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Middle Tennessee State University @ Kentucky: After Action Report

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OK, I have watched the game on replay (half last night, the second half this morning on ESPN360.com, and I must say I feel a lot better about some things and a lot worse about others.

First of all, MTSU is for real.  They have tremendous speed at their skill positions, and I am talking SEC speed.  What they do not have is SEC size, and even though the backs and receivers were blazingly fast, they showed very litte ability to get yards after contact.  That was a big factor in the game last night.

Watching MTSU, I was transported back in time to the Hal Mumme years at Kentucky.  The Spread Option that MTSU uses is eerily similar to Mumme's "Air Raid" variation on the Spread Option, and Joe Craddock is a poor man's version of Tim Couch.  Craddock is a very good quarterback, and the SO allows him to minimize his main deficiency, that of height.  He sets up mostly in the gun, and that allows him a better view of the field than an offense which forces you to do a drop.  Mumme used many more "tricky" type plays than Rick Stockstill's offense.  Stockstill's is very much a vanilla SO type offense with very few unusual formations, no "shuffle passes" and fewer bubble screens than we usually see in that offense.  Stockstill also sets up with a two-back backfield, which Mumme did not do very often.

Still, this game reminded me of how potent the SO can be with an accurate passer at the helm.  The whole purpose, of course, is to create bubbles of "space" around the receivers.  When you have outstanding athletes and speed like MTSU, those little bubbles often wind up being the step the receivers need to defeat a linebacker and break a big gain.  That's exactly what happened when MTSU scored its first touchdown.

Fortunately for UK, the offensive line also reminded me very much of the lines under Mumme -- competent only in giving a quarterback just a few seconds to get away a pass to the speedy backs and receivers.  The MTSU offensive line was totally dominated by the Kentucky front the entire game, and MTSU's running game was unable to do anything against the UK front seven.  That's what ultimately enabled UK to win the game.

What I liked:

  • Mike Hartline is becoming a solid quarterback -- Listening to the game, I thought Hartline was doing a below average job.  But after watching the game, I know where the blame truly belongs -- to the offensive line and receivers.  More on that later.

    I forgive Hartline the fumble, but that's the second time he has just dropped the ball in the middle of his passing motion, unpressured.  I used to be a quarterback in high school, and I have no idea how that happens.
  • Can we kick, or can't we?  For the purposes of this bullet point, I will leave aside the field goal unit.  Our kicking teams executed almost flawlessly in every respect.  They covered well, they pinned the Blue Raiders deep, they returned the football well.  It was awesome, something coaches dream of.  Special teams playing like that can be a weapon, and they truly were last night.
  • The running backs ran hard.  Unfortunately, the offensive line had another very poor game.  More on that later.
  • T.C. Drake -- Drake had a breakout game, changing the game just like Jacob Tamme used to do.  Drake gets my game ball on offense.  Just impressive.
  • The defensive line and linebackers -- Micah Johnson was on his way to a Woowardesque game when he got injured, but Braxton Kelley, Johnny Williams, Sam Maxwell and Michael Schwindel stepped up and played very well in his absence.  The D-line completely dominated MTSU on nearly every snap.  The defensive front seven gets my game ball on defense.
  • The coaching -- The coaches made several adjustments at halftime which changed the game dramatically in favor of UK, especially going back to a four-man front with a nickel package in the backfield for most plays, and taking the routes that the Blue Raiders were giving us on offense.
  • The low number of penalties.  The tougher the comp gets, though, the more of those you will see.

What I did not like:

  • The offensive line -- The O-line played a very weak game except in pass protection.  The backs were on their own, getting very few good running holes to hit.  Not only that, they failed to fire completely on every screen play -- several of those should have gone for big yardage, but the line did not maintain their blocks and simply took plays off.
  • The wide receivers -- Dicky Lyons made more good plays than bad, but he still dropped passes he should have caught.  But most of my criticism will be directed at Kyrus Lanxter.  This young man should not be dropping so many of these passes.  He made Hartline sound like a freshman on the radio, but the tape told a different tale.  Lanxter was many times breaking off routes, in the wrong pattern, or failing to make a block.  Were Randall Cobb available, I expect Lanxter would have seen a lot of time on the bench.
  • The injuries -- No need to expound on that.  Randall Cobb, Ricky Lumpkin and Micah Johnson all with ankle sprains, a couple of which are "high" ankle sprains.  Not sure of their prognosis yet.
  • Lones Seiber -- I hate to rag on a kicker.  That is one tough job, and a bad day can be so devastating because you are out there on an island.  But Seiber played so badly that he almost cost us the game.  That last play was not his fault, the line failed to block properly, leading to the blocked field goal.  I leave Brooks and Phillips to deal with him, but Seiber is one of UK's greatest weaknesses at this point in the season.

Kentucky utterly dominated the entire second half on both sides of the football, yet they failed to do what you must do -- put points on the board.  The only reason the game was not over early in the fourth was because our O-line, receivers and kicker were playing so badly that UK couldn't score.  Hartline's teammates let him down -- big time.  I expect that Phillips and Brooks will remind them of that every single day for the next two weeks. 

Kentucky was very fortunate to survive the final FG unit gaffe, and Robbie McAtee deserves a pat on the back for that great, game-saving tackle.  The O-line and receivers should be washing his laundry for a month.  Lones Seiber should fan him with a palm leaf and feed him grapes.

But a win is a win.  Let's get healthy and move on.  3-0 is the only stat that matters at the moment.

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the future is clowdy...

Of course UK can improve the offense and kicking game but I do not see a drastic improvement anytime soon. If they want to get to 6 wins and become bowl eligible, they have to focus on improving pretty much every aspect of the offense. Not to be a negative-nancy but I doubt UK will be favored over any SEC team. And yes I include a much improved Vandy team. So where do the 5th and 6th wins come from? I expected UK to have a tough test last night but I also expected to see a much better offense. Lets hope Cobb will be able to return because he gives us more options all over the field.

by SevenRings on Sep 14, 2008 12:26 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

I see a lot ...

… more positives than that. Our defense is still very strong, and despite giving up a lot of yards, it allowed very little scoring.

The offense is another matter. Hartline is an efficient quarterback, but he cannot make plays on his own like Randall Cobb. Cobb is too green to play a great deal, but we need to be able to add a dimension to the offense when the receivers break off routes or run the wrong way, as they have been all year. I am very disappointed that the receivers have struggled so to do even simple things like run a complete route or block a defender. It is very disheartening.

The offensive line is … well, offensive right now. They have got to step it up in run blocking, or the SEC schedule could get real ugly.

A Sea of Blue -- Kentucky Sports for the Discerning Fan

by Truzenzuzex on Sep 14, 2008 12:33 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Winless SEC

Disappointed that you didn’t opine on Brooks’ decision to attempt FG. On that and other items I submit this:

I would point out that my first post after game end was that the FGA was the wrong call. Watching a second time and reading all the comments on several sites I’ve seen nothing that changes my mind. Also after comparing UK’s play in this game with previous games I have seen little improvement with the exception of Hartline.
Considering the job Coach Brooks has done improving the program and the fact that Cats are 3-0 this will read as ridiculous perhaps even sacrilegious but IMO the coaching thus far is suspect. Perhaps Coach Brooks rather rosy forecast is the problem but the team just hasn’t played as if well-prepared mentally. Far too many errors continue even into the third game. Brooks, Brown and Phillips continue to recognize and complain about them but, at this point, they have been ineffective in correcting them. And the most glaring examples are the offensive line which was said to have size and athleticism to be a major asset and the receiving corps which appears to have low FB IQ and zero discipline. I really believe the season’s success hangs in the balance and will be determined in large degree in the next two weeks and whether coaches can change mindset. Without significant improvement a winless SEC is a distinct possibility.

by Wild Weasel on Sep 14, 2008 12:44 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

OK ...

… that is a fair point about the FGA. Here are the arguments for and against:

For:

  • The number of FGA’s actually blocked per year is very small, around 10% or so. The odds of at least getting it off are very high.
  • The FGA was well within the range of the kicker.
  • The kicker needed a confidence booster, and a miss would have been almost as effective as running a play vis-a-vis the time.
  • A successful attempt would have won the game for sure, and it is better to play offense than a rear-guard action.
  • Kentucky had better personnel on the lines than MTSU, and nobody had come close to blocking any of Seiber’s other efforts.

Against:

  • A blocked field goal could have resulted in a game-losing touchdown.
  • The kicker was obviously having a very bad day.

Bottom line — I understand Brooks’ call. Brooks knows Seiber better than we do, and he obviously had confidence in his ability to put the game away. In fact, Seiber wasn’t the reason for the block — the blown protection was, and that is where all the blame belongs. An average execution of that play would have resulted in a better than 50% chance of success, and that is why he proceeded with it. Brooks was playing the percentages from the position of staying on the offense.

In retrospect, it looks bad. To my mind, it was not really a bad call. Playing it “safe” all the time has never been what Brooks was about. Percentage-wise, he had no reason to fear that the outcome we saw was likely. The fact that it happened anyway is just proof of the old saw, “That’s why we play the game.”

A Sea of Blue -- Kentucky Sports for the Discerning Fan

by Truzenzuzex on Sep 14, 2008 4:42 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

UK

There’s only so much a coaching staff can do if they arent getting enough leadership from their veteran players.

Ive caught both home games so far and Hartline really looked much better this week than last. Im not sure if he’ll ever be great at throwing the deep ball BUT I think he can and will grow into a decent SEC QB over the next few games.

The entire offense does not need a radical improvement. Hartline is progressing and the running backs should be getting better results as Tony Dixon begins to lose playing time to Smith and Locke who both looked pretty decent last night.

The two things that really need to improve are the receivers and the o-line. I have confidence that while we may not have huge game making plays from the receiving corps they will run the right routes and catch more balls thrown their way. I have a feeling that Dicky’s going to step it up in the leadership dept over the next couple of weeks.

The o line im not too sure about. They are fairly young and no one is sure when G. Williams will return. Im not sure they will be as strong as Brooks though coming into the season but im hoping that they will improve.

This team played a bad game last night and is capable of much more. all is not lost because of one game. I think that IF this team continues to improve over the next few weeks they will be able to get at least 2-3 conference wins.

DEEETROIT BASKETBALLL!!!

by davw83 on Sep 14, 2008 3:00 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

I pretty much ...

… agree with all that.

A Sea of Blue -- Kentucky Sports for the Discerning Fan

by Truzenzuzex on Sep 14, 2008 4:43 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

I certainly don't think we'll go winless in the SEC

There is no doubt that UK is a team and a program on the rise so I think the odds of going winless in the SEC would definitely be marginal at best. Sure MTSU gave us a fit last night, but that MTSU team also beat a Maryland team that just beat Cal-Berkely. MTSU, while not an SEC team, is certainly a tough out of conference game, a lot tougher than some give credit for. I live in Middle TN and was just thankful for the win to save the harassment. I believe the playing field in the SEC is evening out, even though UK will have a tough time with Georgia and Florida and thank god we don’t play LSU this year…. the rest of the schedule should be a toss up, at least in my eyes. I was present at the Vandy/SC game where Vandy sent the old ball Coach home crying for the second year in a row. Then, #2 Georgia travels to Columbia and barely escapes with a win. That indicates to me not only that Vandy is better, but a lot of these teams are vulnerable. There are no push overs any more. Any given team can beat another (even if the score is only 3-2!) and I think as UK improves throughout the year, so do our chances of beating at least a decent portion of these teams. I personally like our odds against Vandy, Arkansas and SC this year because what we may lack in offense, our defense can keep us close. I would also like to think Miss. St. would have to score more than 2 points against us to walk away with a victory. I am praying with all my heart that this is the year we also finally hand it to UT. I have Tennessee fans for friends down here and some of them even want us to win, so that Fulmer will finally get the axe. They swear that this is OUR year. Whatever the outcome, that 59-0 UCLA loss did nothing to help Fulmer’s case for his job, that’s for sure. The Alabama team that destroyed a perenially overrated Clemson did not show up against Tulane. They looked a long way from the #9 team in America and I think were just happy to get out with a win. We also have the good fortune to catch them the week after playing Georgia, so they could still be pretty dinged up. The Roll Tide Rolls, however, did slaughter WKU this week. So our game against the Hilltoppers next week should be a good barometer on how the meeting with the Crimson Tide could play out. So, at least in my eyes, we deal with six SEC games that could go either way… depending on who shows up, how much our receivers, O-line and kicking game improve and so on. I think worst case scenario is we win 3 of these 6 and then pray for a miracle against either Georgia or Florida. If that miracle doesn’t come true, we’re hopefully 7-5 and I’ll see you all in Nashville again in late December! If a miracle does in fact take place like last year, we may actually extend the football season, for once, into 2009! Here’s to wishful thinking.

I need a Sea of Blue because I am surrounded by Tennessee orange!

by sleepytimetea on Sep 15, 2008 2:12 AM EDT reply actions   0 recs

I am also very sorry...

For the Novella I just posted.

I need a Sea of Blue because I am surrounded by Tennessee orange!

by sleepytimetea on Sep 15, 2008 2:13 AM EDT reply actions   0 recs

Novellas ...

… are welcome here. :-)

I think it is really too early to tell how good UK is relative to the SEC. It seems that nobody in the SEC has established itself as truly dominant just yet, but three games into the season, I don’t think anyone should be surprised at that.

South Carolina did give Georgia a very tough game at home, and I’m not sure if that says more about USC or less about Georgia, and I saw most of the game. Auburn barely got by Ole Miss in Starkville, and I don’t know yet if that says more about Ole Miss’ defense or less about Auburn’s newly-installed spread option offense.

A Sea of Blue -- Kentucky Sports for the Discerning Fan

by Truzenzuzex on Sep 15, 2008 6:09 AM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

South Carolina's Defense...

…is every bit as scary as ours. It’s a push deciding which is better, but considering the level of competition each has faced so far this season, I’m going with South Carolina.

Offensively…who knows…

by BBallSophist on Sep 15, 2008 12:37 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Went to my first UK football game in a decade on Saturday.

We had seats in the corner of the endzone right next to the MTSU band. As luck would have it… we were in the corner of the endzone closest to the near coronary as time expired; so I could practically see the shoestrings by which the tackle was made. Whew.

That said, I was in complete agreement with Coach Brooks to kick the field goal. In fact, prior to the kick my only concern was that it might seem like we were running up the score a la Florida v. Miami. In that situation, you take the points 10 times out of 10. Despite what you may see on ESPN, kicks don’t get blocked very often. It was the right decision. I will also give credit to Lonas Seiber on the run-back too. I’m certain he probably saw his life flashing before his eyes, but its not often you see the kicker successfully run down the return man on a play like that.

Lastly, Hartline did look like he was showing improvement. The receivers looked terribad. (Its a cross between terrible and bad… so you know its just plain awful.) There were a couple of deep passes that should have been caught that would have stretched the field as people seem to be clamoring for. Hartline actually did have one scramble that I remember being somewhat decent. Ultimately, what is obvious when watching the game is that the receivers and the QB are running plays from different playbooks. Too many times Hartline’s target would Zig when he clearly expected them to Zag.

Bottom line: The offense we saw on Saturday will not get the job done in SEC play.

Of course its difficult, its a shortcut... if it was easy it'd just be "the way."

by chirop1 on Sep 15, 2008 8:36 AM EDT reply actions   0 recs

Score

IMO anytime your team isnt up by more than a touchdown you need to go ahead and score and put it away. I dont think anyone would consider that running up the score at all.

DEEETROIT BASKETBALLL!!!

by davw83 on Sep 15, 2008 10:35 AM EDT reply actions   0 recs

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