The NIT: Gameday Breakdown
In tonight's 7:00 EST second round NIT game versus the Missouri Valley Conference's Creighton Bluejays (27-7, 14-4), Kentucky fans will have the opportunity to see how well their Wildcats can focus on the task at hand. That task is made more difficult with the rumors swirling about UK head coach Billy Gillispie, and whether or not his days in Lexington are numbered.
Publicly at least, the players and coach are focusing their thoughts and efforts on defeating the Bluejays. But, one has to wonder if the intensity of the media and fan feeding frenzy is occupying an inordinate amount of their energy and focus. Which brings me back to my original thought: Will UK play with purpose and determination?
My guess is that the leadership of Patrick Patterson, and his absolute hatred of losing, will overcome any perceived obstacles the team is facing. The environment will not be unlike an SEC road game; a nearly full Qwest Center (Cap. 17,600), with Bluejay fans in full-throated, vocal support of their team. This Kentucky team (21-13, 9-9), though, is not a neophyte when it comes to playing on rowdy, hostile road-courts, and that experience may very well pay off this evening.
Omaha is anxiously awaiting the 'Cats, so let's look at what's in store:
Creighton Personnel
Booker Woodfox: 6-1, 185 lb senior guard -- Woodfox averages 15.7 points, 2.4 rebounds and 1.1 assists per game. He shoots 48.3% from the field, 47.6% from beyond the arc (88-185), and 87.3% from the free throw line. Woodfox is the MVC Player of the Year.
P'Allen Stinnett: 6-3, 180 lb sophomore guard -- He averages 12.4 points, 2.9 rebounds, 1.8 assists (1.9 turnovers), and 1.5 steals per game. Stinnett makes 44.1% of his shots, 31.3% of his three-point attempts (41-131), and 75.6% of his free throws. Stinnett led the MVC with 68 steals.
Kenny Lawson, Jr.: 6-9, 245 lb sophomore center -- Lawson averages 8.4 points, 4.8 rebounds, and 1.6 blocks per game. He makes 53.1% of his shots, and 75.4% of his free throws.
Justin Carter: 6-4, 200 lb junior G/F -- Carter averages 8.1 points, 5.2 rebounds, 1.8 assists, and 1.1 steals per game. He's making 45.5% of his field goal attempts, 25.0% of his threes (12-48), and 68.6% of his free throws.
Cavel Witter: 6-0, 165 lb junior guard -- Witter averages 7.9 points, 2.3 assists, 1.9 rebounds, and 1.0 steals per game. He makes 33.9% of his shots from the field, 31.8% of his three-point attempts (34-107), and 85.4% of his free throws.
Kenton Walker: 6-9, 235 lb sophomore F/C -- Walker averages 5.1 points, 3.9 rebounds, and 1.3 blocks per game. He shoots 53.8% from the floor, and 72.2% from the free throw line.
Antoine Young: 6-0, 165 lb freshman guard -- He averages 5.1 points per game. Young is shooting 39.7% from the floor, 28.2% of his trey attempts (11-39), and 70.0% from the charity stripe.
Kaleb Korver: 6-5, 190 lb sophomore guard -- Korver averages 3.7 points, an 2.3 rebounds per game. He shoots 43.5% from the field, 45.3% from the three-point line (38-84), and 70.0% from the free throw line. Korver is the brother of former Creighton and current NBA player, Kyle Korver.
Casey Harriman: 6-5, 205 lb sophomore forward -- Harriman averages 3.7 points, and 2.7 rebounds per game. He shoots 39.8% from the field, 40.3% from behind the arc, and 64.5% from the charity stripe.
Josh Dotzler: 6-1, 175 lb senior guard -- Dotzler averages 3.1 points, 3.4 assists, and 1.6 rebounds per game. He makes 38.7% of his field goal attempts, 36.4% of his threes (8-22), and 60.5% of his free throws.
Creighton Team and Opponent Stats -- Overall
Creighton Opponents
Points Per Game -- 73.6 65.5
Field Goal% -- 44.7 42.2
Free Throw% -- 75.3 68.8
3-Point% -- 37.9 34.5
Rebound Margin -- - 3.7
Off. Rebound Per Game - 9.6 11.8
Off. Rebound% -- 28.5 34.0
Def. Rebound% -- 66.0 71.5
Assists Per Game -- 14.1 12.1
Steals Per Game -- 8.2 5.9
Turnovers Per Game -- 12.2 16.1
Blocks Per Game -- 3.9 2.9
Bluejay Bits
Creighton wins of note: 82-75 over New Mexico, 69-58 @ St. Josephs, 77-59 over Dayton, 83-75 @ DePaul, and 73-72 over Southern Illinois ... Creighton losses of note: 71-69 @ Arkansas, Little-Rock, 54-52 @ Nebraska, 69-66 versus Northern Iowa, 74-62 versus Drake, and 73-49 versus Illinois St. in the MVC Tournament ... Creighton is 16-2 at home (losses to N. Iowa and Drake) ... In Creighton's seven losses they average only 60.4 points per game ... They average 76.3 points at home ... The Bluejays have attempted 708 three-point shots (20.8 per game) ... They make an average of 7.9 threes per game ... RPI comparison -- UK 79, Creighton 40 ... Strength of Schedule comparison -- UK 64, Creighton 111 ... The Bluejays are 2-2 versus the RPI Top 50 (UK is 3-4) ... This is coach Dana Altman's 15th year at Creighton ... Chad Millard, a U of L transfer, averages 9.5 minutes per game ... Creighton is hosting an SEC school for the first time in forty years ... The Bluejays are two-point favorites.
CliffNote's Analysis
Dana Altman's club likes to shoot the trey, but they don't rebound, or defend the paint with particular effectiveness. This leads me to believe that the focus of tonight's game should be getting the ball to Patrick Patterson, and defending the perimeter.
Sound like a familiar refrain? This does also: Surely Altman will double and triple-team Patterson in the paint; I don't foresee Kenny Lawson being left alone to guard UK's paint warrior. Lately, UK opponents have been allowing Patterson to receive the pass, but then forcing the big fella into a highly contested shot, or harassing him into an ineffective pass out of the block. That has hopefully been an area of concentration among the Kentucky coaching staff, because without an effective Patterson, UK"s chances diminish exponentially.
Assuming Creighton matches their season average of making eight threes per game, UK must then find a way to get Jodie Meeks some open looks. The UK star clearly hasn't been himself recently; since making 4-6 three-pointers at South Carolina of February 25, he has made only nine of 41 trey attempts (21.9%). Tonight would clearly be a great time for Darius Miller and Michael Porter to provide some perimeter scoring help.
Something to remember: Kentucky has won only one game this year when their opponents make more three-pointers than the boys in blue.
Locate the shooter! Gillispie should have painted that Basketball 101 creed inside the eyelids of his troops, because UK finding the Creighton shooter, of which there are plenty, will go a long way in determining tonight's winner. Dropping off the perimeter player to help in the paint is not an option in this game ... not if the 'Cats are to pull out a victory. Creighton's post-presence consists of Lawson, and 6-9 Kenton Walker; between them they average an underwhelming 13.4 points per game. If I'm Gillispie, I would be content to give up 20 points tonight to the two big men, in exchange for on-the-catch perimeter defense.
Altman consistently uses 10 players; the conditioning of the 'Cats will probably be an issue, and may require Gillispie to dip into his seldom-used bench.
Thanks for reading, and Go 'Cats; survive and advance!
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Comments
BCG angst
I wrote for so long a new post came up. Reposted from below.
I am struck by lots this bb season. The least of which is this BCG talk particularly at a time when we all need to just focus on the now.
I am a native of Kentucky…in fact of many generations. I love the state and my people. We have a strange way however of those who are not "one of us". My grandmother, age 84, from generations dating to the beginnig of population in her county, attested to by the family cemetary of total family occupants from then to now, would refer to a neighbor in an odd but direct manner. Two men of this neighbor’s name lived in her "holler" (hear eastern part of the state). The nearby neighbor was always called his name and then "the man from Pennsylvania". One day as a teen I suddenly heard this name for the upteenth time but for some reason on that day was struck with her label since the "man from Pennsylvana," just four years her junior was a good neighbor, a good friend and he had lived in his nearby house for sixty-four years on this day of my conversation. She then explained "you are either from HERE or AWAY". "Be careful always of those from AWAY….they don’t really know us". I was never sure if she felt she was special being from HERE or threatened by those from AWAY.
Wonder how wide spread this KY pattern is ? I certainly wonder if he would have come knowing he is likely not to be "one of us" or even if he really wants to stay with a permanent label that rises or falls with every win or loss? For his sake, the sake of the team and this BBNation, we need a win tonight. Such an outcome will certainly save us from ourselves….at least until the next game.
by CAWebb on Mar 23, 2009 10:15 AM PDT reply actions 0 recs
Thanks for sharing your thoughts
I once lived in a very small Kentucky town (which will remain unamed), and if you weren’t from that town, or county, you were referred to as a “foreigner.”
Rupp, Sutton Born In Kansas
Pitino born in NY (Long Island). Tubby in Maryland.
Only Joe B Hall was KY born and bred.
by FortyYearCatFan on Mar 23, 2009 1:36 PM EDT up reply actions
and funny thing is..
He was one of the most underappreciated coachs considering his level of accomplishments. I guess understandable when you follow a legend.
It's still
that way. Peopleon our 1/4 mile street will wave but are hard to get close too. I’m here 30 years and don’t know one third except to wave. The past ice storm changed a lot of that. There were people coming around to see if you needed anything. There are a lot more “neighbors” now.
During Pitino's
era at UK, He “talked funny”,“we talked funny” He couldn’t find good food. His wife stayed in Boston a lot. The horses were about the only thing that He loved about Kentucky.
I don't think the state itself is why his wife stayed in Boston. ;-)
Of course its difficult, its a shortcut... if it was easy it'd just be "the way."
A fast start
would be incredibly beneficial against what will be a raucous crowd. Going by past performance tho, I’m not holding out great hope.
We’ll just have to grind it out. I wouldn’t be surprised if Harrellson got a little time in tonite. A double post in the paint against a team with less than blazing quickness might get PPat some more opportunities.
Considering Gillispie has never played Harrelson much to this point
I’d be stunned if he played much tonight.
Of course its difficult, its a shortcut... if it was easy it'd just be "the way."
It probably won't happen
But if the Cats could pull off the win tonight and eventually the NIT crown, that could possibly be the greatest coaching job under the circumstances ever at UK.
If anyone can do it
Gillispie can.
I believe in Billy G.
by kentuckygirl0724 on Mar 23, 2009 3:20 PM EDT up reply actions
what's the over/under on...
…how many minutes Liggins will see tonight..? ;-)
Steelers fan 1st! UK is my 2nd love.
I say 5 over/under
Of course its difficult, its a shortcut... if it was easy it'd just be "the way."
over/under is tough
i would have to say under 5 minutes OR over 12 minutes, but nothing in between…..
by memphis wildcat on Mar 23, 2009 5:27 PM EDT up reply actions
From here...
Ive lived in the area i live now for over 40 years, except for a tour in the Air Force….and im leary of anyone i dont know these days. but i try to treat others like id want to be treated no matter where they’re from.
" I believe in pipedreams"
Stevenson and Miller are KEY tonight
If Patterson is double/triple teamed all night Stevenson needs to step up and get those easy baskets. Same with Miller he needs to be able to drive into the paint and hit those short jumpers. Also, Stevenson is our best perimeter defender out of our bigs. Very big advantage being able to keep him out there when they go with a smaller line-up.
Ramon will also be important, as one of our best overall perimeter defenders. Plus, these days you can count on a handful of offensive rebounds from him.
Perimeter Play
How effective UK’s perimeter players defend the 3 and how well they take care of ball will be a determining factor.
Can you imagine...
…the audience that ESPN will have for this game tonight..? Taking everything that is being written and said…
I bet it’s an NIT bonanza…
It will interesting to listen to the down time dialog from the announcers…
Any idea who is calling the game..?
Steelers fan 1st! UK is my 2nd love.
Oops..........here ya go.......
Center: Kenny Lawson (8.4 PPG, 4.8 RPG) vs. Patrick Patterson (18.1 PPG, 9.4 RPG). According to Creighton’s media notes, Lawson is the MVC shot block leader, while Patterson was “HS teammate of OJ Mayo.”
Here’s what Creighton’s media department left out for Patterson: 5 Star recruit, McDonald’s All-American 1st Team All-SEC (2nd Team as a frosh), Co-SEC Freshman of the Year, All-American candidate, and currently on the NBA Lottery bubble according to many outlets. Oh, and he averaged 22.3 PPG after coming back from a early/mid-season ankle injury.
Kenny Lawson…well, Kenny has 10 pounds on Patterson, and gets winded 3 minutes into games. Patterson averages 34 minutes a game.
Advantage: Uh, I’m pretty sure that’s Kentucky.
Mitch
For the past few weeks we have mostly been discussing the future of our coach rather than the potential of the team. This is distruptive and could have harmful effects on how they play. Micth could have stopped this by giving support for Billy during the season. If he is going to get rid of him, it would have been far better if he at least supported him during the season. I am beginning to get the feeling to ditch Mitch. Although I cannot do that. I also cannot keep Billy. That is between them.
How Big In Omaha? Real Big!
No programs…just settle for the name on the ticket: “Kentucky”
I hope they stand around and watch
“1. Will the Jays be spectators? There was a buzz at CU practice on Sunday about when Kentucky was coming to practice. Creighton cannot stand in awe of the Kentucky jerseys and watch the game. Pretend that it’s Drake. OK, well, you get the idea.”
I like our chances
I think all this team needs to pull off the win tonight is heart and smarts. We have a size advantage, a rebounding advantage, and enough talent to overcome any motivation provided by the 18,000 squawking Jays fans. I am pretty sure that when I was at Memorial last week I saw our team play with desire for about 2/3 of the game. We squeezed enough juice out of that for a win. If we lose tonight, I am predicting complacency as the culprit.
I want to see the Cats "boogie" in Omaha tonight
I have seen all the angst in the BBN the last many weeks since we started losing in regular season and since. I think the members here, including me, are so unsure of the future of UK basketball and Coach G and it has weighed heavily on our psyche.
I rec’d this in an email today and it really got me hyped for tonight’s game. Sometimes we all need something different to divert the feelings we are experiencing now.
Get hyped for the game tonight ASoB. This is a great one!
http://vodpod.com/watch/1116988-ray-charles-jerry-lee-lewis-fats-domino
My Crystal Ball Says...
If Creighton’s guards pressure our guards and shoot the three well, they will win.
If Creighton’s guards shoot poorly (like UNLV did for two-thirds of the game last week), UK will exploit its height advantage and win.
Go Cats!
I'm going to put on my Basketball TV Analyst hat and say
That when Creighton makes shots they are tough to beat.
And when UK makes shots they are tough to beat.
So this game will come down to which team can make shots.
I like important stuff just as much as the next guy, but please, for a little while, deliver us from meaning, baseball. That's your greatest glory, and we thank you for it very, very much. -- Craig Calcaterra
That's Way Too Complicated...
How about this…
Whoever scores the most will win.
Book it.
TORNADO WARNING out side the Qwest Center....
Kentucky has come to town, and brought HELL with them….lol
Steelers fan 1st! UK is my 2nd love.
seriously
guys………the tornado is on the ground………….
I don't care who is coach as long as Kentucky is Kentucky!
I know that...
…Don’t get on your high horse because of a little humor, my God…
My cousin is going to the game… He called me to tell me to watch for him on TV… He said, “damn, I don’t know if I’ll get there, the sky is completely black”… he luaghed, I laughed and told him to be careful…
Not wishing any harm on anyone here dude… I know it’s a serious situation…
Steelers fan 1st! UK is my 2nd love.
hey
no high horse here and its lady not dude:). I am EXTREMELY sensitive about this stuff. I live exactly one mile from Union University in Jackson, TN. Let me just say that after what I saw happen……….I don’t even begin to joke about a tornado heading towards students.
I don't care who is coach as long as Kentucky is Kentucky!
No way to watch online?
I’m assuming that is true since it is ESPN covering the game…. Someone please tell me I’m wrong!!
BCG
Listening to an interview on ESPN radio and the guy is sure BCG is gone. His comment was that “the only reason that Gillispie is here is because so many others turned the job down”….the BS is getting deep out there. I hate to see this being tried in the court of public opinion with so many UK bashers out there to add their negative spin on things, Wish that Mitch and company would step in and give some support to the coach. The guy (and I didn’t catch who he was) was asked if Billy was let go what names would there be for a possible replacement … and he mentioned the Ricky P. – but said P would not do that … then added that he couldn’t name a possible replacement – what a source.
After the South Carolina game, I was ready to toss the towel in on BCG too. But, I think for the good of the program he should be given another year, But, that additional year should come with concessions … and I don’t mean in coaching style or even in wins .. I mean the way he represents this school and these fans – which includes me. If you look up mental cruelty in the dictionary you might well see his face. I mean with players, with the media, and upper management. Obviously he doesn’t want to sign a contract or else he would have long ago – his MOU must be better than anything they can offer him so why not play hard ball with Mitch and company. I think at some point, BCG must step up and do the right thing – it should be an honor to coach at Kentucky. He says he “loves it here” – well its time to show it.
Hope we can put W on the board tonight against another 3pt team – GO CATS!!
The open thread ...
… will be up at 7:00. I was late getting it done today.
A Sea of Blue -- Kentucky Sports for the Discerning Fan
Just listening to Paul Finebaum on the radio as I drove home from work. He apparently
thinks CBCG is gone and thinks a big name coach will be interested. I’d say that if Coach leaves, it’s because he wants to go, but you know what they say about opinions – everybody has one.
No Replay Of Atlanta
Complete the game and move on without incident.
UK's Leading Scorer Tonight (So Far)
Why, it’s Perry Stevenson.
Hmmm.
by FortyYearCatFan on Mar 23, 2009 7:45 PM EDT reply actions

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