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It's time for the "L" word

Yes, Wildcat fans, it's that time again.  Time to face the team of our traitorous former coach, the biggest rivalry game of each and every year.  The Cardinals are coming to town, and never in recent memory has that fact generated more concern among the Wildcat Faithful.

For those of us who live in Kentucky's largest city, this is always a time of catharsis and trepidation.  Nothing is worse than having to listen to jibes every time you walk into a place of business in this city from the inevitable Cardinal fan talking smack when you are wearing your colors.  It is especially bad in the south end of the Derby City, for as soon as you get west or south of Fern Creek, there is no escaping the inevitable.  That is where the highest concentration of Louisville fans reside, and even though there are certainly fewer Cardinal fans in Louisville than Kentucky fans, it is much closer than you might think.  I truly live behind enemy lines, and even though I am well removed from the hottest hotbeds of UK hatred, you can still feel the heat from here.

Two years ago, I was wearing my colors in the middle of Mall St. Matthews, normally a fairly friendly place where one doesn't expect to get assailed by Louisville partisans.  But a kid behind a snack vendor counter yelled out to me from 20 feet or so away, assuring me with a taunt that Kentucky was going to lose the game.  It turns out that was back in 2005, when Patrick Sparks was fouled on jumper from the corner and subsequently hit 3 free throws that will forever live in infamy here in town, and in legend everywhere else in the Commonwealth.  I was tempted (but only a little) to spend a few afternoons at the mall later that year in hopes of another encounter.  Relating the story, though, has been its own reward.

Since the renewal of the series in 1983, Kentucky has won 17 and lost 10 if you don't count the Elite Eight tournament game that provided the impetus for renewal, and since this is a Kentucky blog, I choose not to do so.  Since the renewal of the series, the Cardinals have won two in a row 3 times, and Kentucky has won 3 or more in a row 4 times, including the current 3-game winning streak we are on.  Since taking over the Cardinals from Denny Crum, Rick Pitino is 2-4 against the Cats.

History aside, it is time to look at the current state of affairs between the two teams.  I don't have to reiterate the disappointment this early pre-conference season has been for Kentucky, limping into the Louisville game at a measly 6-6, a record that simply boggles the mind.  Still, the Cats showed significant improvement in its last outing with an available but still gimpy Derrick Jasper and the fast-improving Meeks.  Recent word out of Lexington is that Meeks is approaching 100%, but Jasper is still day-to-day and did not practice yesterday.  Some incomprehensible coaching decisions and comments, along with the lack of success, has new Wildcat coach Billy Gillispie being questioned by the media and some fans, but the most recent game was a departure from some of the radical strangeness of the early season and a return to what most Cat fans recognize as sanity.

Losing to North Carolina and Indiana was bad enough, but tolerable under the circumstances.  However, losses to Gardner-Webb, UAB, Houston and San Diego had many Kentucky fans on the edge of some kind of rebellion.  To the credit of the Big Blue Nation, the vast majority has easily grasped the fact that a new coach needs time to work his magic, and we just weren't talented enough, especially dealing with numerous injuries, to hope to defeat the #1 ranked Tar Heels or the talented Hoosiers.  Most of the other losses, though, could not be reasonably attributed to a talent deficit, and that fact rankled many.  Tubby Smith quickly became the lightning rod for the teams failure, and since he is far away in the frozen North, perhaps Gillispie will one day thank him for absorbing most of the heat for this early season.

Louisville has surprisingly been going through their own struggles this year.  Picked as high as third by many national pundits in the pre-season polls, the Cardinals have done little if anything to justify that pollster confidence, and have dropped 4 games to inferior rivals, 3 of them in the comfy confines of Freedom Hall.  Derrick Caracter, the talented but mercurial Louisville forward, has been in and out of Pitino's dog house, and David Padgett went down with an early season knee injury that has kept him out of the lineup for 6 weeks.  Fortunately for the Cardinals and unfortunately for Kentucky, Padgett is mostly healthy again, logging 26 minutes  and scoring 13 points in a recent loss to Cincinnati.

Despite having what most observers, including yours truly, think is one of the most talented teams in the nation, Louisville continues to underperform, although arguably not nearly so much as Kentucky.  Despite this, little stock can be placed in the performance of either team to date as a harbinger for Saturday, as this rivalry has shown no such predictability in the past.  Kentucky is coming off arguably its best performance of the season, although against such a weak team that it is very hard to draw any real hope from the contest.  Louisville has shown a propensity to go into woeful shooting droughts from time to time, and that was all Mick Cronin needed to dump the Cards in Freedom Hall.  So is Louisville down and Kentucky up?  Hardly.  The Cardinals will be ready, willing and able to come into Rupp for their first victory there since 2003.  The Wildcats, as weak as they have looked this season, are closer to full strength than they have been all year, and that does make a big difference.

The upcoming game is a big one for both teams.  Louisville has had a dramatic fall from grace in the eyes of national pundits, and already everyone has forgotten the dramatic turn-around the Cardinals made last year.  I recall posting much angst and anger from the Louisville Internet contingency calling for the removal of Rick Pitino, only to be replaced by sheepishness when the Cardinals made a run to the Sweet Sixteen only to lose to the current Kentucky coach's Texas A&M team in Rupp Arena.  For Kentucky, a turn-around is mandatory, or it will miss the NCAA tournament for the first time since 1990-1991, when it was on probation.  A victory against the Cardinals would supply a much-needed resumé win for the Cats, especially after embarrassing losses to Gardener-Webb and San Diego.

There is much more to come on the big game here at A Sea of Blue.  For Cardinal fans, be sure to check out the Card Chronicle, SB Nation's excellent Louisville blog for coverage from the Cardinals.

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UL needs it more..
They have lost 3 in a row to UK.  
They are loaded with talent and UK is not.  
UL had the high preseason ranking and Final Four expectations and UK certainly did not.  

Can UK win?  Sure, if UL plays like in did against Cincy and UK plays like ... like they haven't all year.  UL doesn't appear to have good chemistry I hope UK is developing just that.

By-the-way, most of the losses can be attributed to a talent deficit.  You start Coury and Porter and you are an OVC team.  Oh, and Tubby should be the lightning rod as he left UK with million$ and we were left with Williams, Coury, Porter, etc.

by BeatUL on Jan 3, 2008 9:41 AM EST   0 recs

So...
The pressure for UK is off. No pressure. Just keep saying that, over and over and over...

Hopefully the kids will play loose, w/o all those unhealthy turnovers that come from playing loose and stupid.

Go Cats!

by Clandestine on Jan 3, 2008 9:43 AM EST   0 recs

I think ...
there is always pressure in this game.  I wish it weren't so, but it is.

We need this win, and thank God the game is in Rupp this year.  If Jasper and Meeks can go, I think we have a decent shot at the upset.  If either of those guys is down, I expect we'll have to hope the Cardinals will beat themselves, which they certainly have proven capable of doing.

I am concerned about our ballhandling against the U of L pressure.  But if we can continue to improve on defense, I think there is hope.

We could really use a great game out of Jared Carter Saturday -- assuming he sees anything but pine.

by Truzenzuzex on Jan 3, 2008 9:54 AM EST to parent up   0 recs

But...
...pressure is only in the mind. If you don't want pressure to be there, believe it. A free throw is a free throw whether you're alone in the gym or in front of 24,000 fans.

Pressure is one of those obstacles that a strong mind can abolish.

by Clandestine on Jan 3, 2008 1:24 PM EST to parent up   0 recs

Jared Carter?
Huh?  Nice guy but he is Jared Carter, he is out of his league and if UK needs him to win then we have no shot.

by BeatUL on Jan 3, 2008 2:32 PM EST to parent up   0 recs

Bring down...
... the whammy, Cats.  Bring... down the whammy!
Orange & Blue Hue http://www.orangeandbluehue.com

by Gatorpilot on Jan 3, 2008 11:41 AM EST   0 recs

I do not
expect UK to win.  Pisses me off if UK does it is a major upset.. shouldn't be that way.

By the way, Florida football players could learn to show some class; their antics were pretty sorry at the bowl game.

by BeatUL on Jan 3, 2008 2:36 PM EST   0 recs

I expect
it to be a hard fought battle culminating in a win for whichever team happens to commit the fewest mistakes down the stretch.  These games always seem to have some drama about them and this year that feeling should be even more evident.  Both teams are struggling and need the win.  I am extremely interested to see which Coach comes out on top from an X's and O's standpoint.  Very interesting it will be...

by hoopchi on Jan 3, 2008 3:36 PM EST   0 recs

I have a feeling...
UK wins this one by 10 points.  Tru, write it down and you'd better give me some public love if I'm right.
Orange & Blue Hue http://www.orangeandbluehue.com

by Gatorpilot on Jan 4, 2008 11:50 AM EST   0 recs

OK ...
can I give you some public derision if you're wrong?

:-)

by Truzenzuzex on Jan 4, 2008 12:19 PM EST to parent up   0 recs

Public Love...
... If Tru starts giving Gators "Public Love" he's gonna get canned.

The Online home of Big Blue Nation ...

by JL Blue on Jan 4, 2008 3:14 PM EST to parent up   0 recs

Heh ...
I'd probably fire myself.

:-)

by Truzenzuzex on Jan 4, 2008 6:28 PM EST to parent up   0 recs

Moot point...
Ok, so UK loses by double digits.

Louisville has looked poor all year long, then they look great in the second half at Rupp.

I don't get it.

No more public predictions of Kentucky winning any more games, at least until they get back on track, which I believe they ultimately will.  With Patterson, Meeks, and Jasper on the floor there's just too much talent to lose all these games.

Orange & Blue Hue http://www.orangeandbluehue.com

by Gatorpilot on Jan 5, 2008 11:02 PM EST to parent up   0 recs

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