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Time to take a stand and pick some teams -- The West and the Final Four


Finally, its time to pick the West region and the Final Four bracket.  The tournament begins today, so it won't be very long before we all have feedback on our choices.

I hope all of you elected to participate in A Sea of Blue's bracket challenge.  If you haven't, there is still time as of this writing to get your bracket selection in, and it is really easy.  This earlier post has details on how to do it, and if you can find a few minutes before the games begin today at 12:20 PM.

Moving along to the West bracket, there is another sentimental favorite of mine that will get some love from me -- Western Kentucky.  As most of you know, I am a Western alum, and I spent many more hours than I should have haunting E.A. Diddle Arena in the late hours on the main floor, shooting baskets and pretending I was playing in front of crowds.  It was (and still is) a wonderful place, and an excellent basketball facility.

But I digress.  Here are my picks for the wild and wooly West:

West:

First round:

Easy ones:

  • UCLA over Mississippi Valley State -- A 16 has never beaten a 1, and that won't change here.
  • Duke over Belmont -- I would love to pick Belmont, but no.
That's all the easy ones in this region.  Shocking?  Not if you think about the rest of the games.

Tough ones:
  • Connecticut over San Diego -- I think this could easily go the other way, but Thabeet aught to be too much for the Toreros.  Still, I wouldn't be at all shocked to see San Diego upset the Huskies.
  • BYU over Texas A & M -- BYU is a sleeper team in this tournament.  When they are playing their best, they are capable of beating anybody, and I mean anybody.
  • Purdue over Baylor -- Purdue is more of a grind it out half-court team, and Baylor loves to run.  I think Purdue can control the tempo in this one, and I think their defense wins out over the Bears' offense.
Upsets:
  • Arizona over West Virgina -- This is a very tough call, as the 7-10 games usually are, but I am going with Arizona.  I really don't know why, this one is more of a feeling than anything else.
  • Western Kentucky over Drake -- Gotta pick my alma mater.  This should be a very good game, and Drake will be very tough for Western to handle.  Courtney Lee will be the key to Western's success, and Darrin Horn needs to have the Toppers at the top of their defensive game.
  • Georgia over Xavier -- The Bulldogs are on a serious tear, and their defense is simply the best I have seen.  How the officials call this game will have a huge impact, but if they don't call it too closely, Georgia is more than capable of upsetting the Musketeers.  Xavier has not seen anything remotely like the Georgia defense, and I think they may well panic when they find how hard it is to score against them.

Second Round:
  • UCLA over BYU -- I just don't think the Cougars have quite enough to win this one, but it will be a very competitive game, and I would not be surprised if I was wrong.
  • Connecticut over Western Kentucky -- Western is at a huge size disadvantage against UConn, and I think that will be the difference.
  • Georgia over Purdue -- Call me crazy, but Purdue is full of young freshman and Georgia has lots of crafty veterans.  This Georgia team has turned a huge corner, in my opinion, and the SEC tournament shocker has forged them into a very dangerous team.
  • Duke over Arizona -- Well, I had to pick somebody.

Regional Semifinals:
  • Duke over Georgia -- The Cinderella slipper cracks.
  • UCLA over Connecticut -- Tough call, UCLA has done it all year, and I expect them to hang on here.

Regional Finals:
  • UCLA over Duke -- The Bruins should have enough to send the Blue Devils back to Durham.

FINAL FOUR:
  • Tennessee over Wisconsin -- I think the Vols have all they need to send the Badgers back home.  If this game happens, it should be a good one.
  • Memphis over UCLA -- Ben Ball finally runs into the unstoppable force.  Memphis has too many weapons for the Bruins, and as good as Love & Co. are, I think they are going to come up just short.

FINAL GAME:
  • Memphis over Tennessee -- The Tigers get revenge on the Vols for the earlier game.  We have seen these two teams battle it out before, and I think Calipari learned enough from the first game to get this one.  Final score -- 78-70.

There we go.  Comment away.

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Fingers crossed
I hope you are right Tru.  I can't bear to see UNC or UCLA win it...only slightly more bearable would be Kansas or Duke.   An all Tennessee final would make it at least a watchable game.

by sylvar on Mar 20, 2008 9:18 AM EDT reply actions  

Hear, hear
UNC gets no closer to us in NCs, UCLA gets no farther from us. Keep Coach K's ugly mug off the screen, and that's as good as we can hope for (barring a miracle run by the Cats.)

by Acdixon on Mar 20, 2008 9:47 AM EDT up reply actions  

Thanks for the details.
Picks are one of those things that tend to come back and haunt, so thanks for putting the thoughts up at risk of being proved wrong.  It's all for fun, so I'm glad to see you doing that.

I do have a question regarding your final game: if a UT/Memphis matchup did actually happen, would it have much of a national draw to it, other than it simply being the final game?  I know that in-state games tend to lose national interest unless it's UNC/Duke, but would the intensity of the first meeting bump that?  I ask because I think that game would officially turn Tennessee into a sanitorium, but it's hard to get a read on the rest of the country from inside the quadrilateral.

by David Hooper on Mar 20, 2008 9:19 AM EDT reply actions  

I think ...
that a Tennessee-Memphis final would have a reasonably strong national appeal, primarily because neither team has been there before, and because they are from the same state.

I don't really think the first meeting would make any difference.  It takes years and years for a genuine rivalry to be created, and although UT-Memphis have the makings of one and that angle will be played up by CBS, their lack of name recognition will minimize that subplot.

The state of Tennessee would definitely go nuts, and that is indisputable.  Nationally, though, I don't think most of what the Tennessee fans find exciting would be lost in translation.

Either way, though, if my prediction comes true, it will surely be a year to remember for the state of Tennessee.

by Glenn Logan on Mar 20, 2008 9:42 AM EDT up reply actions  

Georgia
I have Xavier over Duke too...they might not get the chance

Georgia looks SCARY GOOD against Zavier right now....

by BigSkyCat on Mar 20, 2008 1:17 PM EDT up reply actions  

As a U of Memphis alum...
I am pleased as punch to see someone taking the Tigers all the way!  I would love to see them take the gold, and yes, the state of Tennessee would likely erupt from both sides leaving just Nashville and Vandy in the middle shaking their collective heads in disbelief.

by BlueInNash on Mar 20, 2008 10:22 AM EDT reply actions  

West Region
This region is the easiest trip for the top seeded team UCLA.

Duke, Purdue, and Conneticut are all good teams, but much too flawed to make a serious run at the Bruins, I feel.

Darkhorse: Xavier(I know they are a 3, but no other team jumps out at me)

by Ken Howlett on Mar 20, 2008 2:23 PM EDT reply actions  

Sure fire, lead pipe lock, can't miss picks...
If  you want to win your office pool, just pick the opposite of my picks because, like death and taxes, you can be certain that my picks will leave at the bottom of the pool each and every year. With that said, I picked Kansas over Texas in the final. Good luck everyone.

by tooblue on Mar 21, 2008 10:15 AM EDT reply actions  

OH NO!
I have Kansas over Texas for the championship...

I was so sure no one would pick them, I figured I should seperate myself from the "chalk" picks a bit.  

I better take a look at your other picks...Yikes!

by BigSkyCat on Mar 21, 2008 10:30 AM EDT up reply actions  

Same here ...
when it comes to the NCAA tournament, I couldn't pick my nose.

by Glenn Logan on Mar 21, 2008 10:34 AM EDT up reply actions  

"Helen, you look like a Hellen"
Hellen, let me tell you why I suck picking tournament brackets.

I'm sure everyone out there has seen the movie Tommy Boy.  Remember the scene where Tommy explains to the waitress why he sucks as a salesman and then proceeds to destroy the dinner roll?  Well, you could easily insert me into that scene taking about my inability to pick a good bracket, the only good thing is that kansas is most definatly doomed.

by wldcatsfreak on Mar 21, 2008 11:48 AM EDT reply actions  

Wait... wait... wait...
Why do we follow Tru's commentary so closely???  According to the online pool, he is dead last out of 50!!!!

45 Sleepytimesbracket 12 - - - - - (Pittsburgh)
45 joeyandemily's 12 - - - - - (UCLA)
48 SB's Bracket 11 - - - - - (North Carolina)
48 EEWildcat 11 - - - - - (Georgetown)  
48 Truzenzuzex1 11 - - - - - (Memphis)

Just playin Tru.  ;-)  I still love your breakdowns.

by chirop1 on Mar 21, 2008 5:07 PM EDT reply actions  

Hey ...
I told you I was lousy at picking the tourney.

by Glenn Logan on Mar 22, 2008 4:37 PM EDT up reply actions  

Upsets!
WKU over Drake and and San Diego over Uconn.

Tru had a feeling on WKU...what Games!

by kykat51 on Mar 21, 2008 6:14 PM EDT reply actions  

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