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Big Blue Daily Mail -- Kentucky Football Bowl Hopes Edition

I did not get to see or hear a minute of Saturday's game as Mrs. Tru and I were out at Churchill Downs enjoying a beautiful day of racing, and yesterday I was again away from the blog due to other commitments.

As many of you know, the Big Blue Daily Mail has been less and less "daily" lately, something I am not too happy with.  So in an effort to streamline it and make it easier for me to publish each morning, I will be including fewer stories in the BBDM and losing the categorization.  From now on, the BBDM will be something in the neighborhood of 10-20 news/blog stories.

The big news from last Saturday is a) Randall Cobb and Derrick Locke both sat the EKU game out and b) Morgan Newton and a fairly quiet UK receiving corps had a big day against a team that they should have a big day against.  The question now becomes, with Kentucky sitting on the bubble at 5-3, can the 'Cats win one more to get bowl eligible, and even if they do, does it actually mean they will be playing in a bowl?

Right now, there are 6 SEC teams that are bowl-eligible at 6+ wins, and the only team that is out of bowl striking distance is Vanderbilt at 2-7.  The way I count it, there are a total of nine bowl tie-ins for the SEC, and it looks as if there could be 10 bowl-eligible teams from the SEC.  So at this point, I'm going to suggest that six wins will not get UK into a bowl game this year all by itself.  Seven probably will, and eight definitely will, but the Mississippi State loss two games ago could well cost Rich Brooks his much-ballyhooed fourth bowl in a row.  An alert reader reminded me that the SEC has 2 likely BCS teams, so that would mean 11 spots rather than 9.  So it looks like unless MSU wins out, all UK needs is to win six games to make a low-level bowl.

Here's how the league looks for the rest of the season:

 

Team cWL W-L bWL SoS Polls Left on schedule
Florida 7-0 9-0 7-0 47.41 1,[1!] @USC, FIU, FSU, Alabama
Alabama 6-0 9-0 7-0 52.62 3,[2!] @MSU, UT Chat., @Auburn, @Florida
LSU 4-2 7-2 5-2 50.74 11,8 LaTech, @Ole Miss, Arkansas
South Carolina 3-4 6-4 4-4 44.86 42 Florida, Clemson
Auburn 3-3 7-3 4-3 46.42 25,27 @UGA, Alabama
Tennessee 2-3 5-4 2-4 46.43 37,35 @Ole Miss, Vanderbilt, @UK
Arkansas 2-4 5-4 3-4 49.70
Troy, MSU, @LSU
Georgia 3-3 5-4 4-4 48.67
Auburn, UK, @Ga Tech
Kentucky 1-4 5-4 2-4 48.83
@Vandy, @UGA, UT
Mississippi State 2-3 4-5 2-4 55.59
Alabama, @Arkansas, Ole Miss
Mississippi 2-3 6-3 2-3 38.54 39,38 Tennessee, LSU, @MSU
Vanderbilt 0-6 2-8 0-7 40.47
Kentucky, @UT

Star-divide

Looking at that schedule, you'd have to say that MSU has the toughest row to hoe to get to bow eligibility, having to pull off two major upsets to get there.  Arkansas has the easiest path remaining to six wins with Troy coming in next week, then MSU.  UK has a fairly manageable path to six wins, but the seventh is going to require an upset, although not a major one.

Obviously, if UK winds up with six wins and 2-6 in conference, bowls are going to be dropping either UK or somebody like Arkansas, assuming they only win one more, or Georgia, assuming they only get six.  Georgia has a very tough road to seven wins, and would have to beat Auburn and UK back to back, or upset highly ranked Georgia Tech.

In the end, UK could be in a real tough spot if it winds up with only six wins and is competing against the likes of Tennessee or Georgia for the final bowl spot.  UK might get picked over Arkansas (and might not), but I think the 'Cats lose out if they are sitting on six wins with Georgia and/or Tennessee as their competitor for the final bowl spot.  The 'Cats have only one big win on their entire schedule right now, versus rising Auburn on the Plains.

Now, for the news:

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Cat's Get A Bowl With Six Wins

The Cats will get a bowl with six wins regardless of the rest of the league (unless MSU wins six).

The SEC has nine tie ins, but they will get two teams to the BCS. Meaning the SEC will get ten teams to a bowl if eligible.

UK will get a low tier bowl, if they can get to six.

by jamccain on Nov 9, 2009 10:05 AM EST reply actions  

Thanks for that ...

… I had forgotten the BCS bowls for some reason. I corrected it. Nice catch.

A Sea of Blue -- Kentucky Sports for the Discerning Fan

by Glenn Logan on Nov 9, 2009 11:41 AM EST up reply actions  

UK fans bring $$$...known fact.

Bad economy = bowl bid for UK with 6 wins. GO CATS !!

Blue... there is no other color to Bleed !!!

by a2d2 on Nov 9, 2009 11:10 AM EST reply actions  

On second thought....

My theory didn’t work out so well in March…But still I must say, GO CATS !!
:-)

Blue... there is no other color to Bleed !!!

by a2d2 on Nov 9, 2009 11:18 AM EST up reply actions  

I blame Billy Gillispie

And the overly tough practices.

Of course its difficult, its a shortcut... if it was easy it'd just be "the way."

by chirop1 on Nov 9, 2009 1:42 PM EST up reply actions  

Geez Chirop.....

I didnt know his reach went THAT far…….what’s he doing, expanding to other sports???….lol

Remember, we're having fun now!!!

by ALLBLUCAT on Nov 9, 2009 1:46 PM EST up reply actions  

Opening Day for College Basketball would be great......

especially if they made it “rivalries day”….but that’s not gonna happen…..

Remember, we're having fun now!!!

by ALLBLUCAT on Nov 9, 2009 11:21 AM EST reply actions  

Newton Earns SEC Honor

Morgan Newton is SEC Freshman of the Week.

"Learn(ing) without thinking begets ignorance. Think(ing) without learning is dangerous."
-Confucius

by Wild Weasel on Nov 9, 2009 12:10 PM EST reply actions  

No offense to UK football -- Man, I can't wait until Friday

It makes Christmas look like Arbor Day.

No matter where you're at, there you are

by cincyblue on Nov 9, 2009 12:20 PM EST reply actions  

For those of us North of the River

Anybody know if FoxSports Ohio is going to pick up the games carried by FoxSouth? Does anybody know a cost efficient alternative. And please don’t reply that you get the games where you live. That does those of us in other parts of the diaspora no good. Thanks.

No matter where you're at, there you are

by cincyblue on Nov 9, 2009 12:43 PM EST reply actions  

"Opening Day"

Last year, ESPN had an all day marathon that started with some early east coast games and culminated in a WAC game out in Hawaii at 1AM or something like that.

Probably the closest thing we’ll get anytime soon.

Of course its difficult, its a shortcut... if it was easy it'd just be "the way."

by chirop1 on Nov 9, 2009 1:43 PM EST reply actions  

Zollo

I find it interesting that Travis Ford’s OkSt is on his radar now. Ford picked up Matt Pilgrim and now would appear to be recruiting another Kentucky castaway.

Of course its difficult, its a shortcut... if it was easy it'd just be "the way."

by chirop1 on Nov 9, 2009 1:45 PM EST reply actions  

Tru, it may just be me...

…but I think you had a darn good reason for missing the game… :-)

Here is a link to a quick upload of some photos that I took while out there at Santa Anita. I couldn’t imagine a better setting for racing perfection to be on display! What a beautiful track and as for Zenyatta…. wow! I am so glad that I was there to witness that ‘Girl Power’ in all its glory…

by Sonic on Nov 9, 2009 4:26 PM EST reply actions  

Dont you guys know that horse racing is the sport of kings???

And all of us on here are broke???….lol…….

Remember, we're having fun now!!!

by ALLBLUCAT on Nov 9, 2009 4:50 PM EST up reply actions  

At the top maybe, ABC!

But down here at the bottom there are still some paupers and court jesters playing the game… for now….

by Sonic on Nov 9, 2009 6:32 PM EST up reply actions  

I tried to beat Zenyatta ...

… but the second place horse still payed more on an across the board bet. :-) But what a move she made down the stretch, it was remarkable.

I bet all the CD and BC races, and still wound up about 35 or 40 bucks to the good. :-)

A Sea of Blue -- Kentucky Sports for the Discerning Fan

by Glenn Logan on Nov 9, 2009 6:17 PM EST up reply actions  

Good day, Tru!

But actually that (trying to beat a crowd favorite) is one of the reasons that I rarely, if ever, bet.

I was actually kinda pulling for Mine That Bird until Zenyatta made her entrance into the paddock and the electricity in the crowd got cranked up to about ‘9’— and it stayed humming at that pitch all the way through to the stretch run— when Zenyatta’s move out of traffic and into the clear threw it way, way over the top…

I was really happy to just stand there cheering and soaking it all in, without a bet of some kind confusing the issue….

I am glad you were able to bet that number of races and still end up with dinner money in your pocket—- you handicap better than I do! *

  • Thus identifying the other reason that I rarely, if ever, bet… :-)

by Sonic on Nov 9, 2009 6:47 PM EST up reply actions  

Heh.

My wife enjoys the ponies a lot more than me, but I do like them. She always wants to bet trifectas, but I most often stay away from the exotics for WPS or WP bets. I always try to beat the favorites, sometimes with more success than others. :-)

A Sea of Blue -- Kentucky Sports for the Discerning Fan

by Glenn Logan on Nov 9, 2009 7:24 PM EST up reply actions  

General Rule of Thumb...

Anytime you go to the track, and after paying for parking, entrance fees, food and adult beverages, and leave with the same amount of $$$ you walked in with, it’s been a GOOD day! If you leave on the + side, it’s been a GREAT day!! :-)

Had the opportunity to spend a day at Keeneland a couple of weeks ago and I might as well thrown my money on the floor for all the good I did… Still, it was a great time! Gotta luv them ponies!

If your wings don't sweep....

by EagleTDL on Nov 10, 2009 7:38 AM EST up reply actions  

No wonder NC State's BBall program has slipped.

These two “experts” had no discussion about the alignment of wrist, elbow, and shoulder, or even the placement of the fingers on the ball relative to the seams, proper orientation of the upper and lower body. To call this a discussion of free throw physics is akin to thinking the Campbellsville team has a shot at the Final Four. Sheesh.

Is it time yet? When is a game that counts toward 2000? I’m ready!!!!!!

No moral victories--it's all about Ws and Ls!!!

by oldcat'69 on Nov 9, 2009 4:36 PM EST reply actions  

They're Engineers Not Anatomists

Or, “From The Ball’s Perspective”.

"Learn(ing) without thinking begets ignorance. Think(ing) without learning is dangerous."
-Confucius

by Wild Weasel on Nov 9, 2009 4:56 PM EST up reply actions  

I understand that,

but the shoulder/elbow/wrist/hand assembly is an engineering marvel, but perhaps it’s too complicated for them to deal with, so they just work on the “end game” of ball trajectory and spin rate. Somewhat akin to Dave Pelz’ putting robot Perfy, which has only one shoulder in the middle and fixed “wrist” and “elbow”. Gross oversimplification.

To be fair, I have read only the post and not the entire article, but was so stoked waiting for the first regular season bball game, I had to make a smart-a**ed comment.

No moral victories--it's all about Ws and Ls!!!

by oldcat'69 on Nov 9, 2009 8:04 PM EST up reply actions  

Games that count to 2000

Ugh… how many games does UNC have before we get rolling?

I know they’re only 4 games back from us and they play tonight.

Of course its difficult, its a shortcut... if it was easy it'd just be "the way."

by chirop1 on Nov 9, 2009 5:00 PM EST up reply actions  

The race is on

We’ve got to win 12 before they win 16, I think.

by MTCAT on Nov 9, 2009 5:02 PM EST up reply actions  

OKAY, UNC plays their sixteenth

regular-season game on Jan 10. We play our twelfth on Dec 21 and our 16th on Jan 9. SOOOOO, if they win out till then (and the Wildcats have something to say about one of those games!!!), we would have to lose five games between now and then for them to beat us to 2000 and for my son to get crowing rights.

No moral victories--it's all about Ws and Ls!!!

by oldcat'69 on Nov 9, 2009 8:07 PM EST up reply actions  

If

we lose three games before the UL game, a victory over the Cards would be number 2000.

by kywineman on Nov 9, 2009 11:07 PM EST up reply actions  

I sure wouldn't want to do that, UNC would be right on our heels.

Give me the 2000 over some nobody. :-)

A Sea of Blue -- Kentucky Sports for the Discerning Fan

by Glenn Logan on Nov 10, 2009 11:12 PM EST up reply actions  

Finishing Strong

I don’t know if I’m just being naieve or what but I really feel like if we get healthy and keep building on the recent sucesses of both newton and the receivers we could play the next three games very competitivey and have a shot to win each of them. If that were to happen we could end up in the outback bowl and even if we drop one of them the chick fil a bowl

by hummer11092 on Nov 10, 2009 12:13 AM EST via mobile reply actions  

Hope so

I’ll be in Florida over the holidays. A sunny bowl would be a nice Christmas present. Continued slide by South Carolina will help.

by hoboat33 on Nov 10, 2009 12:20 AM EST up reply actions  

One of three chances

Vandy ain’t going to roll over, especially at home. Its a shame we need to worry about getting to the ‘sacred six’ with three SEC teams left on the schedule.
Wonder what we’ll do if Louisville improves?

I have be correctly accused of having a 'football fetish'. You know, someone who doesn't think football is the warm up sport to basketball season.

by ParisGuy on Nov 10, 2009 3:45 PM EST reply actions  

You're right.

Vandy will not roll over. They played Florida tough last week. But at least, D.J. Moore is not there anymore. :-)

A Sea of Blue -- Kentucky Sports for the Discerning Fan

by Glenn Logan on Nov 10, 2009 11:13 PM EST up reply actions  

We will get Vandy Paris......I have a feeling in my gut.....

and you know something….I am betting it will be by 2 TD’s…..dont ask me why, because the numbers and injuries point in another direction….but I feel it.

Remember, we're having fun now!!!

by ALLBLUCAT on Nov 11, 2009 10:18 AM EST up reply actions  

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