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Log5 Projections for SEC Tournament

These are log5 projections for next week's SEC Tournament. As expected, Kentucky is the favorite to win the whole thing (The Wildcats are 42.47% to win the championship, a little better than 2.5 to 1 odds). Also unsurprisingly, Vanderbilt has the second best survival rating for the tournament at 19.22%. Pythagorean Win Percentages are taken from Ken Pomeroy's site. If you don't know what log5 is or how it's calculated, there's a really good article and explanation here. This is the third year I've done the log5 calculator for the SECT, and other than the year when Georgia shocked everyone and won the thing, it's been fairly accurate. Anyway, enjoy if you're interested. I'll have one next week for the NCAA tournament.

Pyth. Quarterfinals Semifinals Finals Champion
E1 Kentucky 0.9549 100.00% 83.78% 58.24% 42.47%
E5 South Carolina 0.7601 39.96% 5.20% 1.36% 0.41%
W4 Alabama 0.8264 60.04% 11.02% 3.81% 1.47%
W2 Mississippi 0.8739 100.00% 41.42% 12.74% 6.05%
W6 LSU 0.4659 7.10% 0.79% 0.05% 0.01%
E3 Tennessee 0.9194 92.90% 57.79% 23.80% 14.16%
W1 Mississippi State 0.8732 100.00% 55.29% 26.16% 8.59%
W5 Auburn 0.7287 27.29% 7.66% 2.08% 0.35%
E4 Florida 0.8774 72.71% 37.05% 17.87% 6.01%
E2 Vanderbilt 0.9093 100.00% 77.48% 46.82% 19.22%
E6 Georgia 0.7646 56.45% 13.81% 4.62% 0.90%
W3 Arkansas 0.7148 43.55% 8.71% 2.44% 0.39%

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