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SEC Tournament Log5 Analysis

Andy Lyons

In keeping with my annual tradition, here's the log5 calculator for the SEC Tournament. Unsurprisingly, Florida is the favorite, although not nearly as big a favorite as they were when I did this last year. Anyway, enjoy if you're interested in this sort of thing. Pythagorean Win Percentages are taken from Ken Pomeroy's site. If you don't know what log5 is or how it's calculated, there's a really good article and explanation here. As always, keep in mind these are probabilities and not predictions.

Second Quarter Semi
Round Finals Finals Finals Champion
1 Florida 100.00% 100.00% 87.99% 61.71% 48.95%
2 Kentucky 100.00% 100.00% 71.52% 52.06% 18.45%
3 Georgia 100.00% 100.00% 59.54% 21.50% 4.27%
4 Tennessee 100.00% 100.00% 75.79% 30.04% 20.24%
5 Arkansas 100.00% 71.90% 20.43% 4.54% 2.10%
6 Ole Miss 100.00% 59.32% 25.42% 7.63% 1.21%
7 LSU 100.00% 57.02% 17.63% 9.64% 1.98%
8 Missouri 100.00% 66.93% 9.51% 2.83% 1.16%
9 Texas A&M 100.00% 33.07% 2.50% 0.45% 0.12%
10 Alabama 100.00% 42.98% 10.84% 5.17% 0.85%
11 Vanderbilt 77.99% 36.33% 14.36% 3.93% 0.56%
12 Auburn 52.73% 15.37% 2.16% 0.25% 0.07%
13 S. Carolina 47.27% 12.73% 1.63% 0.17% 0.04%
14 Miss. State 22.01% 4.35% 0.68% 0.07% 0.00%
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