS 14 2 Pretty close

Overall Conf. Only
National rankings UK UT UK UT Comments
FG% 55 116 3 4 Cats shoot it better overall
2 pt FG% 63 87 8 9 Advantage UK
3 pt FG% 136 146 2 1 Slight advantage UT
Possessions 216 24 12 1 Fastest team in the conference.
Offensive Pts/Possession 143 17 7 1 Advantage UK
Defensive Pts/Possession 67 58 4 2 Closer than you might think.
TO/gm 272 57 11 7 UT is better
APG 189 4 9 3 UT is much, much better
A/TO 264 5 10 3 Ditto
Defensive FG% 14 135 3 5 Advantage UK
Defensive 2-pt FG% 14 253 2 8 Advantage UK
Defensive 3-pt FG% 53 6 6 1 Advantage UT
Rebounds 141 15 7 1 Advantage UT
Location based rank* 71 20 N/A N/a Closer than you might think.
*Factors in how well the team plays away from home


Statistic All Games Conference Games

UK UT UK UT Delta (adjusted for all games played) Comments
Total Games 26 28 13 13 -2
Wins 16 25 10 11 -9
Losses 10 3 3 2 7
Pct 0.62 0.89 0.77 0.85 -0.28
Field Goals Made 623 814 291 366 -132.86
Field Goals Attempted 1334 1799 645 827 -336.5
Field Goal Percentage 0.47 0.45 0.45 0.44 0.02 Call it even in conf
Free Throws Made 403 434 208 194 0
Free Throws Attempted 535 671 278 301 -88.07
Free Throw Percentage 0.75 0.65 0.75 0.65 0.11 Big advantage UK
3pt Field Goals Made 147 255 65 115 -89.79
3pt Field Goals Attempted 408 714 182 310 -255
3pt Field Goal Percentage 0.36 0.36 0.36 0.37 0 Call it even
Points 1796 2317 855 1041 -355.5
Points Per Game 69.1 82.8 65.8 80.1 -13.7 Tennessee scores many more points per game than UK.
Rebounds 947 1153 475 568 -123.64
Rebounds Per Game 36.4 41.2 36.5 43.7 -4.8 This stat is deceptive due to huge pace differential
Offensive Rebounds 255 421 126 205 -135.93
Offensive Rebounds Per Game 9.8 15 9.7 15.8 -5.2 Ditto
Defensive Rebounds 634 668 316 324 13.71
Defensive Rebounds Per Game 24.4 23.9 24.3 24.9 0.5 Ditto
Assists 337 517 155 214 -180
Assists Per Game 13 18.5 11.9 16.5 -5.5 Tennessee is much better
Steals 180 275 81 102 -95
Steals Per Game 6.9 9.8 6.2 7.8 -2.9 Steals are vital to Tennessee's success
Turnovers 419 361 193 174 58
Turnovers Per Game 16.1 12.9 14.8 13.4 3.2 UK is improving, but still behind UT.
Blocks 123 95 63 49 28
Blocks Per Game 4.7 3.4 4.8 3.8 1.3 Cats are better
Fouls 492 569 223 277 -77
Fouls Per Game 18.9 20.3 17.2 21.3 -1.4 This is different.
Disqualifications 15 3 6 3 12 What can you say?


Game day is tomorrow.  Go Cats!