Kentucky Wildcats vs. Miami (OH) Redhawks -- Pre-game Analysis

We continue with four straight days of Kentucky Wildcats sports today with men's basketball -- the Miami (Ohio) RedHawks.

In this post, I'll be breaking down the game (insofar as possible with the very few games played so far) and look at what we can expect from the RedHawks this evening in Rupp Arena.

The RedHawks have played one official game so far this year, and two pre-season exhibitions, just like Kentucky.  The RedHawks won both exhibitions, but lost their opener to Towson State, 82-71.  In that contest, Miami had the lead early in the second half, but turnovers and excellent Towson free-trhow shooting ultimately doomed the RedHawks, and Towson shot 58% eFG for the game to pull away in the second half.

Last season, the RedHawks were 17-13 for the season and 10-6 in the MAC Eastern Division.  Miami returns 9 players from last year, losing 5.  The RedHawks and the Wildcats have met 23 times previously, with Kentucky prevailing in 20 of those contests.  The last time the RedHawks defeated the Wildcats was in 1927.

A further analysis after the jump.



Roster

No. Name Ht. Wt. Pos. Year Hometown/High School Status Pts FG% Reb Asst Stl Blk
00 Drew Kelly 6-7 253 Forward FR Franklin, TN/Centennial






1 Rodney Haddix II 6-3 220 Guard JR Georgetown, KY/Scott County Starter 5 28.6 2 0 4 0
11 Sean Mock 6-6 207 Forward RS JR Oxford, OH/Talawanda






12 Kramer Soderberg 6-0 174 Guard SO St. Charles, MO/St. Charles West Starter 8 50 3 4 1 0
13 Michael Aluise 6-5 200 Guard/Forward SR Cincinnati, OH/St. Xavier






14 Kenny Hayes 6-2 183 Guard RS SR Dayton, OH/Northmont Starter 17 38.5 4 6 0 0
15 Orlando Williams 6-4 173 Guard FR Cincinnati, OH/Princeton Major cont. 5 66.7 0 0 0 0
20 Nick Winbush 6-7 226 Forward JR Shaker Heights, OH/Shaker Heights Starter 11 57.1 5 2 0 3
3 Allen Roberts 6-3 211 Guard FR Middletown, OH/Middletown






35 Antonio Ballard 6-4 222 Guard/Forward RS JR Jeffersonville, IN/Jeffersonville Major cont. 8 80 6 2 1 1
4 Julian Mavunga 6-8 245 Forward SO Indianapolis, IN/Brownsburg Major cont. 6 50 2 0 0 1
40 Adam Thomas 6-7 227 Forward RS SO Springboro, OH/Springboro






41 Adam Fletcher 6-9 241 Center RS SR St. Albans, WV/St. Albans Starter 11 60 7 1 0 0
50 Drew McGhee 6-11 231 Center FR North Ridgeville, OH/North Ridgeville






55 Vince Legarza 6-9 246 Center RS FR San Francisco, CA/St. Ignatius Prep






 

Statistical analysis (courtesy of KenPom.com)

Scouting Report
Stats include games through Sunday, November 15
against D-I teams only

Miami (OH) Kentucky
Category Offense Defense Offense Defense D-I Avg
Adj. Efficiency: 103.5 [121] 108.7 [231] 100.7 [155] 92.3 [52] 101.2
Adj. Tempo: 69.5 [166] 70.4 71.4 [111] 70.4
Four Factors




Effective FG%: 53.8 [83] 57.0 [229] 53.8 [83] 41.5 [54] 49.1
Turnover %: 29.1 [257] 16.0 [235] 33.1 [272] 16.6 [225] 21.2
Off. Reb. %: 50.0 [8] 32.8 [143] 55.8 [2] 30.5 [105] 33.1
FTA/FGA: 42.3 [124] 43.9 [173] 53.8 [53] 18.5 [25] 39.7
Miscellaneous Components




3P%: 37.5 [85] 35.7 [167] 21.1 [241] 16.7 [14] 33.6
2P%: 52.8 [94] 58.1 [241] 66.7 [10] 51.2 [170] 48.5
FT%: 68.2 [131] 68.0 [148] 67.9 [135] 41.7 [5] 67.6
Block%: 19.4 [261] 11.6 [85] 6.1 [93] 19.5 [18] 9.3
Steal%: 14.6 [250] 8.7 [157] 12.4 [227] 4.1 [260] 9.7
Style Components




3PA/FGA: 30.8 [158] 24.6 [51] 36.5 [91] 36.9 [199] 32.5
A/FGM: 60.0 [78] 63.3 [223] 46.2 [189] 44.0 [85] 52.4
Defensive Fingerprint: Mostly Man Mostly Man
Point Distribution (% of total points)




3-Pointers: 25.4 [137] 18.3 [212] 16.0 [230] 20.3 [186] 26.2
2-Pointers: 53.5 [135] 61.0 [62] 58.7 [74] 71.2 [17] 52.4
Free Throws: 21.1 [144] 20.7 [148] 25.3 [81] 8.5 [266] 21.5
Strength of Schedule




Components: 111.2 [25] 101.1 [128] 89.3 [247] 104.0 [160] 101.2
Overall: 0.7494 [74] .5000 0.1472 [225] .5000
Non-conference: 0.7494 [74] .5000 0.1472 [225] .5000
Personnel




Bench Minutes: 0.0% [0] 0.0% 0.0% [0] 0.0%
Experience: 0.00 yrs [0] 0.00 0.00 yrs [0] 0.00
Effective Height: +0.0 [0] 0.0 +0.0 [0] 0.0
Average Height: 0.0" [0] 0.0" 0.0" [0] 0.0"

You will notice that I highlighted the difference in point distribution 3-pointers.  Miami takes many more than Kentucky, which is no surprise to anyone.

At this early juncture, these stats aren't terribly meaningful, but directionally, the do give us some indication of what to expect.  In their first game this season, Kentucky was very inefficient offensively, but they shot the ball well from 2 and did a very good job of rebounding the basketball, as you would expect from the taller Wildcats.

Tonight we should see pretty much the same sort of thing as we saw versus Morehead, only Miami does not have a player that is as accomplished or athletic as Kenneth Faried.  Miami is mostly a man-to-man team, but I would expect to see some zone from them tonight.

As you can see by their tempo statistic, in their first game they ran a bit more than Morehead wanted to do against UK.  Miami may well try to slow the tempo to prevent the more athletic 'Cats, and particularly John Wall, from turning the game into a track meet that they cannot win.  But Miami likes to play faster than the Eagles, and it will be interesting to see how much they try to combat that tendency.

Kentucky is far bigger, stronger and athletic inside, and that will probably equate to a big rebouding edge for the 'Cats, particularly if the Redhawks try to use a sagging man defense against Kentucky, as I expect.  Miami does not take very good care of the ball (or at least, they haven't so far), so assuming UK turns the ball over less with John Wall in the game, as is widely expected, Kentucky could exploit Miami turnovers for some easy points.

This early in the season, detailed analysis is really hard, but I would expect Kentucky to try some different things versus the sagging defenses than mindlessly throwing up the always-available three-pointer that UK is going to see a lot of this year.  It will be interesting to see how the coaching staff adjusts to the UK weakness shooting the ball from the outside.

X
Log In Sign Up

forgot?
Log In Sign Up

Forgot password?

We'll email you a reset link.

If you signed up using a 3rd party account like Facebook or Twitter, please login with it instead.

Forgot password?

Try another email?

Almost done,

Join A Sea Of Blue

You must be a member of A Sea Of Blue to participate.

We have our own Community Guidelines at A Sea Of Blue. You should read them.

Join A Sea Of Blue

You must be a member of A Sea Of Blue to participate.

We have our own Community Guidelines at A Sea Of Blue. You should read them.

Spinner.vc97ec6e

Authenticating

Great!

Choose an available username to complete sign up.

In order to provide our users with a better overall experience, we ask for more information from Facebook when using it to login so that we can learn more about our audience and provide you with the best possible experience. We do not store specific user data and the sharing of it is not required to login with Facebook.

tracking_pixel_9347_tracker