Kentucky Wildcat Basketball: Critiquing the 'Cats
With the Wildcats taking final exams this week, and with no games taking place, I thought it was time to take a look at how the youthful 'Cats have performed so far this season, and what each player needs to improve on. Considering this Kentucky squad is saddled with great expectations, expectations beyond a "mere" Final Four appearance, this collection of Wildcats have the weight of the Commonwealth on their substantial shoulders. And with the 'Cats being a freshman-dominated group once again, it is certainly reasonable to expect uneven play at this juncture of the season, but growth and continuing maturity are the goals.
Winning in March is all about getting better in December, January, and February. So with an eye toward the future, and in terms of performance, let's take a look at where the players are now, and where they need to be in order for the season to end with a win.
This examination of the 'Cats will include player statistics from what I deem to be the five toughest opponents UK has faced so far -- Kansas, Old Dominion, St. John's, North Carolina, and Indiana -- as well as the total season stats for each player. You, the reader, can then determine if players are stat-stuffing against the bottom of the food chain, or performing well against the best the schedule has to offer -- As an aside: selecting St. John's over Penn State as one of the five best teams UK has played this season was a tossup, in my mind. I went with the Red Storm because they are a very young, but athletic and skilled ball-club, and should be a tough out as the season progresses.
After the stats, I offer my critical overview of each player. Let's start with one of UK's two seniors:
For the year, Miller is averaging 8.9 points, 3.2 rebounds, 2.8 assists, 1.3 turnovers, and .9 steals per game. He is shooting 46.3% from the field, 23.1% from the 3-point line, and 80.0% from the free throw line in 24.4 minutes of action.
Against UK's five toughest opponents, Miller is averaging 9.4 ppg, 3.0 rpg, 3.0 apg, 1.8 tpg, and .4 spg. Miller is shooting 46.2% from the floor (18-39), 12.5% from long-range (2-16), and 81.8% from the charity stripe (9-11) in 24.8 mpg.
Before I give my thoughts on Miller's performance, let me first do this -- Coming into this season, Miller had started a total of 71 games in his three-year UK career. This season, he has started only a single contest, but he hasn't complained or pouted about losing his starting gig, rather, he's been the consummate teammate, saying all he's interested in is winning a championship. For that Miller deserves an atta boy from his fellow Wildcats and Wildcat fans.
When the conversation turns to scoring the basketball, the knock on Miller has always been his consistency. While I would like to see Miller take more shots (in UK's five toughest games, he's averaging 7.8 shots per contest), especially considering he's connecting on 69.6% of his two-point attempts in UK's five toughest games, what he is consistently doing on the floor is playing hard on the defensive end. With Miller it's not about lackadaisical play, it's about him needing to be more assertive, as he was toward the end of last year when he won the SEC Tournament Most Valuable Player award. With that in mind, the troubling drop-off in Miller's 3-point accuracy from last year (44.3%) to this year (23.1%) is hard to diagnosis. I haven't noticed anything in his shot in need of fixing, other than the ball needs to go in the basket at a higher rate than 23.1% of the time.
Speaking of Miller becoming more assertive, last Saturday against IU -- with Terrence Jones struggling and Anthony Davis in foul trouble -- would have been the perfect time for Miller to take control, take more shots, and become more of an offensive presence. For a 90-second stretch midway through the second half he did just that, but then faded into the offensive end background. He simply has to recognize when the 'Cats need his offense, and adjust accordingly.
Last season the 'Cats hit their stride when the upperclassmen, including Miller, took a larger role on both ends of the floor, and the same formula may be needed this season if the 'Cats hope to seriously challenge for the title.
Terrence Jones
For the year, Jones is averaging 13.8 points, 6.8 rebounds, 2.4 blocks, 1.7 assists, and 2.1 turnovers per game. He is shooting 50.0% from the floor, 50.0% from the 3-point line, and 68.3% from the free throw line in 30.3 minutes per game.
Against UK's five toughest opponents, Jones is averaging 13.0 ppg, 6.2 rpg, 3.2 bpg, .8 apg, and 2.8 tpg. Jones is making 46.9% of shots (23-49), 33.3% from beyond the arc (3-9), and 69.6% from the charity stripe (16-23) in 33.0 mpg.
Over the first nine games of the season, Jones has been as up-and-down as any UK player in recent memory. After scoring 14 first half points against UNC, in the second half of that one-point contest, Jones went 0-3 from the field (all 3-point tries) and scoreless, but he did contribute in other areas, grabbing four boards and blocking three shots. Then, after his second half offensive struggles against the Heels, he had the worst game of his entire life versus IU, snagging only one rebound and committing six turnovers in 28 minutes. Against St. John's, though, Jones was terrific, scoring 26-points and pulling down nine rebounds.
Jones is a great player. We know this. What type of problem is keeping him from being more consistent this year? I don't know, so I will not venture a guess, but, I will put this thought out there -- John Calipari told Jones that if he came back for his sophomore year, to come back and be great, that's the only way him coming back to campus would be a good decision. With the SEC schedule quickly approaching, now Terrence, is the time to be great.
For the year, Lamb is averaging 14.9 points, 3.8 rebounds, 2.6 assists, and 1.0 turnovers per game. He is shooting 45.7% from the floor, 51.4% from the 3-point line, and 82.1% from the free throw line in 31.0 minutes per game.
Against UK's five toughest opponents, Lamb is averaging 14.8 ppg, 3.2 rpg, 1.4 apg, and 1.4 tpg. The Brooklyn native is shooting 44.2% from the field (23-52), 57.9% from long-range (11-19), and 70.8% from the charity stripe (17-24) in 34.6 mpg.
I have two issues with Lamb's game, 1) he doesn't shoot enough, and 2) at times he still relaxes on the defensive end.
Let's take a look at Lamb's shooting -- Against IU, a tremendous 3-point shooting team, Lamb took exactly three long-range shots ... three! Not surprisingly, he made two. Lamb needs to demand the ball, and the half-court offense needs to provide more open-look ops for the sharpest of the sharp shooters, especially when opponents play UK in man-to-man defense as IU did Saturday. If Kentucky is to reach its potential, Lamb and his right arm will be a big reason why, and him taking an average of 3.8 3-point tries per game -- which is the number of 3s Lamb averaged taking against UK's five toughest opponents -- isn't going to be enough.
Defensively, Lamb possesses all the tools to be a top notch, lock-down defender. He has quick feet, he has quick hands, and he has good size for a "2," but he isn't always focused on the defensive end of the floor. For example, at times he's slow to give help off his man, and that hesitation can be costly, and again, off the perimeter screen, Lamb has to be quicker to step to the shooter.
Calipari's teams, perhaps this team more-so than any other Cal squad, are reliant on its defense to produce points. This Kentucky team is full of finishers, and when they get out on the floor and push the ball, there aren't many teams capable of keeping up. But it all starts with deflections, blocks, back tips, steals, winning every 50-50 ball, and forcing the opponent out of its comfort zone. In other words, defense, it all starts with defense, and the sooner Lamb and company take a page out of Michael Kidd-Gilchrist's book on the advantages of playing frenetic, aggressive defense, they will never reach their promise.
Actually, Cal' s troops might want to wander over to Memorial Coliseum and watch the UK Hoops team embarrass, then destroy their opponents with suffocating, hide-the-children defense. It's truly awesome to watch.
Anthony Davis
For the year, Davis is averaging 11.6 points, 9.1 rebounds, 4.1 blocks, and 1.6 steals per game. The big fella is making 67.7% of his shots from the field, and 52.6% of his free throws in 27.1 minutes of action.
Against UK's five toughest opponents, Davis is averaging 10.6 ppg, 9.6 rpg, 4.2 bpg, and 2.2 spg. Davis is making 64.7% of his shots from the floor (22-34), and 47.4% of his free throws (9-19) in 28.6 mpg.
Frankly, I have no real criticism of Davis. He's simply been as good, if not better than advertised. His offensive game is miles ahead of where it was in high school last year, leaving one to wonder just how good will Davis be in three months? Defensively, when he learns what he should block and when he should back-off, he'll be brilliant.
Foul trouble has plagued Davis in a few games, most notably against IU, but the fouls he was called for in Bloomington were "road fouls," something he'll learn and adjust to along the way.
I think what surprises most people about Davis is his sheer athleticism for a man 6'10." He glides like Ron Mercer down the floor, and when around the rim ... well, pity the rim. Plus, and it's a big plus, Davis has mastered a skill few big men have, and that is keeping the blocked shot in play, instead of swatting the ball into the third row. This creates fast-break scoring opportunities for the 'Cats, making Davis' defensive tenacity all the more valuable.
(And oh by the way, Davis' shot blocking pace? If the 'Cats play 30 games, and at his present pace, Davis will block 123 shots, pulverizing the UK single season blocked shot record of 83 shared by Melvin Turpin and Andre Riddick).
Even Davis' footwork is polished (along with timing and stupid long arms, great footwork is what allows Davis to be such a great shot blocker), something made more remarkable by the fact that he's only been 6'10" for 18 months or so. This my friends, is why he will be the overwhelming No. 1 selection in the 2012 NBA Draft.
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist
For the year, MKG is averaging 12.8 points, 7.3 rebounds, 1.7 steals, 1.3 assists, 2.6 turnovers, and 1.2 blocks per game. Kidd-Gilchrist is shooting 51.9% from the field, 35.7% from the 3-point line, and 74.3% from the charity stripe in 30.3 minutes per game.
Against UK's five toughest opponents, MKG is averaging 13.0 ppg, 8.2 rpg, 1.2 spg, 1.8 apg, 3.6 tpg, and 1.2 bpg. He is shooting 50.9% from the floor (26-51), 42.9% from long-range (3-7), and 62.5% from the line (10-16) in 32.4 mpg.
UK's best player over the last two games -- he averaged 17.5 points and 10 boards on 15-of-22 shooting against UNC and IU -- MKG seems to be improving with each passing game. The pre-UK press clippings told us Kidd-Gilchrist had a non-stop motor, and was good going to the basket. Emphatic check and check.
MKG has shown the ability to score from anywhere on the floor, and his decidedly odd release hasn't precluded him from being a perimeter threat. Additionally, he's grabbed at least nine rebounds in four of UK's five toughest games. Obviously, the spotlight doesn't seem to faze this young man, and as long as he continues to set the defensive tone for the 'Cats the Kentucky offense should reap the benefits, rendering MKG and his full-time intensity invaluable to the success of this team.
For the year, Teague is averaging 10.8 points, 4.2 assists, 2.9 turnovers, 2.3 rebounds, and 1.7 steals per game. He is shooting 45.8% from the floor, 35.0% from beyond the arc, and 58.3% from the free throw line in 30.2 minutes of action.
Against UK's five toughest opponents, UK's point guard is averaging 9.0 ppg, 3.8 apg, 3.6 tpg, 2.4 rpg, and 1.0 spg. Teague is shooting 37.5% from the floor (18-48), 20.0% from long-range (2-10), and 46.7% from the line (7-15) in 31.4 mpg.
A narrower view of Teague's numbers shows us that over UK's last three games he has dished out 14 assists and turned the ball over six times, an outstanding 2.3-1 ratio. Although he's not shooting the ball well on the season, Teague has made some clutch baskets for the 'Cats this year, particularly in the second half of the Indiana game. Sure, his shot needs work, but his point guard decision-making is on the improve, and there is no denying he can take his man off the dribble.
Everything the 'Cats do begins with Teague -- He runs the point, so he's responsible for getting UK into their half-court offense (something he struggled with in the first half in Bloomington); he's defending the point, so he's responsible for disrupting the opponent's quarterback; he leads the Wildcat break, so he's responsible for getting the ball into the hands of the teammate most likely to score. Teague's plate is bountiful with responsibilities, and so far, he's coming up roses when it matters most. Not bad for a freshman.
As the season progresses, so goes Teague will become so goes the 'Cats. He's the head of the snake, the body will do as he dictates.
For the year, Wiltjer is averaging 5.7 points and 2.7 rebounds per game. He's shooting 43.5% from the floor, 26.7% from beyond the arc, and 77.8% from the free throw line in 13.6 minutes per game.
Against UK's five toughest opponents, Wiltjer is averaging 1.4 ppg and 1.6 rpg. He's shooting 30.0% from the field (3-10), 25.0% from long-range (1-4), and he's 0-1 from the line in 7.6 mpg.
A good shooter struggling with diminished minutes due to defensive deficiencies, Wiltjer seems to be a very unsure young man at the moment. He played hesitantly against both UNC and IU, which cost him minutes in both games.
Wiltjer is a great example of how most non-ultra elite players acclimate to collegiate basketball at the highest level. Most (normal) players have holes in their games when they arrive from high school, and when one is on a team full of great athletes who are also great basketball players, playing time will be scant until the learning curve is captured.
For Wiltjer, it's all about defense. He might be a step slow in his reaction time, something exploited by a few big men opponents this season, but learning to anticipate and learning to guard by feel by bodying the opposition is something that will eventually enable him to competently defend his position.
UK fans have become accustomed to Cal bringing in ready-to-start-freshmen, and yes, Wiltjer has had a couple of nice games, but against the top college talent he's struggled. The light will come on, though, he'll learn his defensive lessons, he'll reclaim his confidence, and Wiltjer will do what he was brought here to do, score points in a variety of way.
Eloy Vargas
For the year, Vargas is averaging 1.9 points and 3.6 rebounds per game. The senior is shooting 46.7% from the field and 42.9% from the free throw line in 8.4 minutes per game.
Against UK's five toughest opponents, Vargas is averaging 1.4 ppg and 2.4 rpg. He's shooting 33.3% from the field and 50.0% from the line in 6.8 mpg.
My judgment of Vargas is based on two stats, 1) rebounds and 2) turnovers -- is he doing his job and is he taking care of the ball? That's all I need to know, because rebounding and NOT hurting the team are his primary jobs when on the court. And so far, similar to how he played the second half of last season, he's getting the job done (he even scored a big basket against IU on a nice put-back). He's grabbing rebounds, and not having the ball bullied from his grasp (thank you off-season workouts), and he has committed nary a turnover in 76 minutes of play.
Something I don't want us to forget -- Vargas doesn't get much credit for being such a good sport. He was, after all, an elite high school player, recruited by many high DI schools, but at UK he's relegated to playing sub-10 minutes per game. To his great credit he's uttered not a single regret or woe-is-me. He just continues to get better, and really, what more can one ask for.
Thanks for reading and Go 'Cats!
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Great article, Ken.
This, however, I don’t quite buy:
Defensively, Lamb possesses all the tools to be a top notch, lock-down defender.
Lamb can be a much better defender than he is, but he lacks quickness. He has good footwork, and he isn’t slow, but he isn’t quick, either. He needs to focus more on the defensive end and he’ll be much better, but he’s never going to be a lock-down defender in the sense of a DeAndre Liggins or Wayne Turner because he isn’t quick enough, and lacks the length to make up for that. In my opinion, at least.
Also, I find Anthony Davis’ footwork, particularly offensively, to be a little less solid than you do, but my biggest criticism of him is the same as for all big men at this point in their career (except DeMarcus Cousins, who seemed to understand this from birth) – don’t leave your feet until after the opponent commits to the shot.
Davis is getting caught by up-fakes. With his length, he just needs to get his hand up and stay on the floor until the opponent is in the air.
But other than those two things, I pretty much agree with the rest.
A Sea of Blue -- Kentucky Sports for the Discerning Fan
Lack Of Flexibility
This was quite apparent in Lamb last season and I see little improvement. I’m certainly not an anatomist but Lamb demonstrates a lack of the flexibility of most highly athletic individuals and it is most noticeable in the spine. In other words he plays too erect and while it isn’t restrictive on offense it doesn’t allow him to comfortably assume the correct defensive posture and, more important, maintain the posture for an extended period. Lack of quickness, especially lateral, is the result.
"In times of universal deceit, telling the truth will be a revolutionary act." - George Orwell
by Wild Weasel on Dec 14, 2011 11:00 AM EST up reply actions
That is a great point Weasel - I have noticed that and found it slightly strange looking
A man is nothing more than a summation of his scars!
Lamb's back is almost always straight, almost like his mother is
constantly telling him to “stand up straight!” It is strange looking, but it shouldn’t be unfamiliar to UK fans because T Delk was the same way (and he was, by the way, a very good defender).
by Ken Howlett on Dec 14, 2011 10:29 PM EST up reply actions
"no real criticism of Davis"
52.6% of his free throws
47.4% of his free throws against UK’s five toughest opponents
the fouls he was called for in Bloomington were “stupid fouls”
He is the guy to foul on this team..
and if his woes from the stripe continues it will be a big problem especially in close games. He will be fouled over and over in games were UK leads and teams are trying to work the clock. Cal will have a tough decision to make about keeping him on the floor.
by maysvilleblue on Dec 14, 2011 11:11 AM EST up reply actions
I'm not going to be critical of a Davis' ft shooting when he's only been a "big man" for a very
short period of time. He’s still adjusting to the growth of his legs and arms. Hopefully he will improve from the line, but if not, I’ll take his 4+ blocks per game and shot altering, as well as his offensive game, and chalk up his ft shooting to nobody being perfect.
by Ken Howlett on Dec 14, 2011 10:25 PM EST up reply actions
Good stuff Ken
On Miller’s 3’s, I still am not concerned that this is anything more than a “small sample size” singularity. Your comments that his shooting stroke looks fine reinforces this for me. I don’t think there is anything “wrong” with Miller that time and more shot attempts won’t solve.
Lamb absolutely needs to be taking more 3’s. I mentioned this in one of the Indiana post game threads, but the UK team as a whole is not taking enough shots from beyond the arc. This team has good shooters – they need to take advantage of that more often then they have this season.
1/x doesn't die, it just fades away.
I agree
we have the shooters on this team to take more shots from outside the arc. That would also open up the floor more for dribble penetration and for Davis/Jones to work the paint offensively.
The weird thing is that our offense doesn’t seem to be creating very many open looks from 3 so far. A lot of our sets look pretty stagnant for one thing, but I also think we are running plays predominantly designed to get the ball into the lane, and maybe we should have more balance.
expectations are premeditated resentments - cheshirecat
kcg
Obviously, I agree with both you and JLev on all counts. The halfcourt isn’t what it should be to this point, but with Teague’s growth at the point that issue should resolve itself.
by Ken Howlett on Dec 14, 2011 10:26 PM EST up reply actions
Re: Three-point attempts
This team has at least three (Lamb, Miller, Wiltjer) players who have proven in different fora that they can shoot from outside and do it well. There are also at least two others (Jones and Teague, and possibly even K-G) who might produce an acceptable 33%+ on three-point attempts.
As I see it, and as others have commented, the problem is that we simply aren’t shooting enough three-pointers. Any shooter needs to put some shots up to be comfortable. More than once in his career, Miller has missed a couple or three threes and then come on and made two or three in a row. I think all these guys could be much more comfortable if they took more outside shots.
The offense, the way it is being run now, can produce long shots, but only when the dribbler (or inside pass receiver, for that matter) looks outside when the going gets tough inside. Right now, it looks like this team is into forcing inside shots to get fouled. Considering the way some of them are shooting FTs, and in the words of Dr. Phil, “How’s that working out for them?”
Making a defense “breathe” is a fundamental way to produce open three-pointers. The last shot IU made was a good example. One player drives, forcing the defense (Miller in this case) to take him, then kicks the ball out beyond the arc to an open shooter. Now, I’ll give you that the defense wasn’t set in this case, but the principle is the same. Ball reversal causes the defense big problems, whether it’s left/right or in/out.
Currently, we don’t seem to be taking advantage of this principle. Thankfully, our team is talented enough to get by without it most of the time. At least once, however, we haven’t been.
"The credit belongs to the man who is actually in the arena . . .who spends himself for a worthy cause . . ."
by oldcat'69 on Dec 14, 2011 7:12 PM EST via mobile reply actions 1 recs
Wiltjer really needs to step it up....
We keep hearing he is a great shooter but his stats are not all that impressive (particularly the further from the basket he goes). I was expecting alot more from him as far as shooting goes. I know, I know, he is adjusting to college ball and its still early.
Slower Traffic Keep Right!
Nice shakedown
Overall, I think we are in pretty good shape. The talent is there, they appear to be listening. Teague has stepped his game up from being a TO machine. Once he gets more comfortable and starts playing it naturally instead of thinking, he will be very good. I pretty much agree with all your other points. In the next game or two getting a backup PG who can spell some minutes for Teague and allow him to get his breath plus a pointer or two from Rod/Cal and still leave Lamb as a 2G will be nice. Cal plays a pretty tight rotation, but depth never hurts.
I think this team's in great shape, I really do.
Adding depth is always a good thing, particularly good since it’s pg depth (for the reasons you state).
Too bad Hood and Poole aren’t around to give some help off the bench, but I’ve thought since he announced his transfer that Beckham could help this team. I guess we’re about to find out.
by Ken Howlett on Dec 15, 2011 11:56 PM EST up reply actions
















