Rider (2-1) @ Kentucky (3-0) -- Pregame Analysis

Today at 1:00 PM, the Broncs of Rider University invade Rupp Arena for the second round game of the Cancun Classic.

Here is some basic information about Rider, courtesy of the Rider Athletics site:

Location Lawrenceville, New Jersey
Nickname/Colors Broncs/Cranberry, White, Gray
Founded 1865
Enrollment 6,084 (4,857 undergraduate)
Affiliations NCAA Division I, ECAC
Conference Metro Atlantic Athletic Conference (MAAC)
Head Coach Tommy Dempsey 609-896-5329 / 4th Season

(Susquehanna '97) (Bloomsburg '05)
Overall Record/Yrs. Completed (Head Coach) 58-39 / (3)
Overall Record/Yrs. Completed 146-51 / (8)
2008-09 Overall Record 19-13
2008-09 Conference Record/Finish 12-6/3rd
Postseason MAAC Tournament Semifinals

College Insider.com Tournament Participant
Letterwinners Returning/Lost 8/4
Starters Returning/Lost 4/1

More after the jump

Team analysis and Four Factors (Data by Kenpom.com)

Statistic Kentucky Rider
Category Offense Defense Offense Defense D-I Avg
Adj. Efficiency: 103.0 [124] 102.0 [190] 105.9 [106] 121.3 [292] 99.2
Adj. Tempo: 69.4 [171] 69.8 73.2 [110] 69.8
Four Factors
Effective FG%: 59.7 [19] 50.3 [192] 54.4 [67] 51.4 [214] 48.5
Turnover %: 28.8 [317] 18.3 [255] 18.7 [94] 18.2 [258] 21.4
Off. Reb. %: 48.7 [8] 28.8 [85] 27.3 [272] 33.6 [178] 33.4
FTA/FGA: 49.1 [65] 22.6 [31] 32.6 [220] 30.4 [99] 38.2
Miscellaneous Components
3P%: 40.4 [73] 42.0 [281] 48.5 [17] 38.5 [242] 33.6
2P%: 59.3 [20] 39.2 [43] 42.3 [256] 47.9 [166] 47.7
FT%: 64.2 [227] 69.8 [189] 58.9 [296] 62.5 [83] 68.1
Block%: 5.3 [71] 26.5 [4] 11.5 [243] 9.2 [143] 9.3
Steal%: 13.7 [300] 8.2 [214] 7.6 [85] 8.6 [202] 9.8
Style Components
3PA/FGA: 31.5 [174] 46.3 [331] 39.5 [65] 35.3 [225] 32.4
A/FGM: 50.0 [184] 61.0 [270] 59.7 [82] 61.0 [269] 52.9
Defensive Fingerprint: Some Zone
Inconclusive
Point Distribution (% of total points)
3-Pointers: 25.3 [173] 50.2 [4] 45.0 [10] 33.5 [64] 26.5
2-Pointers: 53.8 [153] 36.2 [332] 40.0 [306] 50.9 [186] 52.4
Free Throws: 20.9 [170] 13.6 [296] 15.0 [289] 15.6 [275] 21.2
Strength of Schedule
Components: 95.8 [187] 106.6 [233] 86.0 [275] 94.8 [122] 99.2
Overall: 0.2260 [227] .5000 0.2463 [222] .5000
Non-conference: 0.2260 [227] .5000 0.2463 [222] .5000
Personnel
Bench Minutes: 0.0% [0] 0.0% 0.0% [0] 0.0%
Experience: 0.00 yrs [0] 0.00 0.00 yrs [0] 0.00
Effective Height: +0.0 [0] 0.0 +0.0 [0] 0.0
Average Height: 0.0" [0] 0.0" 0.0" [0] 0.0"

 


Rider Broncs Basketball Roster

# Pos. Comment
W H College
Novar Gadson 23 G Starter 230 6-7 sophomore
Jermaine Jackson 25 F Starter 220 6-8 sophomore
Carl Johnson 10 G - 160 6-0 freshman
Patrick Mansell 14 G Major reserve 195 6-1 junior
DeShawn Mitchell - G - 205 6-5 sophomore
Robbie Myers 33 F - 255 6-9 senior
Dera Nd-Ezuma 21 C - 215 6-10 freshman
Brandon Penn 31 F Major reserve 205 6-7 sophomore
Mike Ringgold 2 F Starter 215 6-7 junior
Justin Robinson 15 G Starter 190 6-2 junior
Ryan Thompson 5 G Starter 220 6-6 senior
Jonathan Thompson 12 G - 190 6-4 freshman
Jhamar Youngblood 3 G Major reserve 210 6-1 junior


Team Stats

FG 3PT FT Reb Misc
Player Pos GP GS Min M A FG% M A 3PT% M A FT% OFF DEF REB AST TO STL BLK PF PPG
Ryan Thompson G 3 3 33.3 5.3 10.7 50 3.3 6.3 52.6 0.7 2.7 25 1.7 1.7 3.3 2.7 2.3 0.7 0.3 2.3 14.7
Novar Gadson G 3 3 28 5 7.3 68.2 2 2.3 85.7 2.7 3.7 72.7 1.7 5.7 7.3 2 2.3 2 1 2 14.7
Mike Ringgold F 3 3 34.7 5.3 13 41 0 0
1 4 25 2.3 3 5.3 2 1 0.3 1.7 2 11.7
Justin Robinson G 3 3 25 3 7 42.9 2.3 3.7 63.6 3 3.7 81.8 0.3 2.7 3 3.3 1.3 1 0 2.7 11.3
Jhamar Youngblood G 3 0 22.3 1.7 7 23.8 0.7 3 22.2 2 2 100 0.3 2.7 3 2.3 1.7 1 0 2.3 6
Patrick Mansell G 3 0 11.7 2 3.7 54.5 2 3.7 54.5 0 0
0 0.7 0.7 0.3 0 0.3 0 0.3 6
Brandon Penn F 3 0 13 1.3 3.3 40 0.7 2.3 28.6 0.7 0.7 100 0.7 2.3 3 0.3 1 0 0.3 1 4
Jermaine Jackson F 3 3 10.3 0.7 2 33.3 0 0.3 0 0.3 0.7 50 0.7 2 2.7 0.3 1.3 0 0 3.3 1.7
Jonathon Thompson G 3 0 16.7 0.7 2 33.3 0 1 0 0.3 0.7 50 0.3 2.3 2.7 1.7 0.7 0 0.3 0.7 1.7
Carl Johnson G 2 0 4 0.5 0.5 100 0 0
0.5 1 50 0 0 0 0.5 0.5 0.5 0 0 1.5
Dera Nd-Ezuma C 3 0 1.7 0.3 1 33.3 0 0
0 0
0.7 0.7 1.3 0 1 0.3 0 1.7 0.7
Robbie Myers F-C 1 0 2 0 0
0 0
0 0
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

 

Analysis:

For the third time in a row, UK faces an almost identical opponent, only this opponent has proven their chops by defeating Mississippi State, a school widely expected to win the SEC West and one of the best teams in the country.

Once again, Rider is a David to Kentucky's Goliath.  They are an undersized team from a small school, but they are not without talent and return four of their five starters.  Tell me if you have heard this story before.

Unlike the Wildcats' previous two opponents, Rider has a proven track record of shooting the ball well this year.  Just take a look at their three-point percentage.  Neither Sam Houston St., Miami (Ohio) nor Morehead came in shooting this kind of percentage from three.  I call your attention to the 3PA/FGA statistic  and their distribution of points in the analysis at the top of the page.  Currently, Rider is fourth in all the land in points coming off of 3-point shots.  Given Kentucky's performance in the last three games, that aught to concern all of us.

From the standpoint of working on 3-point defense, UK could hardly get a better opponent, but the obvious risk here is that if the defense does not improve, this is a perfect opportunity for Kentucky to fall.  Rider has been very good at taking care of the ball, as you would expect in an experienced team.  Turnovers will likely be a big part of the story of today's game.

Expect Patrick Patterson and DeMarcus Cousins to thrive again in this game, if they bring the energy they brought against Sam Houston St.  Rider will give up the open three in order to keep UK from getting to the rim, so if Eric Bledsoe or perhaps Darnell Dodson (assuming he finds his way back into Coach Cal's good graces) can get warm from outside, UK should have an opportunity from there.

What to watch for:
  • UK needs to improve their perimeter defense.  Look for Rider open looks to see if they are making progress.
  • Turnovers are an obvious area for improvement.
  • Control on the fast break.  If we start seeing more shots in the secondary break versus the primary, I think it will be a big improvement.
  • More team play.  So far, this team has been very poor at communicating and helping each other.  Will one day make any difference?
  • A better rotation.  I think Cal's rotation has been too short for the pace he is trying to play.  I expect that will change today.

Game prediction:  85-65 Kentucky.

Go, 'Cats!

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