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Ole Miss at Kentucky -- Statistical Comparison

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Here is the statistical comparison between Kentucky and Ole Miss.

Statistically speaking, both teams have their good points and bad points.  Kentucky is a better shooting team in almost every regard, but Ole Miss is a better ballhandling and rebounding team.  That makes for an interesting contrast and a reason for Kentucky to fear -- if the Rebels shoot the ball well and everything else stays statistically consistent, it doesn't bode well for the Cats.

The Rebels are simply an outstanding rebounding team, 11th in the entire nation.  They are averaging almost six more offensive rebounds per game than UK is, but that statistic is a bit misleading.  Ole Miss plays the game at the highest pace of anyone in the conference, averaging an amazing 74 possessions/40 minutes.  That is among the fastest in the entire nation, significantly faster than either Tennessee, Vanderbilt or even Memphis.  Because there are so many more rebounds available in a game played at such a frenetic pace, it's unsurprising that they would show more rebounds.  But they get offensive rebounds at nearly a 40% rate, compared to UK's 34%, so even though it isn't quite as bad as the numbers make it look, it is still a significant concern for the Cats.

Unlike Tennessee, Ole Miss has a proven ability to win games at any pace.  Like Tennessee, however, they are extremely susceptible to good ballhandling -- Ole Miss is 5-9 against teams who turn the ball over under 20 times per game.  Ole Miss has been an awful road team this season, winning only once in 6 tries on the trail.

I'll have a more in-depth look at the game in my adversary analysis.  For more on the Ole Miss Rebels, you can take a visit to WorldClassGlass, who does a pretty good job of covering Ole Miss sports.

Thanks again to Statsheet.com and Basketball State for the statistical data.

Statistic UK Ole Miss Comments
Overall 15-10 18-8
Conference 9-3 4-8
Home 12-4 12-2
Away 3-5 1-6 Rebels are a bad road team
Top 25 2-3 2-1 Advantage Old Miss
RPI Top 50 4-4 3-2 Advantage Old Miss
Ranking NR NR BlogPoll
RPI 65 45 They are still RPI top 50
SOS 19 65 UK's much stronger

Overall Conf. Only
National rankings UK Ole
Miss
UK Ole
Miss
Comments
FG% 51 104 3 10 Big advantage to UK
2 pt FG% 52 95 9 10 Slight advantage UK in conf.
3 pt FG% 120 150 3 6 Advantage UK
Possessions 226 28 12 1 They are the runningest team in the conference.
Offensive Pts/Possession 126 42 8 7 Advantage Ole Miss.
Defensive Pts/Possession 84 134 4 10 Big advantage to UK
TO/gm 266 49 11 3 Ole Miss takes good care of the ball.
APG 189 33 8 7 Amazing that we are better than anyone
A/TO 255 20 10 7 Advantage Ole Miss.
Defensive FG% 19 144 3 7 Advantage UK
Defensive 2-pt FG% 16 139 3 7 Advantage UK
Defensive 3-pt FG% 70 184 6 7 Slight advantage UK in conf.
Rebounds 129 11 7 1 Ole Miss is one of the best rebounding teams in the nation.
Location based rank* 74 94 N/A N/a Ole miss struggles on the road.
*Factors in how well the team plays away from home


Statistic All Games Conference Games

UK Ole
Miss
UK Ole
Miss
Delta (adjusted
for all games
played)
Comments
Total Games 25 26 12 12 -1
Wins 15 18 9 4 -3
Losses 10 8 3 8 2
Pct 0.6 0.69 0.75 0.33 -0.09
Field Goals Made 606 783 274 333 -146.88
Field Goals Attempted 1293 1722 604 784 -362.77
Field Goal Percentage 0.47 0.46 0.45 0.43 0.01 We are a bit better in conf.
Free Throws Made 383 295 188 124 99.35
Free Throws Attempted 509 463 252 203 63.81
Free Throw Percentage 0.75 0.64 0.75 0.61 0.12 Huge advantage UK.
3pt Field Goals Made 143 205 61 89 -54.12
3pt Field Goals Attempted 394 576 168 254 -159.85
3pt Field Goal Percentage 0.36 0.36 0.36 0.35 0.01 About even
Points 1738 2066 797 879 -248.54
Points Per Game 69.5 79.5 66.4 73.3 -10 The outscore us huge.
Rebounds 921 1172 449 533 -205.92
Rebounds Per Game 36.8 45.1 37.4 44.4 -8.3 They outrebound us huge.
Offensive Rebounds 253 408 124 193 -139.31
Offensive Rebounds Per Game 10.1 15.7 10.3 16.1 -5.6 This could be real trouble. Just ask Arkansas.
Defensive Rebounds 610 662 292 294 -26.54
Defensive Rebounds Per Game 24.4 25.5 24.3 24.5 -1.1 At least UK is close.
Assists 325 418 143 160 -93
Assists Per Game 13 16.1 11.9 13.3 -3.1 Advantage Old Miss
Steals 171 188 72 66 -17
Steals Per Game 6.8 7.2 6 5.5 -0.4 Small advantage UK
Turnovers 401 334 175 146 67
Turnovers Per Game 16 12.8 14.6 12.2 3.2 No surprise here.
Blocks 112 96 52 43 16
Blocks Per Game 4.5 3.7 4.3 3.6 0.8 Cats are a bit better here.
Fouls 477 482 208 217 -5
Fouls Per Game 19.1 18.5 17.3 18.1 0.6 Ole Miss fouls nearly as much as UK.
Disqualifications 15 4 6 3 11 Unsurprising.


Game day is tomorrowhere!  Go Cats!