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Calling Foul: Race and Basketball Officiating

I came across this article earlier this morning, and started to link it in my morning update.  But after looking closer, I think this issue deserves its own post and considerably more analysis.  Even thought this article has nothing directly to do with Kentucky, it certainly highlights a situation that can occur in the college ranks just as it does in the professional ones.

The article is about a study done by a University of Pennsylvania assistant professor and a Cornell graduate student for the Wharton School at UPenn who analyzed the box scores of NBA basketball games and found that the more white an officiating crew is, the more calls against black players there are.  They also found that the more black a crew is, the more fouls are called against white players, but to a lesser degree.

The research has yet to be subjected to peer review, so it isn't published yet.  The study was not able to correlate the calls made to the race of the official making those calls, because the NBA doesn't make that data available to the public.  The NBA has done its own study of referee calls by race which does correlate the calls to the race of the official, and claims that it's study does not reveal any significant racial component to the frequency of foul calls.

The Times article says that three independent experts reviewed both the material released by the NBA (which didn't include the data collected, which the NBA considers private) and the Wharton study, finding the Wharton study "far more sound."  It is worthwhile to note that the reviewers had the entire Wharton study, but none of the data from the NBA study, as I indicated above.

You can read the conclusions in the article itself, which are essentially that skin color seems to account for as much as 4.5% of foul calls in the NBA, as well as a commensurate impact on such game factors as scoring, turnovers, rebounds and assists.  Effectively, the study concludes that racial bias is significant enough to have an impact on the outcome of some games.

The NBA takes strong issue with the Wharton conclusions, and insists that its own study is far more dispositive of the issue and more reliable due to the availability of direct data about the official making the call.  They also claim that an earlier version of the Wharton paper concluded that there was no bias.

Star-divide

I have several observations about this news.  First is the way that it is treated in some media outlets.  It seems to me the Wharton study is automatically given more weight than the NBA study, despite the Wharton study's obvious deficiency of not being able to associate calls with the race of the official actually making them.  However, a certain amount of skepticism in this regard is certainly fair, since the NBA will not release its data.  

Still, the conclusion that the Wharton study is "far more sound" seems far-fetched to me, owing to the fact that it is impossible to make a conclusive determination due to the unavailability  to the reviewers of the actual NBA data.  However, no media outlet qualifies this characterization at all.  My view is that some in the sports media are interested and in fact desirous of reaching a conclusion of racial bias, whether or not it is fully supported by all the available evidence because frankly, it serves to validate their own beliefs.

Regarding the meat of the study itself, I really wouldn't dispute the observations that race appears to affect a very small percentage of NBA foul calls.  However, if we think critically about that conclusion, we might wonder if it is actually a racial bias, or a combination of racial and cultural factors.

When I used to play basketball among largely white groups, the game tended to be slower with more self-called fouls than when I used to play with more black guys.  Keep in mind that this is anecdotal information and by no means statistically sound like the Wharton study, and that it is a memory between 20 and 30 years old.  Still, my recollection is that black players tended to play a more aggressive, athletic game than whites as a general proposition.  As a result, when I played with mostly black players, you had to adjust your self-called fouls accordingly and play more physical ball.

It is possible and in fact likely in my opinion that black people and white people see the game played properly in a different way.  My perception in my playing days was that blacks seem to be more tolerant of contact and enjoy a more up-tempo game, whereas whites seem to be less tolerant of contact and prefer to play a bit more in the half court.  

Now, this is certainly not universally true, and one need look no further than our previous two coaches to see that.  Still, I liked Smith's more controlled style better than Pitino's, and I think the explanation for that lies in the type of basketball I played as a young man.  In other words, I have a bias toward a certain type of pace/style.

In recent years, the game has evolved toward a much faster pace and more tolerance for contact, palming, and other things that would formerly have been called as violations.  That would tend to explain the emphasis in officiating in recent years toward cleaning up inside play and disallowing the blatant carrying of the basketball that had allowed breathtaking crossovers.  

But older people like me remember when the game was played differently, and I would bet the preference for a somewhat slower pace would be found to correlate strongly with race and age.  What I am suggesting is, the bias the Wharton study discovered may be more closely correlated to a mental image of what good basketball is than the actual race of the players.

Now, far be it from me to try to disprove racial bias.  I am reasonably sure that it is a factor in the results also, if only at the subconscious level.  But is it as big a factor as the Wharton study found (2.5-4.5% isn't very big, I know, but bear with me), or can some of it be imputed to cultural and earlier life experience, and related more to the way a player plays than the race of the player?  We may never know, but we shouldn't accept these studies simplistically.  Critical thinking is the cornerstone of understanding.

So there you have it -- my take on another crossover between basketball and life.  One cannot help but wonder what a similar study of college basketball would show.

This story is drawing serious heat from the NBA, and from some sportswriters as well.  I think Kevin Hench of Fox makes a few worthwhile points, although I think his criticism of the research is a little simplistic.  But he is a sportswriter, n'est-ce pas?

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RACE
I would be inclined to agree with you on the fact that it is more related to how a player plays than it is to race. (As I also remember back to those pickup days in college)

by Sandman on May 2, 2007 11:38 AM EDT reply actions  

I really don't know ...
if it is more so, but I kind of wonder why none of this research bothers to consider the possibility?  Theoretically, we are talking science here.  

Are we all so jaded by culture war that we can't take a dispassionate view of anything involving racial issues, even when we are supposed to be forming scientific hypotheses?

by Glenn Logan on May 2, 2007 11:44 AM EDT up reply actions  

This is ridiculous...
The percentage of difference should be interpreted as the lack of racial bias, not used as fodder to spark more controversy. I mean seriously guys, these numbers prove just the opposite of what everyone is arguing. Can anyone tell me what the percentage of human error is in calling NBA games? I would put money on the idea that human error percentage is larger than these absurd numbers.

by blueblood on May 2, 2007 12:11 PM EDT reply actions  

A couple thoughts
First of all, we don't really know everything that Wolfers and Price concluded.  All we have are a few statements taken from their paper.  It's possible that they did consider Tru's explanation  as well as other possibilities.  If so, they might have found evidence to discount those ideas or might have found it impossible to do so with the  available data.  Either way, it would be standard practice in a scholarly article to spend a little time to address alternate hypotheses.  It's really not surprising that alternate explanations didn't end up in a media summary.

I think the idea that their study, even with an absence of important data, is more sound than the NBA's is likely based in part on its independence from the league.  The authors don't have any connection to the NBA whereas the NBA study, by definition, does.  Usually, independence assures more objectivity as well as a greater willingness to follow where the data leads.  

To cite one example, just look at the widely disparate conclusions from economists on the benefits of large, new municipal sports stadiums on local economy.  Those that conclude a beneficiary effect tend to be in the employ of teams and leagues while those who conclude that there are no or minimal benefits tend to have no connection to teams and leagues.  I'm not suggesting that one group does a better job than the other, but the connection between one set of economists and an interested party (team owners and league officials) is certainly something to think about.

Tru's suggested explanation sounds quite reasonable, but I'm not sure how you could control for it in a way that would separate differences in race from differences in basketball philosophy.  I guess you would have to specifically identify players who individually play a particular style and only look at them, but I don't think it would be possible to classify players in this way without watching them play in person which isn't feasible.

Wow, that's a lot more than I intended to write when I started.

Looking for a rock to wind a piece of string around.

by JLeverenz on May 2, 2007 12:50 PM EDT reply actions  

Good points all.
First of all, we don't really know everything that Wolfers and Price concluded.  All we have are a few statements taken from their paper.  It's possible that they did consider Tru's explanation  as well as other possibilities.

Heh.  I don't see how.  If they couldn't even account for which officials of what race called which fouls, I think it might be real hard to determine their views about how the game should be played. :-)  

Still, I get your point, and it is a good one.  We don't really know what conclusions were actually drawn, just one of them.  I would wonder if they tested for the presence of bias over time, to see if it is more prevalent earlier in 1990's when there were fewer black officials in the league, and how the white bias toward black fouls has changed over time.

And I also agree that it isn't unusual for alternate hypotheses to end up in a media story, although it seems to me that at least some skeptical questions should have been asked.  Did you see any?  I really didn't.

I grant that the NBA doing their own study, even though it was commissioned to a third party, should draw skepticism.  Still, concluding the Wharton study was "far more sound" seems impossible without considering the actual data subject to analysis.

by Glenn Logan on May 2, 2007 4:23 PM EDT up reply actions  

Saw this ...
I saw this in the Times this A.M. My generally left-of-center self saw this as a pretty typical and lame attempt at righteousness.

Calling out injustice is certainly one of the Fourth Estate's jobs, but they did a much better job on diploma mills than on this one, which seems rather forced.

That isn't to say there is NOT some truth to it. But how could you honestly gauge players of such strikingly different abilities, tendencies and backgrounds solely by race and draw much of a conclusion?

Is Grant Hill more or less likely to be called for a foul than Rasheed Wallace? How is that a racial issue?

I'm betting that the "style of play" factor that Tru refers to probably has more than a nugget of truth. Steve Nash is probably not going to have the same calls against him as Gary Payton, but Nash also plays more on the perimeter and lax defensively, while a Jason Kidd or Payton will mix it up in the paint, and probably swipe at the ball more. The color of their skin seems unlikely to affect this.

Good topic, though.

The Online home of Big Blue Nation ...

by JL Blue on May 2, 2007 1:18 PM EDT reply actions  

Hornets Nest
  1. This is the kind of the story the media likes, because it's gets our attention.
  2. Like blueblood noted above, the numbers aren't significant truly.
  3. I'm no statistician but wouldn't you need to know the racial makeup of each official for each call in order to even begin the analysis?
  4. Tru, as usual, makes good point.
  5. Chocolate is the next Wine.
And how is JL uid:5 when he should be uid:1 ? Something fishy going on here.

by Clandestine on May 2, 2007 7:18 PM EDT reply actions  

Bias
"analyzed the box scores of NBA basketball games and found that the more white an officiating crew is, the more calls against black players there are.  They also found that the more black a crew is, the more fouls are called against white players, but to a lesser degree".

The number of fouls, the number of racial players in each category as well as the actual connection of race to foul and race of official to race of player are important and necessary to understand if a bias exists or not. In addition ..the perception of one foul as more egragious than another is a possibility. Some fouls are widely called, others rarely. The tempo of the game, the speed of recovery on the floor, the place on the floor, the need control a game, classis style play vs street play, ...are all factors in the actual call with all different from game to game and likely from official to official. I have no basketball experience but as an aging soccer ref I can tell you that knowing the rules is just a small part of the judgmeent necessary to help the flow of the game as well as keep the play legitimate.  

by CAWebb on May 2, 2007 7:48 PM EDT reply actions  

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