Guess The Outcome Game 2009 #00
Welcome to the Guess the Outcome Game, or GOG for short! The GOG is a season-long series in which we will see who possesses the most clairvoyant Magic 8 Ball by predicting the outcomes for games before they are actually played. Intrigued? Read On!
A little GOG History
The GOG was originally started at fellow SBN site Athletics Nation for the 2005 season and was run by AN members Alien and Jjjsixsix. In 2006, Alien handed things over to AN member AsGirl. The game was revived this past season by AN member colin who managed the dual feat of running the GOG (with 53 separate entries) and earning a PhD at the same time. I participated this year and had a lot of fun, so I thought I would bring the game over to ASoB where I think it will work quite well with basketball.
So How Do You Play?
This part is very simple. I will post a list of questions before each UK basketball game, usually the day before. Just come up with your answers and leave them as a comment. There is a deadline for the answers, which will typically be tip-off for the game in question. Examples of some AN GOG's are HERE and HERE to give you an idea of what they're like.
Questions are scored as follows:
- Yes/no type questions are worth +1 point for a correct answer or -1 point for an incorrect answer. Example: if the question is "Does Patrick Patterson block a shot against UNC?" and then he swats a weak Ed Davis offering into the 10th row, you would get +1 point for answering "yes" and -1 point for answering "no".
- Open ended questions are worth +3 points for a correct answer, with no penalty for a wrong answer. Example: "Which UK player grabs the most rebounds?" would be an open ended question.
- A common question format is to guess some stat line for a particular player in a game. These questions will have three parts, worth two points each, with no penalty for wrong answers. Example: Predict Wall's points/assists/steals.
- There may be questions with other scoring systems, but those will be explained as they occur.
After each game, I will tally up and post the scores and keep track of total points and "shooting percentage" for the entire season. I encourage everyone to play the entire season, but don't fret if you miss a GOG, just play the next time!
Round 00 of the 2009-2010 GOG is a very special one: you get to make your predictions for the whole 2009-2010 season! Will the Cats take the title? How many games will they win? I've already seen some pre-season prediction threads and you should comment on those, but answers for Round 00 will count DOUBLE so get them in!
Note: Unless otherwise specified, questions refer to the combined non-conference, conference and postseason (No exhibition games are included). No pre-season awards are considered (so pre-season All SEC, AA, etc don't count).
GOG 2009 #00: [max 77 points]
- Predict UK's regular season record (31 games).[3 points]
- Predict UK's postseason record (SECT + NCAAT/NIT/CBI). [3 points]
- Despised Rivals: Predict UK's regular season record against Tennessee, Florida, Indiana, UNC, and Louisville (7 games). [3 points]
- The SEC returns a lot of talent from last year and promises to have the strongest collection of teams we've seen in many years. With so many good squads, only a crazy person would try to predict the order of finish for the SEC East and SEC West. Predict the order of finish for the SEC East and SEC West. [+/- 1 point for each correct/incorrect]
- Which SEC team improves their record (as measured by win percentage) the most from last season? Which declines the most? [3 points each]
- Who wins the SEC Regular Season? [3 points]
- Who finishes SECOND in the SEC regular season? [3 points]
- How many Wildcats make either the AP or Coaches All-SEC team? [3 points]
- Last year only 3 SEC squads made the Big Dance. This year there should be many more, with some coaches stating they think the conference can get as many as 7 or 8. How many SEC teams make the NCAA Tournament? [3 points]
- What is UK's seed in the NCAA Tournament? [3 points] (Note: if you think UK will miss the NCAAT you can choose that too)
- Entering the season, UK leads UNC 1988 wins to 1984 wins. How many games does it take for UK to reach the 2000 win plateau? Who gets to 2000 wins first: UK or UNC? [3 points, +/-1 point]
- The last time a UK player earned a triple-double it was 1988 and Chris Mills went for 19 points, 10 boards, and 10 assists against Austin Peay. Will a UK player record a triple-double this season? [ +/-1 point]
- I'm not sure when the last time UK had a player with 10+ assists, although Cliff Hawkins had 11 against SC in 2004. Will a UK player have a 10+ assist game this season? [ +/-1 point]
- Filling Jodie's Enormous Shoes part I: Last season UK shot 35.3% from behind the arc and made 202 three pointers, thanks mostly to Jodie Meeks and his 40.6% on 288 attempts. UK doesn't have a shooter like Meeks, but does appear to have several players who can collectively pick up the slack. Does UK shoot better or worse than 35.3% from behind the arc? Does UK make more or less than 202 three pointers? [ +/- 1 point each]
- Filling Jodie's Enormous Shoes part II: Who leads the team in scoring (ppg)? [3 points]
- UK fans love the in-state players. How many combined starts for Darius Miller, Jon Hood, and Mark Krebs? [3 points]
- Big things from Wall: predict his Minutes Per Game/Points Per Game/Assists Per Game. [2 points each]
- Darnell Dodson is the obvious candidate to step in for Jodie. Predict his Points Per Game/3-Pointers Made Per Game /Steals Per Game. [2 points each]
- Patterson will play more minutes, but Stevenson is the better shot blocker. Who has more blocked shots this season? [+/- 1 point]
- More Patterson: Predict his Points Per Game/Rebounds Per Game/Blocks Per Game. [2 points each]
- Even more Patterson (because he is so awesome): Does Patrick make AP 1st Team All-American? [+/- 1 point]
- Beasts in the paint: Which tandem produces more double-doubles: Patterson/Stevenson or Orton/Cousins? [+/- 1 point]
- No matter when the season ends, it will be too soon: Who scores the final point(s) for UK this season? [3 points]
Deadline is tip-off with Morehead State, Friday November 13.
4 recs |
24 comments
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Comments
this looks pretty cool
1) 26-5
2) 8-1
3) 7-0
4) East` UK, UT, Vandy, UF, USC, Georgia
West: MSU, Ole Miss, Bama, Auburn, LSU, Arkansas
5) Arkansas, LSU
6) Kentucky
7) Tennessee
8) 4
9) 6
10) 1
11) 12, UK,
12) Yes
13) Yes
14) Less
15) J. Wall
16) 38
17) 25/20/7
18) 14/3/2
19) P-Pat
20) 16/9/4
21) Yes
22) Orton/Cousins
23) P~pat
Falling in love is so hard on the knees
by dancoo626 on Nov 9, 2009 12:49 AM EST reply actions 0 recs
On #14 I meant less on both parts but I guess you could have figured that out…thanks for doing this…it looks to be alot of fun
Falling in love is so hard on the knees
by dancoo626 on Nov 12, 2009 10:35 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs
Love it!
I’m totally in!
I think this is a fabulous idea, thanks for sharing it with us. Also, thanks in advance for keeping track of everyone’s score. That seems like a rather lot of work, though, seeing as how you are a math guy, I’m sure you have some sort of ridiculously meticulous spreadsheet rigged up. : )
I don’t have time to sit down and answer all the questions right now, but I’ll definitely get my answers in by Friday.
by BigSkyCat on Nov 9, 2009 9:21 AM EST reply actions 0 recs
Ok, here are my answers.
1. 27-4
2. 8-1
3. 5-2
4. East: UK, TN, Vandy, Florida, South Carolina, Georgia
West: Mississippi State, LSU, Arkansas, Alabama, Ole Miss, Auburn
5. UK. Alabama.
6. UK
7. Tennessee
8. 3
9. 6
10. 2
11. 13. UK.
12. Yes
13. Yes
14. Better. Less.
15. Wall
16. 28
17. 30/18/8
18. 14/3/2
19. Patterson
20. 14/10/2
21. Yes
22. Orton/Cousins
23. Cousins
Thanks again, JLev. This should be fun!
by BigSkyCat on Nov 9, 2009 6:32 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs
Only a crazy person would try to predict the SEC finish order?.....LOL......that we are !
Great idea…..No time today though, as I fear this may also make me miss some games during the season. But no harm in that I suppose. :-)
Thanks for offering to keep up with it too. There are some unforeseen factors that could really affect the answers to this first GOG covering the entire season……..And I thought NCAA tourney brackets were fun…. well, this theme is Wildcats. :-)
Blue... there is no other color to Bleed !!!
by a2d2 on Nov 9, 2009 11:06 AM EST reply actions 0 recs
Okay....here are my guesses
1. 27-4
2. 8-1
3. 6-1
4. East: UK, TN, FL, Vandy, SC, GA
West: MS St, MS, AL, AR, Auburn, LSU
5. UK, LSU
6. UK
7. TN
8. 4
9. 6
10. 2
11. 13, UK
12. YES
13. YES
14. Better – Less
15. Wall
16. 15
17. 31/22/10
18. 16/2/3
19. Stevenson
20. 18/10/2
21. YES
22. Orton/Cousins
23.Patterson
Blue... there is no other color to Bleed !!!
by a2d2 on Nov 11, 2009 11:03 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs
Sounds fun
1. 26-5
2. 9-0
3. 6-1
4. East: UK, TN, USC, Vandy, UF, Georgia
West: MSU, Bama, LSU, Ole Miss, Auburn, Arkansas
5. Alabama, Auburn
6. UK
7. MSU
8. 2
9. 6
10. 1
11. 13, UK
12. Yes
13. YES!!!!
14. <35.3%, <202
15. Wall
16. 30
17. 22 min/G, 23 pts/G, 7.5 assists/G
18. 9 pts/G, 2.5 3s made/G, 1.5 steals/G
19. Patterson
20. 18 pts/G, 9.5 rebs/G, 2.2 blocks/G
21. NO
22. Patterson/Stevenson
23. Wall
"The IQ of a mob is the IQ of its most stupid member divided by the number of mobsters." --Terry Pratchett
by Ontherocks on Nov 9, 2009 1:06 PM EST reply actions 0 recs
This is great.
1. 27-4
2. 8-1
3. 5-2
4. East: UK, UT, VaU, UFl, USC, UGa
West: Miss St., LSU, Ark, Bama, Auburn, Ole Miss
5. Improve: UK
Decrease: Auburn
6. UK
7. Miss St.
8. 3
9. 6
10. 1
11. 13, UK
12. Yes
13. Yes
14. Better, less
15. John Wall
16. (I assume this is just regular season) – 32
17. 31 min/game, 22 pts/game, 7 assists/game
18. 14 pts/game, 3 3s/game, 1.5 steals/game
19. Stevenson
20. 16 pts/game, 8 rebounds/game, 1.5 blocks/game
21. Yes
22. Orton/Cousins
23. Patterson
Man is least himself when he talks in his own person. Give him a mask, and he will tell you the truth.
--O.W.
by blbskue on Nov 9, 2009 4:01 PM EST reply actions 0 recs
Answers
OK, let’s give this a whirl.
1. 27-4
2. 6-1
3. 5-2
4. East – UK, UT, Vandy, UF, USC, Georgia; West – Miss. St., Alabama, LSU, Auburn, Arkansas, Ole Miss
5. Improve – UK; Decrease – LSU
6. UK
7. Miss. St.
8. 2
9. 5
10. 1
11. 13; UK
12. No
13. Yes
14. Better, fewer
15. Wall
16. 31
17. 28mpg / 21ppg / 5apg
18. 8ppg / 1.5 3pg / .4spg
19. Patterson
20. 17ppg / 8rpg / 1bpg
21. No
22. Orton / Cousins
23. Wall
by Acdixon on Nov 10, 2009 1:45 PM EST reply actions 0 recs
Answers
1. 25-6
2. 6-1
3. 5-2
4. East: UK, TN, South Carolina, Florida, Vandy, Georgia
West: Mississippi State, Alabama, Arkansas, LSU, Ole Miss, Auburn
5. UK+, Auburn-
6. UK
7. TN
8. 2
9. 6
10. 2
11. 14
12. No
13. No
14. Worse, Less
15. 3
16. Patterson
17. 28/18/7
18. 11/2/2
19. Patterson
20. 20/7/2
21. Yes
22. Patterson/Stevenson
23. Wall
the REAL fake Mr. Bob Dobalina
Formerly known as "senowen"
by bluesquire on Nov 10, 2009 3:49 PM EST reply actions 0 recs
oops
Should be
15. Patterson
16. 3
the REAL fake Mr. Bob Dobalina
Formerly known as "senowen"
by bluesquire on Nov 12, 2009 9:43 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs
GOG Answers
First let me just say that this is a great idea, and thanks for doing all the work that’s involved with the GOG.
1. 28-3
2. 7-1
3. 6-1
4. E: UK, UT, USC, Vandy, UF, Georgia
W: MSU, Ole Miss, Arkansas, Bama, Auburn, LSU
5. UK improves, LSU declines
6. UK
7. MSU
8. 3
9. 6
10. 1
11. 13 games, UK
12. yes
13. yes
14. better, less
15. Wall
16. 30 (out of 31 regular season games)
17. 30 min/21 pts/7 assists
18. 14/2/1.2
19. Stevenson
20. 28/11/2
21. yes
22. Cousins/Orton
23. Patterson
GO BIG BLUE!! GO BIG BLUE!!
by UKWildCatFanatic on Nov 10, 2009 4:14 PM EST reply actions 0 recs
#20 was a mistake
should be 20/11/2
GO BIG BLUE!! GO BIG BLUE!!
by UKWildCatFanatic on Nov 10, 2009 7:48 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs
I like this !
1.) 28-3
2.) 8-1
3.) 6-1
4.) East: UK, Vandy, USC, UT, UF, UGA
West: MSU, Arkansas, Ole Miss, LSU, Bama, Auburn
5.) Improve: UK; Decline: UT
6.) UK
7.) Arkansas
8.) 3
9.) 5
10.) 2
11.) 13/ UK
12.) Yes
13.) No
14.) Worse, Less
15.) Wall
16.) 5
17.) 35 min/ 28pts/6 Asst
18.) 12/ 3/ 3
19.) Stevenson
20.) 16/12/ 3
21.) yes
22.) Patterson/ Stevenson
23.) Bledsoe
by bluelaw on Nov 10, 2009 6:15 PM EST reply actions 0 recs
This is going to be a fun season...
1. 26-5
2. 8-1
3. 6-1
4. East: UK, Tenn, South Carolina, Vandy, Florida, Georgia
West: Miss State, Bama, Arkansas, Ole Miss, LSU, Auburn
5. Improve: Kentucky
Decline: LSU
6. Kentucky
7. Miss State
8. 3
9. 6
10. 2
11. 13; UK
12. Yes
13. Yes
14. Worse; Less
15. John Wall
16. 28
17. 27mpg; 19ppg; 8apg
18. 14ppg; 3 three’s/gm; 2spg
19. Patterson
20. 15ppg; 11rpg; 3bpg
21. Yes
22. Patterson/Stevenson
23. Patterson
Lets not completely F it up this time....
by floundringaround on Nov 11, 2009 12:59 AM EST reply actions 0 recs
I find your ideas interesting and would like to subscribe to your newsletter
1. 28-3
2. 7-1
3. 5-2
4. East: UK, UT, USC, Vandy, UF, UGA
West: Miss State, Ole Miss, Arkansas, Bama, LSU, Auburn
5. Improve: UK / Decline: Auburn
6. UK
7. Tennessee
8. Three
9. Five
10. 1
11. 13 games / UK
12. No
13. Yes
14. Worse / Less
15. Wall
16. 33 (Regular Season)
17. 27 / 20 / 7
18. 12 / 2 / 2
19. Stevenson
20. 17 / 11 / 3
21. No
22. Orton / Cousins
23. Patterson
by RandomGuy0 on Nov 11, 2009 1:34 PM EST reply actions 0 recs
Oh, my brain hurts. Here goes:
1) 26-5
2) 7-1
3) 6-1
4) E: Ky, Vandy, TN, SC, FL, GA W: MSU, LSU, Bama, Ole Miss, Ark, Auburn
5) Ky, Fl
6) Ky
7) MSU
8) 3
9) 7
10) 1
11) 13, UK
12) yes
13) yes
14) worse, more
15) Bledsoe
16) 33 (regular season)
17) 31,16,6
18) 12,3,2.5
19) PPat
20) 12.5/4/2
21) No
22) Orton/Cousins
23) Harrelson
by hoboat33 on Nov 12, 2009 4:39 PM EST reply actions 0 recs
OK, I'm in with a WAG and a prayer, or two!
1) 27-4
2) 7-1
3) 5-2
4) East: UK, VAN, TN, SC, FL, GA – West: MS ST, MS, LSU, AL, AUB, AR
5) UK – FL
6) UK
7) MS ST
8) 3
9) 6
10) 2
11) 14
12) Yes
13) Yes
14) Worse – More
15) PPat
16) 41
17) 29-15-8
18) 15-2-1
19) PPat
20) 17-10-2
21) No
22) Orton/Cousins
23) Miller
Big Thanks JL for putting this together… Should be fun!!
If your wings don't sweep....
by EagleTDL on Nov 12, 2009 6:35 PM EST reply actions 0 recs
My guesses
1. 26-5
2. 6-1
3. 6-1
4. SEC East: UK, Tennessee, Vandy, South Carolina, Florida, Georgia
SEC West: Mississippi St, Ole Miss, LSU, Alabama, Arkansas, Auburn
5. Improves: Arkansas, Declines: Auburn
6. Mississippi St
7. UK
8. 6 players
9. 6 teams
10. 2 seed
11. 15 games to reach 2000 wins, UK gets there first
12. No
13. Yes
14. UK shoots better than 35.3%, but does not make 202 threes
15. Wall
16. 42
17. 32.7/19.6/6.5
18. 9.4/1.4/0.8
19. Patterson
20. 17.3/9.7/1.8
21. Yes
22. Patterson/Stevenson
23. Hood
There is no gravity - the earth just sucks.
by JLeverenz on Nov 12, 2009 7:12 PM EST reply actions 0 recs
Here are the winning answers:
1. 26-5
2. 7-1
3. 6-1
4. East: UK, Tenn, USC, Vandy, Florida, Georgia
West: MSU, Ole Miss, Alabama, LSU, Auburn, Arkansas
5. UK, LSU
6. UK
7. Tenn
8. 3
9. 6
10. 1
11. 13, UK
12. No
13. Yes
14. worse, less
15. Wall
16. 35
17. 24/18/7
18. 11/2/1
19. Patterson
20. 17/9/2
21. Yes
22. Orton/Cousins
23. Cousins
First time I shot her, shot her in the side.
Hard to watch her suffer, but with the second shot she died...
by btcoop71 on Nov 13, 2009 1:23 PM EST reply actions 0 recs
The winning answers?
Someone’s taking Tru’s “swagger” post to heart, eh? LOL j/k of course. :)
by Acdixon on Nov 13, 2009 3:06 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs
Can't Believe I'm Doing This
I have a dislike for predictions, never make them, but I’m swayed by the amount of work required by JL:
1. 26-5
2. 6-1
3. 5-1
4. East: UK, VU, UT, UF, UGA, USC
West: LSU, MSU, UM, Bama, AU, Ark
5. UK, AU
6. UK
7. LSU
8. 2
9. 6
10. 2
11. 14, UK
12. No
13. Yes
14. Less, More
15. Wall
16. 31
17. 24, 17, 6
18. 11, 2, 1
19. Patterson
20. 16, 8, 1
21. No
22. Patterson/Stevenson
23. Miller
"Learn(ing) without thinking begets ignorance. Think(ing) without learning is dangerous."
-Confucius
by Wild Weasel on Nov 13, 2009 6:24 PM EST reply actions 0 recs

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