Committing young -- Is it a bad thing?
As the reigning "King of Scold" on this blog, I feel it is incumbent upon me to make a few comments regarding the recent commitment of Michael Avery to an offer Coach Gillispie made to him via his father.
As I wrote earlier, it has become obvious since last year that obtaining the commitment of younger and younger players is no longer a theoretical -- it has become the cutting edge of college basketball recruiting. While many of the higher profile schools are able to recruit in the present fairly easily, non-elite programs or elite programs like Kentucky who have fallen on hard times recently have to be as innovative as possible. When coaches see their peers recruiting classes stuffed full of 5-star players while they fight with smaller universities for decent JUCO's, it is not surprising to see coaches like Gillispie employing every legal tactic to out-maneuver his competition.
Make no mistake -- recruiting this far in the future contains many risks. Verbal commitments, as everyone knows, are non-binding on either the university or the student athlete. That does not mean, however, that they are meaningless. Fortunately, most basketball coaches will live up to their commitment, even though we have seen far less inclination for students to do so -- we only need look at Scotty Hopson's change of heart to see how easy it is for the athletes. For coaches, it is tougher -- if an early recruit doesn't pan out, he will take a lot of flack for backing out on his word (unless, of course, his name is Rick Pitino ) after offering a scholarship so early. Indeed, one or two such back-offs may make future early commitments impossible -- once you get a reputation for doing something like that, your chances drop dramatically.
Be that as it may, many people (including yours truly) are concerned about the propriety of such early commitments. A lot of this is simply due to being old-fashioned and concerned about kids who are four or more years away from being considered an adult making such a big decision about their future so far in advance. But while that is maybe the gut-level response, I'll try to ignore that and look at this objectively. So let's take a look at arguments against and the counter-arguments for such a commitment:
- A kid that age is too young to make such an important life decision.
Counter: Because coaches cannot make direct contact with recruits before their junior year in high school, they must go through the young man's parents even to make such an offer. It is therefore impossible for the kid to make this decision without the informed consent of his parent(s)/guardian(s). Kids beginning at ages younger than this are always making life-changing decisions that we forget about -- whether or not to try sex, or drugs, or alcohol. To be a good student or not. To be a good person or not. Is this decision really more important?
Also, it is pretty much impossible for the kid to screw this up. He is making a decision about what college to attend -- for FREE! Gillispie has offered this young man an opportunity to attend the University of Kentucky and play basketball in return for the opportunity to obtain a priceless thing -- a college education. Even if Avery had decided to attend Podunk State University instead of Kentucky, he would still have the opportunity for a free education in return for playing a game. The way I see it, there is simply no way to screw this up no matter what school you choose (unless, of course, it is U of L, UNC or Duke -- then it would be a tragic error in judgment -- I kid, OK?).
- The player may plateau and not really be (_fill in your school here_) material.
Counter: How is this bad for the young man? I mean, we are talking about his interests here, not that of the offering school. Schools and coaches know that this is risky, and this is one of the risks.
- The player may (_get hurt, do drugs, go to jail, test out to be a moron, decide not to come_)!
Counter: See 2 above.
- Kids this young should be concentrating on (_school, being a kid, getting better, etc_).
Counter: Wouldn't it be easier to do all those things if you took the decision about which college to matriculate to off the table? You could ignore all the other advances from coaches and colleges and get yourself ready for your future. Removing this decision from the table early on relieves pressure on the kid. He doesn't have to worry about trying trying to make an impression on college coaches on the sometimes smarmy AAU circuit, which in any case does little to teach fundamental basketball skills. Instead, he can concentrate on fundamentals, playing in events in which his family can participate, and generally minimizing the negative impact and influences (posse, AAU coaches with agendas) of being a big-time, uncommitted prospect.
The best argument that can be made against this process, in my opinion, is that of buyer's remorse. If the kid later decides he made an error in judgment -- maybe his best friend went to a different school, or his parents moved, a girlfriend, or a family situation that makes him want to be closer to home -- it makes it easier for him to excuse backing out of his commitment. Make no mistake, I take a dim view of people who don't live up to their agreements, whether the NCAA considers them binding or not. The opportunities for an ethical breach by both parties are greatly magnified by such an early commitment.
But with that said, the opportunity for setting a good example are also magnified. How much more does it say about a kid (and a coach, for that matter) who kept their agreement over such a long period of time and with so many potential pitfalls? So the opportunity for being an ethical inspiration are also magnified. My feeling is also that this will be more of a test on the coaches than the kids -- sooner or later, something unforeseen is going to reduce the value of such an early commitment that puts real pressure on the coach. Also, what if the coach who accepted his commitment is no longer there? Will his successor be as willing to honor a commitment he did not make?
There are many opportunities for agreements such as this to fail, but none of them appear to be substantially more severe than the same pitfalls which could happen in a normal, junior year recruitment. In the final analysis, it looks to me like those of us (and I do include myself) who are uncomfortable with these situations need to think it through more carefully -- the negatives are there, but how bad can such a decision be when the adults are as involved as this? Do we really expect a kid in his junior year in high school to have better judgment than his parents? I say not likely, although it sometimes does happen. In the end, though, there are many opportunities over the interregnum between the 9th grade and college for this to be corrected. Can we say the same about a kid who waits until the late signing period to make his call?
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Comments
Ups and downs
I may be misremembering (thank you Roger Clemons) but I think Floyd last year was the first instance of taking a commitment from an 8th grader? If that's true, then it will be another 4 years or more before we can really see how these things turn out.
From Kentucky's standpoint, I do think it is (sadly) necessary right now so that we can get a "buzz" going on our recruiting again. *insert obligatory and inflammatory anti-Tubby rant here to increase post count*
by chirop1 on May 2, 2008 2:07 PM EDT 0 recs
Actually ...
Amazing, eh?
by Truzenzuzex on
May 2, 2008 2:09 PM EDT
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Still
by kentuckygirl0724 on May 2, 2008 2:12 PM EDT 0 recs
That would really suck!
by lccat on May 2, 2008 2:26 PM EDT 0 recs
It's a load to carry
by Fortunatus on May 2, 2008 2:33 PM EDT 0 recs
Huge Load to Carry
IF (caps for emphasis) he does handle those expectations for that long, watch out! If not, as Tru iterated earlier, we could have another Adam Williams.
by cpacat on
May 2, 2008 2:47 PM EDT
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He will ...
by Truzenzuzex on
May 2, 2008 2:58 PM EDT
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The linked story about Azubuike
"This is a nice kid who was a nice college player who will have to learn how to say "nice" in another language, because if his goal is to make money as a basketball player, he won't live again in the United States until he retires.
"
<Sarcasm>
Good call on that one Doyel.
<Sarcasm>
by sylvar on May 2, 2008 2:50 PM EDT 0 recs
Uncomfortable but accepting ...
I will add that if one of my children were to rise to such a lofty athletic level I would not allow or encourage them to committ at such a young age. My reasoning is two fold: As Tru notes, so much can change in 4 years, both at the university and within the family circle. Also, the pressure the young person feels may be amped up to an unteneable level. The pressure to perform can be overbearing for a college or professional player much less a 15 year old kid. Th maturity of the player, and the parents, will go a long way in determining how the player ultimately deals with the expected added pressure.
I do think it is possible that the opposite could be true too. As Tru states, the kid may feel relieved to get the committment out of the way, and play free and easy, knowing he doesn't have to impress scouts and coaches in order to recieve a schollie.
The best we as fans can do is hope the kid performs up to the standards we expect in a Kentucky basketball player, and if the kid has a less than stellar game, not crucify him on the message boards and blogs ala Dakota Euton. Of course it helps that Sherman Oaks ( I think that's his hometown) is on the other side of the world, so he won't have to perform in front of the critical eye of UK fans every night.
by Ken Howlett on May 2, 2008 3:12 PM EDT 0 recs
Which is the more pressure...
by hoopchi on May 2, 2008 4:21 PM EDT 0 recs
In the end ...
I don't worry about the school. We pay Gillispie big bucks to make the right decisions about recruiting. Until he gives me a reason to believe otherwise, I trust him in matters of talent evaluation.
by Truzenzuzex on
May 2, 2008 4:49 PM EDT
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A verbal is all it is...........
Also, both Avery and UK have every right to back off the commitment if necessary.
Personally, I feel that going after 8th graders can be tricky....HOWEVER, the kid and his parents put him in the AAU circuit...which in reality is a feeder to colleges and by doing so opens him up to recruitment....so, Coach happens upon Avery literally by accident and expresses that he is impressed....Avery's father makes two attempts to contact Coach G (because Coach can't call him back)and he is finally successful...coach offers...and 3 days later he commmits...wow.
I doubt coach pushed for the commitment...I think the quick commitment was on the Avery family's side of things....
I am disturbed about what Lee Todd said in public actually criticizing this recruitment....it seems very uninformed. Coach offered but I doubt very seriously that he expected a commitment this quick....too bad he could not have kept it quiet for a year.
Finally, what I do hope is that this long term recruiting philosophy will temper at least some of the yearly media speculation of Coach G leaving for another job...he keeps recruiting like this, his dream job will become his reality job....
by Chuck Alexinis on May 2, 2008 4:49 PM EDT 0 recs
BCG
by kykat51 on
May 2, 2008 11:09 PM EDT
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I agree with you.........
by Chuck Alexinis on
May 3, 2008 8:20 AM EDT
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1989 Was A Nightmare, So Was 1953
by FortyYearCatFan on
May 3, 2008 8:55 AM EDT
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This is the future.
Oh my gosh! Isn't that already happening? BCG is ahead of his time!!!
by oldkentucky on May 2, 2008 8:10 PM EDT 0 recs
This Won't Happen Often
But he saw the kid play ONCE. Never talked to him. The kid's Dad called him. TWICE. Finally he connected and Gillispie offered. Soon after, the kid accepted.
I hope that won't happen very often. Pitino saw Caros Toomer practice ONCE and offered him. He accepted soon after. We all know the rest of that story.
by FortyYearCatFan on May 3, 2008 7:56 AM EDT 0 recs
Rare Agreement
On the other hand I think some people are very good judges of ability, like right away I can tell if someone is a good software developer by watching them work. Or how Tiger Woods can evaluate a golf club. Perhaps Gillispie has something of that uncanny quality applied to evaluating basketball players.
Let's hope so! Again, it will be interesting to see how Avery turns out.
by EEWildcat on
May 3, 2008 3:48 PM EDT
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Good LHL Article Expressing Several Viewpoints
I rarely agree with Lee Todd. I do in this case.
by FortyYearCatFan on May 3, 2008 8:56 AM EDT 0 recs
15 year old 8th grader
If this young man is a 15 year old 8th grader, he will be 19 by the time he graduates from high school, meaning he is older than the typical 8th grader, to begin with.
This is May, in three and a half months he will be a 9th grader, and I assume we would all be a lot more comfortable with BG recruiting a 9th grader. So is this anxiety really because BG recruited him approximately 90 days sooner than we think he should have?
Lastly, as Tru so nicely pointed out, the University basketball program bears the risk here, not the student, who can clearly change his mind later if he wants to.
It is not unheard of for very young people to make a commitment to a sport; think of tiny gymnasts who move miles away from their families in order to train with a certain coach, or similar scenarios in other sports like competitive skating. Young musicians and young dancers sometimes make major life changes to work with an esteemed teacher, while child television and movie stars trade elementary school for a tutor on the set.
The point is, kids and parents do make atypical decisions all the time in pursuit of a dream.
by cat woman on May 3, 2008 9:37 AM EDT 0 recs
Regardless Of HS Grade
It's not a good way to do business.
by FortyYearCatFan on May 3, 2008 9:49 AM EDT 0 recs
You know the old saying
Too often in the last several years we have been caught snoozing. This doesn't bother me one bit.
by sylvar on
May 3, 2008 10:30 AM EDT
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Last Several Years (Let's Say 2004 On)
2005 = #1 rated JuCo (over TAMU, Gillispie = his 2nd choice) recruit.
2006 = 3 Top 50 recruits and Top 15 class.
2007 = Patterson and Lucas ready to commit in March 2007.
2008 = verbal from HS A-A recruit Draymond Green.
Snoozing?
by FortyYearCatFan on
May 3, 2008 2:18 PM EDT
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Last several years..
05 = no Final Four, #1 JuCo WOW WOW WOW
06 = no Final Four, nothing special at all
07 = no Final Four, it took BCG to lock in PP
08 = no Final Four
09+ = ?????????????????
by MyBloodRunsBlue on
May 3, 2008 5:28 PM EDT
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Snoozing Was Referring To Recruiting
by FortyYearCatFan on
May 3, 2008 6:59 PM EDT
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and..
by MyBloodRunsBlue on
May 3, 2008 8:41 PM EDT
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Adolph Rupp
That's 1 FF per 10 seasons. Only in 1951 did the NCAA tournament become THE national championship with all teams being conference champs.
I don't remember the outcry that you espouse.
by FortyYearCatFan on
May 3, 2008 8:53 PM EDT
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35 years ago?
Seriously, if you are going to attempt to defend Tubby's failure, you can certainly do better than that.
by MyBloodRunsBlue on
May 3, 2008 9:05 PM EDT
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Later If U Prefer
Which is typical? 4 in 34 years (59 thru 92) or 4 in 6 years (93 thru 98)???
by FortyYearCatFan on
May 3, 2008 9:34 PM EDT
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Seriously?
by MyBloodRunsBlue on
May 4, 2008 8:00 AM EDT
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Your comment is understandable ...
... and I would hope that he doesn't make that a habit, but I do believe it is possible to tell enough about a player's game after watching him once to offer him a scholarship.
It is risky, though, and if he turns out to be wrong, God help him. But that's why he makes the big bucks -- to make calls like this, and to make them correctly.
by Truzenzuzex on
May 3, 2008 11:26 AM EDT
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I wonder...
by MyBloodRunsBlue on
May 3, 2008 5:29 PM EDT
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Jared Carter
Passing judgment on Carter at this point is impossible since the kid has been hurt since he set foot on campus.
by Ken Howlett on
May 3, 2008 5:58 PM EDT
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More Than Once
Carter was offered by North Carolina, Illinois, Ga Tech, Boston College, Cincinnati, etc.
by FortyYearCatFan on
May 3, 2008 7:01 PM EDT
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OK
by MyBloodRunsBlue on
May 3, 2008 8:42 PM EDT
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Bob Gibbons On Mike Williams
Rank: #93 Hometown: Alexandria, VA
Bishop Ireton High School
Position rank: Center # 14
Ht: 7'0" Wt: 270
Last Updated:5/2/2008
Scouts Grade
87
by FortyYearCatFan on
May 3, 2008 8:56 PM EDT
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MyBloodRunsBlue on Mike Williams
Nice to see Tubby focus in in the #14 center. Please, continue, you make my points for me..
by MyBloodRunsBlue on
May 3, 2008 9:07 PM EDT
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UK Land Nothing Close To #14 Rated C In 2008 Or 09
by FortyYearCatFan on
May 3, 2008 9:35 PM EDT
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This ...
I don't see any reason for this member to be referred to as a "bigot." You may not agree with his points. That is fine.
Please stay away from personal comments like this. Let's try to stick to the subject under discussion and not affix labels to members.
by Truzenzuzex on
May 4, 2008 7:53 AM EDT
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Fair Enough
by FortyYearCatFan on
May 4, 2008 9:12 AM EDT
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I don't care.
by Truzenzuzex on
May 4, 2008 11:01 AM EDT
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Solid prospect?
Now, calling me a bigot is idiotic. You have no idea who I am, what I do or the color of my skin. I live in Florida not Louisville.
Now, had I called you some senile old man who who lives in the past and has an obvious insecurity about his race then I am sure my account would be shut down. News flash old timer, Tubby didn't fail at UK because he is black, he failed because of a poor recruiting shceme and bad assistant coaches. Here is another news flash for you Methuselah, Eddie Sutton, the white guy, was worse.
This makes the third time you have called someone a bigot. But, you will get a free pass as Truz allows your type of offensive posts since you kiss his rear like the rest.
by MyBloodRunsBlue on
May 4, 2008 8:11 AM EDT
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Lex H-L Article Today
by FortyYearCatFan on
May 4, 2008 9:13 AM EDT
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Enough.
And I don't appreciate your comment about me. I'd rethink doing that in the future, if I were you.
Let's drop it and move on, please.
by Truzenzuzex on
May 4, 2008 10:59 AM EDT
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Billy G
Not being rude- just saying that if he feels ok enough with this kid to offer then we should be too.
by davw83 on May 3, 2008 10:26 AM EDT 0 recs
I Already Said That
by FortyYearCatFan on May 3, 2008 2:16 PM EDT 0 recs
No doubt.
On the other hand, I can't strongly disagree with those who are skeptical in advance. It isn't as if anyone really has a track record on early commitments, and the one time UK has had one, it didn't work out.
by Truzenzuzex on
May 3, 2008 3:24 PM EDT
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Who hustled whom?
If Gillispie had really seriously offered a scholarship to an 8th grader, I would hope that he would be prescient enough to have tipped off the university president before the news became public. NCAA rules prohibit coaches from talking about such things, but kids and their parents can say anything they want. And they can tell newspapers anything they want.
Newspapers win national prizes by taking on sacred cows in their communities. That's why the Herald-Leader goes after UK basketball. Reporting this story on the front page is another example of the Herald-Leader going after UK basketball.
(I know something about the dynamics of news media reporting. I was a newspaper reporter for 15 years -- Kentucky, North Carolina, Wisconsin -- and then I represented governmental agencies in Kentucky for 25 years.)
I think Gillispie is a victim -- media wise -- in this situation. I suspect Billy was just trying to maintain serious contact, but the kid's CPA/attorney father was trying to nail down the deal. He announced the deal, knowing that under NCAA rules neither UK nor Coach Gillespie could talk about it.
This may be a very cynical analysis, but based on my years of experience dealing with how people behave in such situations, I think it is within the realm of plausibility.
by Fortunatus on May 3, 2008 8:03 PM EDT 0 recs
Great perspective.
Makes me wonder if the kid or the father has dreams of playing basketball at Kentucky?
by BigSkyCat on
May 3, 2008 8:28 PM EDT
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This can only
If having an eighth grader (soon to be in ninth!!!!) commit verbally helps create some recruiting interest then I am all for it. I've seen what Coach G can do with the kids, now I'd like to see him do the same thing with some five star top-10 super-radioactive off the chain from the hizzouse boom shock a laka mofo's. I wouldn't care if he recruited a sentient being from Jupiter's third moon as long as he can ball and represent the Big Blue well.
As for getting stuck with a peach pitt instead of the peach, there are many ways of diplomatically severing ties without coming off as a butthead. Honesty being the number one way.
Rock on Coach G to the bizzle.
(sorry)
by bluecrip on May 3, 2008 10:34 PM EDT 0 recs
Classic
I may not go that far, but that is funny.
by Ken Howlett on
May 3, 2008 11:54 PM EDT
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Heh ...
by Truzenzuzex on
May 6, 2008 6:54 PM EDT
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