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UK @ Ole Miss: Second-Half Meltdown

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Mid-way through the second half of UK's loss to Ole Miss Tuesday night, my wife (she knows nothing about basketball, but she knows bad defense when she sees it) turned to me and said, "Are they gonna guard anybody?"  I looked at her and said, "Apparently not."

What we were witnessing was one of the strangest halves of basketball that I've seen in a while:

The First 10:21 of the Second Half

For the first 10:21 of the second half Kentucky refused to defend the perimeter, and barely made an effort at defending the paint.  During that time UK allowed a team averaging 64.1 points per game (since Chris Warren went down against U of L), to score 23 points while going 5-8 (62.5%) from the 3-point line, and 8-15 overall (53.3%).  This was a team struggling; three losses in a row, and dwindling support from the fan base.  Their confidence had to be waning.  Well if it was, UK gave the Reb's a shot of adrenaline, and paid the price. 

Offensively, during the first 10:21 of the second half UK went only 5-15 (33.3%) from the field, making only 2 of 7 3-pointers (28.6%).  Note to 'Cats -- If you don't defend you have to shoot a much better percentage, just ask Bruce Pearl.

In that 10:21 Kentucky's defense didn't make Ole Miss break a sweat to get open shots; Rebel players were left wide-open on the secondary break, without having the benefit of a single screen; and Ole Miss was allowed to drive the lane uncontested for layups.  Rotation was either slow or non-existent during this time, and the energy level of the boys in blue came nowhere near matching the Rebels. 

Many (including me) have used the word "tough" to describe this teams mind-set, but for a little over 10 minutes Tuesday night, the 'Cats were about as tough as my baby girl's disposition.

Even considering how self-defeating UK's boycotting of defense for the first part of the second half was, that's not what kept Kentucky from winning the game.  No, there was more zaniness to follow:

Star-divide

The Final 9:39 of the Second Half

Over the final 9:39 of the game UK redefined the concept of shot distribution:

It all begins with DeAndre Liggins.  Because Michael Porter couldn't guard anybody without fouling (three fouls in six minutes), Gillispie was left with no choice (or did he have a choice, hmmm - more on that later) but to let the mercurial freshman guard "attack" the 2-3 zone that Ole Miss had been playing so competently all day.

This decision led UK to taking 20 shots over the final 9:39 of the game, with Liggins taking seven of those shots (35%), and Patrick Patterson not taking any shots over the final 7:29 of the game (and only one shot in the final 9:39).  Patterson did make four free throws during the time-frame; two of them came after being fouled on an offensive rebound put-back.  Obviously, he wasn't being looked for on the offensive end of the court.

Conversely, Liggins' shot production over the final 9:39 looks like this: Missed jumper, missed jumper, missed layup, missed 3, missed jumper, missed 3, good layup.

Patrick Patterson didn't take a shot in the final 7:29 (I know I already wrote that, but I wanted to re-emphasize how distasteful that stat is to me).  This is a guy who finished the game 8-12 from the field.  That's 66.7%.  The rest of the team shot 32.1%.  

UK certainly had no problems getting Patterson the ball earlier in the game, and no, Ole Miss didn't change the defense they were playing in the final nine minutes.  So why didn't the big fella get the ball in his big hands more often?  I surely don't know, but the game-tape says that UK's lead guard wasn't patient; the game-tape says UK's lead guard wasn't looking to distribute; the game-tape says UK's lead guard was looking to be the leading scorer; and finally, the game-tape says UK's lead guard was playing like Ramel Bradley circa 2008, minus the requisite scoring skills.

The game-tape also says that Liggins is a freshman, and although he didn't play smartly, he did play hard; and on a day when I can count on one hand the number of players wearing blue who gave an acceptable effort, that is to be commended.  It speaks volumes about UK's defensive effort when one sees that the 'Cats had two lonely steals on the day, with Liggins being responsible for both.

And let me add this; I think DeAndre Liggins can be a very good point guard at UK.  He's not a great 3-point shooter, but he possesses all the other physical skills a coach looks for in a point.  He simply needs more time to mature in his decision-making.

The Questions

So why was DeAndre allowed to fail?  Why didn't he get some help?  Well, as I noted earlier, Porter committed three fouls in six minutes; he simply could not guard.  He did make a three-pointer and handed out two assists, but was rendered helpless on the defensive end. 

The most relevant question, at least in my opinion, is where was Kevin Galloway?  More to the point; how bad must Galloway be practicing in order for him not to be given at least a chance to play Tuesday?  No, I'm not questioning Gillispie's dearly held tenet - "Those who earn it, get it" - But that doesn't keep me from wondering what it is Galloway is doing wrong, and why it hasn't it been fixed?  He's a JUCO with only two years of eligibility.  And from what I've seen of him he plays a steady point, and more importantly he knows his limitations.  He might not win a game for you, but he won't lose it either.

I'm not calling for Galloway to become the starter, but if he had been given the opportunity to play, there is no way (at least in my opinion) that he would have performed as poorly as Liggins did in the second half of Saturday's game.   

Did UK take Ole Miss lightly?  Kentucky must come to realize that teams don't tremble in panic at the sight of KENTUCKY.  There is no fear factor attached to the name across their jerseys ... not anymore.  Every night they must give maximum effort; opposing teams will not fold at the first bit of adversity.  And Tuesday I didn't see maximum anything, except ineptness  -- For Jodie Meeks to have only one rebound is unacceptable; for Patrick Patterson to have only two defensive rebounds is unacceptable; for DeAndre Liggins to take 16 shots is unacceptable; for UK to allow an opponent to score 21 points over their average is unacceptable.

This team hasn't played a game that poorly all year, so ... 

Why now?  Could be a self-satisfaction bug has hit the team; could be that they didn't respect their opponent; could be that being ranked 24th in the country gave them the mistaken impression that they are invincible; could be they were tired from eating all that gumbo ... I really don't know, but I do know that a pretty good South Carolina team is coming into Rupp this Saturday, so time to ponder is a luxury Gillispie does not have.  Instead, three days to fix it is what he's left with.

The Future

The great thing about basketball in January is that there is always a next game; a quick opportunity to turn turn those frowns upside down.

I still like this team regardless of how poorly I think they played Tuesday.  I expect the guys to play solidly Saturday, and put the poor performance in Oxford behind them.

That's another lesson young players would be wise to learn: Don't let Ole Miss beat ya twice (kind of like the golfer who hits a bad shot, and let's it adversely effect his next couple of shots).  Ole Miss is an 'L' ... get over it, and beat South Carolina.

Hey, ESPN, Fox, CBS, Raycom, and any other entity that televises live college basketball games -- If you insist on sticking a microphone in a coaches face at halftime, you have to expect the occasional verbal flogging.   

Thanks for reading, and Go 'Cats!

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Liggins & company

I agree with your analysis on Liggins… He can play the point and play it well… Instead of all of those shots he should have penetrated the zone or get the ball to Pat inside… I am sure that they will show him allot of tape of fhis game and we will see what kind of student of the game he is…

 I agree with Galloway analysis also… He knows what to do when he is in the game and is not going to shoot 16 times and that is the main question I have for BCG but I am sure he would/will give some kind of flippant answer… He can play as well as Darius…

I think UK took this team lightly and you can never look past any team when playing on the road period!!!

ShagOnSports - "people should know when they are conquered"

by ShagOnSports on Jan 29, 2009 6:53 AM EST reply actions  

Good analysis and one suggestion

I posted on the other thread that I thought they were fatigued. I watched the second half again and I still credit the defensive lapses and lack of rebounding in part to fatigue. They just didn’t look like the same team we saw a few games ago. I’m not making excuses for them, it’s just that Billy Clyde is clueless about that aspect of coaching. He wll come closer to erring on the side of running them into the ground than not having them prepared. From now until the end of the season the biggest challenge for the coach is managing fatigue, especially if you’ve got a short bench like UK does (BCG makes it shorter than it has to be, I agree with your sentiments on Galloway and would add Harrelson to the mix as well. If Stevenson is standing why not play Harrelson?).

In a past life I was an assistant coach for a high school team under a head coach that reminded me a lot of BCG. We had a couple of games where we looked a lot like UK did the other night. He was railing about how sorry the players were and wouldn’t give any effort. I convinced him that it was due to fatigue and to give them a couple of days off. He relented and when we finally brought them back in the gym it was like a new team. We wound up playing way over our heads and beating a couple of teams we shouldn’t have even been in the gym with. After that experience any time I see a display of players standing around like UK did that’s the first thing I suspect.

by Danvillecat on Jan 29, 2009 9:14 AM EST reply actions  

The Cats played on Saturday @ Bama

……. and then had practice in Lexington on Sunday and Monday before traveling to Ole Miss for Tuesday nights game.

I think CBG should have let the team take Sunday off to rest and get their legs back. I’m certainly in favor of tough practices and working the guys hard, but you have to give the team rest too. You can’t ask (or expect) the guys to go hard every day of the week without a break. That’s too much.

GBB!!!

by OGETARTS on Jan 29, 2009 10:49 AM EST up reply actions  

Re: Dnavillecat and OGETARTS

Fatigue could have been an issue Tuesday, especially with the minutes the starters are playing, but I keep going back to last year. Crawford, Bradley and Patterson played killer minutes but did not seem to suffer from fatigue, even in the last part of the season.

I would, though, hope that fatigue was the culprit rather than the alternatives: took the opponent lightly, threw the game-plan out the bus window on the way to the game, or a complete lack of focus.

by Ken Howlett on Jan 29, 2009 12:34 PM EST up reply actions  

Fatigue last year

I’ll have to disagree with you on this one Ken. Last season UK also had a 14 day stretch where they played 4 road games and 1 home game: From Feb 2 – Feb 16: @Georgia, @Auburn, Alabama, @Vandy, @LSU. The bold game was the killer in that stretch. I think it did catch up with them, but it happened in the 4th game and not the 5th.

And just to be clear, I’m not saying that fatigue was the reason for the thrashing at Vandy, but much like Ole Miss, I do think it was a contributing factor.

...when you let other people tell you what success is, you already have no chance of ever finding it. - Doug Glanville

by JLeverenz on Jan 29, 2009 1:21 PM EST up reply actions  

I had purged that game from my memory.

I believe that was a 41 point loss — Which sticks out … big-time. I agree that fatigue could have been a factor in that loss, as it may have been Tuesday.

by Ken Howlett on Jan 29, 2009 1:32 PM EST up reply actions  

Sorry to bring it back up

I try to forget it happened too ;-)

...when you let other people tell you what success is, you already have no chance of ever finding it. - Doug Glanville

by JLeverenz on Jan 29, 2009 1:43 PM EST up reply actions  

"Don't let Ole Miss beat you twice"

Truer words are rarely spoken. Fortunately this wasn’t a game where UK lost at the buzzer or some such, so it should be relatively easy to shake this one off and get ready for South Carolina. Time to fry up some Gamecock!

...when you let other people tell you what success is, you already have no chance of ever finding it. - Doug Glanville

by JLeverenz on Jan 29, 2009 9:50 AM EST reply actions  

Worth Repeating
“When a great team loses through complacency, it will constantly search for new and more intricate explanations to explain away defeat.”

Pat Riley said that and I posted it previously but it deserves a second reading because it, with the exception of the word great — Cats are in no stretch of the imagination a great team, describes Ken’s comments and those of us other posters. Shot selection, substitution patterns, lack of game plan adjustments, memory failure as to strengths, fatigue, etc., etc. Fact is complacency and lack of respect for the opposition was the effectual factor and the other deficiencies were symptoms.

Additionally, on another site prior to the Ole Miss game the question, when will the next loss occur, was posed. Interestingly all respondents completely ignored the Rebs and a few chose the Gamecocks, others went further down the schedule. I bring that up for two reasons: One, UK players most likely made the same error; two, Devan Downey and USC will provide a major test Saturday and possess strengths that coincide with Cats’ weaknesses. Bad matchup, if you prefer, and a wonderful coaching opportunity.

by Wild Weasel on Jan 29, 2009 11:45 AM EST reply actions  

Cause and effect

Fatigue is not a symptom of complacency, complacency is a symptom of fatigue.

Substitution patterns are not a symptom of complacency, they are entirely up to the coach. Same with game plan adjustments, that’s on the coach. His job may have been more difficult due to complacency on the part of the players and a lack of options but it didn’t appear that he did a lot of adjusting or subbing to find out.

I don’t disagree that they were complacent, they were, I just think fatigue is a big factor in what we saw and why there were complacent. I watched the second half again on DVR and I’m more convinced of it after watching it again. Fatigue and incredibly poor decision making. For a great natural athlete who has been taught better Meeks played as poorly on the defensive end for the first 10 minutes of the second half as I’ve ever seen. His poor defense led directly to several Ole Miss baskets.

Even if they had taken Ole Miss lightly, which I don’t disagree with, an experienced team who found themselves in a dogfight and were well rested would notch it up. A tired team would fold which is what KY did.

by Danvillecat on Jan 29, 2009 12:30 PM EST up reply actions  

Time (Saturday) Will Tell

If fatigue is truly at the root of UK’s problems it, considering Coach’s practice habits, is not likely to improve by Saturday afternoon at 3. If there’s a repeat of Tuesday’s performance perhaps fatigue as the reason will be justified. If, however, Cats revert to their prior plane of toughness and succeed, then we can assume that the Oxford loss was an anomaly caused my lack of mental preparedness.

by Wild Weasel on Jan 29, 2009 12:51 PM EST reply actions  

Good point but a caveat

Good point. But, I would expect them to improve over what we saw at Ole Miss even if I’m correct on the fatigue question. One, they’re at home and it always helps to get back in their own environment. Two, they’re probably pretty hacked off at their performance and after they see the film they’ll be ready to redeem themselves and will probably be better prepared mentally. I would expect them to play better on Saturday.

There’s a phrase regarding the stock market called a “dead cat bounce”. We might see one of them this Saturday. I’d suggest watching them closely all the way down the stretch. Also, fatigue doesn’t effect each player the same. The most susceptable are the naturally strong and explosive types like Patterson and Meeks. I’d like to see him be able to get their playing time down in the low 30’s instead of up close to 40 minutes every game but we just don’t have the bench for it. Either that, or he’s not developed the bench (another discussion altogether).

BCG gave them a few days off earlier in the season without a lot of explanation. Wasn’t that the week prior to the Indiana game? The first 10 minutes or so of that game was some of the best defense I’ve ever seen on the college level. Of course, Indiana is down this year but the Cats defense was stifling.

by Danvillecat on Jan 29, 2009 1:24 PM EST reply actions  

Agree with you guys on virtually all your points. Plus

in my experience, the leaders who get the VERY best out of their personnel are those who treat them as renewable, vice consumable, resources. I’ve seen lots of military “leaders” in my 29 years in the Air Force that drove their people in the ground and then wondered why they “wouldn’t put out the effort any more.”

I can’t think that college basketball players are much different from military personnel in their 20s and 30s.

by oldcat'69 on Jan 29, 2009 5:53 PM EST reply actions  

Was finally able to read your always-strong analysis. How you managed to keep from dog-cussing Perry (No Show) Stevenson is beyond me.

by I. Melvin on Jan 30, 2009 5:17 PM EST reply actions  

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