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Kentucky Wildcats vs. Miami (OH) Redhawks -- Pre-game Analysis

Heeeerrreees Johnny!

Ed Reinke - AP

Heeeerrreees Johnny!

We continue with four straight days of Kentucky Wildcats sports today with men's basketball -- the Miami (Ohio) RedHawks.

In this post, I'll be breaking down the game (insofar as possible with the very few games played so far) and look at what we can expect from the RedHawks this evening in Rupp Arena.

The RedHawks have played one official game so far this year, and two pre-season exhibitions, just like Kentucky.  The RedHawks won both exhibitions, but lost their opener to Towson State, 82-71.  In that contest, Miami had the lead early in the second half, but turnovers and excellent Towson free-trhow shooting ultimately doomed the RedHawks, and Towson shot 58% eFG for the game to pull away in the second half.

Last season, the RedHawks were 17-13 for the season and 10-6 in the MAC Eastern Division.  Miami returns 9 players from last year, losing 5.  The RedHawks and the Wildcats have met 23 times previously, with Kentucky prevailing in 20 of those contests.  The last time the RedHawks defeated the Wildcats was in 1927.

A further analysis after the jump.

Star-divide



Roster

No. Name Ht. Wt. Pos. Year Hometown/High School Status Pts FG% Reb Asst Stl Blk
00 Drew Kelly 6-7 253 Forward FR Franklin, TN/Centennial






1 Rodney Haddix II 6-3 220 Guard JR Georgetown, KY/Scott County Starter 5 28.6 2 0 4 0
11 Sean Mock 6-6 207 Forward RS JR Oxford, OH/Talawanda






12 Kramer Soderberg 6-0 174 Guard SO St. Charles, MO/St. Charles West Starter 8 50 3 4 1 0
13 Michael Aluise 6-5 200 Guard/Forward SR Cincinnati, OH/St. Xavier






14 Kenny Hayes 6-2 183 Guard RS SR Dayton, OH/Northmont Starter 17 38.5 4 6 0 0
15 Orlando Williams 6-4 173 Guard FR Cincinnati, OH/Princeton Major cont. 5 66.7 0 0 0 0
20 Nick Winbush 6-7 226 Forward JR Shaker Heights, OH/Shaker Heights Starter 11 57.1 5 2 0 3
3 Allen Roberts 6-3 211 Guard FR Middletown, OH/Middletown






35 Antonio Ballard 6-4 222 Guard/Forward RS JR Jeffersonville, IN/Jeffersonville Major cont. 8 80 6 2 1 1
4 Julian Mavunga 6-8 245 Forward SO Indianapolis, IN/Brownsburg Major cont. 6 50 2 0 0 1
40 Adam Thomas 6-7 227 Forward RS SO Springboro, OH/Springboro






41 Adam Fletcher 6-9 241 Center RS SR St. Albans, WV/St. Albans Starter 11 60 7 1 0 0
50 Drew McGhee 6-11 231 Center FR North Ridgeville, OH/North Ridgeville






55 Vince Legarza 6-9 246 Center RS FR San Francisco, CA/St. Ignatius Prep






 

Statistical analysis (courtesy of KenPom.com)

Scouting Report
Stats include games through Sunday, November 15
against D-I teams only

Miami (OH) Kentucky
Category Offense Defense Offense Defense D-I Avg
Adj. Efficiency: 103.5 [121] 108.7 [231] 100.7 [155] 92.3 [52] 101.2
Adj. Tempo: 69.5 [166] 70.4 71.4 [111] 70.4
Four Factors




Effective FG%: 53.8 [83] 57.0 [229] 53.8 [83] 41.5 [54] 49.1
Turnover %: 29.1 [257] 16.0 [235] 33.1 [272] 16.6 [225] 21.2
Off. Reb. %: 50.0 [8] 32.8 [143] 55.8 [2] 30.5 [105] 33.1
FTA/FGA: 42.3 [124] 43.9 [173] 53.8 [53] 18.5 [25] 39.7
Miscellaneous Components




3P%: 37.5 [85] 35.7 [167] 21.1 [241] 16.7 [14] 33.6
2P%: 52.8 [94] 58.1 [241] 66.7 [10] 51.2 [170] 48.5
FT%: 68.2 [131] 68.0 [148] 67.9 [135] 41.7 [5] 67.6
Block%: 19.4 [261] 11.6 [85] 6.1 [93] 19.5 [18] 9.3
Steal%: 14.6 [250] 8.7 [157] 12.4 [227] 4.1 [260] 9.7
Style Components




3PA/FGA: 30.8 [158] 24.6 [51] 36.5 [91] 36.9 [199] 32.5
A/FGM: 60.0 [78] 63.3 [223] 46.2 [189] 44.0 [85] 52.4
Defensive Fingerprint: Mostly Man Mostly Man
Point Distribution (% of total points)




3-Pointers: 25.4 [137] 18.3 [212] 16.0 [230] 20.3 [186] 26.2
2-Pointers: 53.5 [135] 61.0 [62] 58.7 [74] 71.2 [17] 52.4
Free Throws: 21.1 [144] 20.7 [148] 25.3 [81] 8.5 [266] 21.5
Strength of Schedule




Components: 111.2 [25] 101.1 [128] 89.3 [247] 104.0 [160] 101.2
Overall: 0.7494 [74] .5000 0.1472 [225] .5000
Non-conference: 0.7494 [74] .5000 0.1472 [225] .5000
Personnel




Bench Minutes: 0.0% [0] 0.0% 0.0% [0] 0.0%
Experience: 0.00 yrs [0] 0.00 0.00 yrs [0] 0.00
Effective Height: +0.0 [0] 0.0 +0.0 [0] 0.0
Average Height: 0.0" [0] 0.0" 0.0" [0] 0.0"

You will notice that I highlighted the difference in point distribution 3-pointers.  Miami takes many more than Kentucky, which is no surprise to anyone.

At this early juncture, these stats aren't terribly meaningful, but directionally, the do give us some indication of what to expect.  In their first game this season, Kentucky was very inefficient offensively, but they shot the ball well from 2 and did a very good job of rebounding the basketball, as you would expect from the taller Wildcats.

Tonight we should see pretty much the same sort of thing as we saw versus Morehead, only Miami does not have a player that is as accomplished or athletic as Kenneth Faried.  Miami is mostly a man-to-man team, but I would expect to see some zone from them tonight.

As you can see by their tempo statistic, in their first game they ran a bit more than Morehead wanted to do against UK.  Miami may well try to slow the tempo to prevent the more athletic 'Cats, and particularly John Wall, from turning the game into a track meet that they cannot win.  But Miami likes to play faster than the Eagles, and it will be interesting to see how much they try to combat that tendency.

Kentucky is far bigger, stronger and athletic inside, and that will probably equate to a big rebouding edge for the 'Cats, particularly if the Redhawks try to use a sagging man defense against Kentucky, as I expect.  Miami does not take very good care of the ball (or at least, they haven't so far), so assuming UK turns the ball over less with John Wall in the game, as is widely expected, Kentucky could exploit Miami turnovers for some easy points.

This early in the season, detailed analysis is really hard, but I would expect Kentucky to try some different things versus the sagging defenses than mindlessly throwing up the always-available three-pointer that UK is going to see a lot of this year.  It will be interesting to see how the coaching staff adjusts to the UK weakness shooting the ball from the outside.

0 recs  |  Comment 7 comments |

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Is Hood...

Playing tonight? Hopefully we shoot better from the outside tonight, that’s our most noticeable weakness.

by daniel81 on Nov 16, 2009 5:40 PM EST reply actions   0 recs

I'm eager to see if John Wall makes as much difference in this game as against Clarion

Of course its difficult, its a shortcut... if it was easy it'd just be "the way."

by chirop1 on Nov 16, 2009 5:48 PM EST reply actions   0 recs

Key stat for game(s):
  1. of Players named John Wall
       Kentucky – 1.0
       Miami (oh!) – 0.0

by hoboat33 on Nov 16, 2009 6:08 PM EST reply actions   0 recs

ESPN 360

Is like Santa, but real and it gives me what I truly want: every game not already on ESPN!
I went out today and bought the converter and a VGA cable so I can not only watch the game on my 13-inch macbook, but also invite my friends over and watch it on our 42 inch flat screen. I love the modern age. (especially since in it we’re good again)

by jacobbleedsblue on Nov 16, 2009 6:28 PM EST reply actions   0 recs

Justin.TV

Is better video than ESPN360 or SlingBox.

"Learn(ing) without thinking begets ignorance. Think(ing) without learning is dangerous."
-Confucius

by Wild Weasel on Nov 16, 2009 6:38 PM EST reply actions   0 recs

how to search

for the UK game? please explain since I can never find anything there without a direct link.

by schizm42 on Nov 16, 2009 6:56 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Charlie Coles

PLAYED guard at Miami in early 60’s when I first started following college hoops.

He averaged 40 ppg at Yellow Springs (OH) HS – just outside of Dayton.

by FortyYearCatFan on Nov 16, 2009 11:25 PM EST reply actions   0 recs

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