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SEC Tournament Log5 Calculations

Here's the log5 projections for this week's SEC tournament. It's a bit surprising, but the numbers really like UK. Pythagorean Win Percentages are taken from Ken Pomeroy's site. If you don't know what log5 is or how it's calculated, there's a really good article and explanation here. This is the fourth year I've done the log5 calculator for the SECT, and other than the year when Georgia shocked everyone and won the thing, it's been fairly accurate. Keep in mind these are probabilities and not predictions. Anyway, enjoy if you're interested.

 


Win% Quarterfinals Semifinals Finals Champion
Florida 0.9260 100.0% 74.97% 47.38% 23.84%
Tennessee 0.8387 72.0% 21.14% 9.20% 2.88%
Arkansas 0.6691 28.0% 3.90% 0.98% 0.16%
Miss. St. 0.6168 100.0% 17.71% 2.70% 0.36%
LSU 0.3246 4.9% 1.12% 0.06% 0.00%
Vanderbilt 0.9035 95.1% 81.16% 39.67% 17.35%
Kentucky 0.9487 100.0% 87.43% 67.66% 44.12%
South Carolina 0.6100 32.6% 2.54% 0.58% 0.09%
Mississippi 0.7638 67.4% 10.03% 3.78% 0.98%
Alabama 0.8510 100.0% 56.49% 16.40% 6.16%
Auburn 0.3626 10.0% 0.90% 0.04% 0.00%
Georgia 0.8369 90.0% 42.60% 11.54% 4.06%

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