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Is Barnhart Getting the Job Done?

Well, despite the fact that I researched this post back over the weekend in response to this article over at the SB Nation's UCLA site, Bruin Nation, other priorities have forced me to be a Johnny-come-lately to the subject.

What I am talking about is the National Association of Collegiate Directors of Athletics (which I will henceforth abbreviate as NACDA in response to the Carpal Tunnel Syndrome I got typing it the first time), which is a yearly measurement of the success of athletic programs throughout the nation.  At the end of the athletic year in June, they award what is called the "Director's Cup" for the best overall college athletics program in the country.  Obviously, we will be looking at this from the standpoint of the University of Kentucky in general, and Mitch Barnhart, the UK Athletics Director in particular.

For more very helpful background on this, please have a look at Mike's post at Card Chronicle.  In it, you will see a direct comparison between Louisville and UK since 1993.  What we will do, however, is look at Kentucky in comparison with some other major universities with respect to the NACDA Director's Cup, primarily ones that we might reasonably consider our rivals and peers, and see how we look to be doing per athletic dollar spent. To wit:

School Year 2003 – 2004 2004 – 2005 2005 – 2006 2006 – 2007 Average
Florida DC Final position 6 6 5 6 5.75
North Carolina DC Final position 8 9 4 3 6
Duke DC Final position 18 5 8 11 10.5
Tennessee DC Final position 14 8 14 7 10.75
UK DC Final position 45 35 33 45 39.5
UL DC Final position 106 50 54 28 59.5

Notice that I am looking at only the past 4 years, those of Barnhart's tenure as athletic director.  Now, a reasonable person might suggest that 4 years is far to short a time to grade an AD, and I might agree, but that is what we have.  It will be, at the very least, instructive to see how Kentucky's athletic department has performed during his tenure with respect to the measurements used in the Director's Cup.

Let's take a look at school athletic department expenditures. These may be found at the excellent Mid-Majority website. Crunching the numbers for the various schools I have examined, we will look at the 2006 athletic expenditures of each.  I have then ranked the schools by expenditures, highest to lowest, and calculated the cost of each position point on a dollar/point basis:

School Athletic Expenditures (US$) 2006 School Year Rank Average Director's cup position $$ Per Position
Florida $78,177,776.00 1 5.75 $797,933.10
Tennessee $66,165,792.00 2 10.75 $687,688.38
UK $57,137,604.00 3 39.5 $663,684.23
North Carolina $53,753,892.00 4 6 $549,140.48
Duke $49,802,048.00 5 10.5 $517,140.10
UL $45,109,660.00 6 59.5 $570,652.27

Instructive, is it not?  You would have to say that based on the last 4 years, North Carolina and Duke are getting an outstanding value for their athletic dollars spent.  UK and U of L, not so much.  Florida and Tennessee, even less so.

Obviously, with U of L reaching high to 28th this year and UK sinking back to 45th, and given the fact that U of L has a $13 M fewer dollars expended in athletics, U of L no doubt got a much bigger bang for their buck this year.  Also note that my figures don't take into account the change in athletic budgets over those years, so I am making an assumption that their relationships have been relatively constant.  That assumption may not be correct, and the impact on the figures could be significant.

I think the lesson to be learned from all this is that UK has a long way to go to provide the value for our athletic dollar that some of our peers have, particularly UNC and Duke University.  Is Barnhart giving us our money's worth?  Maybe, but he certainly has a lot of opportunities for improvement.  To be fair, though, Barnhart is fairly new to the job, and hopefully, his best years are before him.

[editor's note, by Truzenzuzex]  I just realized that I should explain the methodology I used in reaching the monetary amounts above.  Originally, I considered only universities in the top 100 in the director's cup standings, and subtracted their average position from 100, then divided their expenditures by that number.

Perhaps a better way to do it would be to consider all 284 universities.  So what I did in the updated table above was this:  I subtracted their average position from the total number of schools (284) and divided the result by the total number of schools, thereby giving a percentage.  I multiplied that percentage by 100, giving a whole number that would reflect that percentage (i.e. .95 = 95 points).  The new table more accurately reflects the expenditures per position.

The larger divisors in this table work out more favorably for U of L and less so for Kentucky, because it brings the divisors closer together and U of L's smaller budget shows better.  It also makes Duke's overall numbers even more impressive due to the same effects as U of L.

I wasn't trying to disrespect Duke or U of L in my initial table, I just find it easier to work with round numbers.  But I think this table better represents reality.

0 recs  |  Comment 11 comments

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Love it.
I have long hailed Barnhardt for the uptick in the non-revenue sports, but it looks like (a) the sample size is too small to see a noticeable difference or (b) those gains were temporary.

A few notes:

  • Baseball had its best season ever a year ago, and the coach is top tier.
  • Women's hoops did not make the expected rise under DeMoss, who is now gone. This could be a much better program, as the state of KY routinely produces major college -- read, Tennessee & Purdue -- talent.
  • The UK hoops program has underachieved mightily, despite paying its coach top dollar for three of those 4 seasons. One wonders what a top 10 finish in hoops might do for one's overall ranking.
  • Of those six schools looked at here, only UK can be said to have neither a top 20 football nor hoops program over the last 24 months. That is a significant factor, given the amount of funds spent on those alone.
But interesting stuff.

The Online home of Big Blue Nation ...

by JL Blue on Jul 3, 2007 11:09 AM EDT reply actions   0 recs

Indeed ...
I have also added further explanation of my methodology, and included a new table which probably more accurately reflects the $/position situation.

by Truzenzuzex on Jul 3, 2007 11:17 AM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

IMHO...
I think that those numbers are likely to change over the next 5 years. I'm personally still neutral on Barnhart, he just hasn't been there long enough to reap dividends on his changes. In a job like that, it could take years to get settled in and start seeing large changes to the bottom line.

I like all of his hires so far, and BCG can't possible do any worse to UKBB related sales.  I wonder what the numbers looked like for profit margins respective to the BB program over the last 5 years. I am willing to bet that royalties have suffered considerably with the fan base cooling because of the recent shortcomings. I'd say he'll be climbing up the list in the future.

by blueblood on Jul 3, 2007 11:36 AM EDT reply actions   0 recs

I would agree ...
but I will reserve judgment until I see it. I think by retaining Cohen, and hiring Gillispie, we may see immediate improvement next year. But we'll have to wait and see. I am not as sanguine about the new men's basketball coach, but again, I will take a wait and see attitude.

by Truzenzuzex on Jul 3, 2007 11:39 AM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Hmmm...
that's interesting, are you attempting to remain neutral about the outlook of his abilities as a floor general, or just skeptical of the profitability of said coach in $$$$$?

Were you possibly refering to a lack of confidence in the WOMEN'S BB coach instead of the Men's BB coach?

by blueblood on Jul 3, 2007 1:16 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

ASOB
ASOB has picked up some nice links at RochChalk whatever and John Clay's blog.

by davw83 on Jul 3, 2007 12:04 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

Yeah, I saw John's link ...
hard to miss it -- when he links us it jumps our traffic by 20%. I'll have to check out Rock Chalk Talk.

by Truzenzuzex on Jul 3, 2007 12:09 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Peers
You wrote:I think the lesson to be learned from all this is that UK has a long way to go to provide the value for our athletic dollar that some of our peers have, particularly UNC and Duke University.  Is Barnhart giving us our money's worth?

****

I believe you should rethink your conception of "peer" and consider dropping both Dook & UNC from your list of peers.

Dook is a private school with a large endowment with a different mission than state universities.  I do not think Dookies would consider UK a peer.

As a UNC alumnus, I consider UK a rival in basketball, but our peer schools are UVA, Michigan, Texas, California, UCLA, and maybe a few others.  You might look to VATech, Michigan State, Texas A&M, Fresno State, and Louisville as peer institutions.

by Ford Prefect on Jul 4, 2007 10:20 AM EDT reply actions   0 recs

Notice ...
I said "rivals and peers" in an earlier sentence.

Duke may not consider itself a peer university, but athletics-wise, it certainly qualifies.  The source of funding, as far as I'm concerned, is irrelevant - Duke publishes their athletic expenditures, and they are certainly within shouting distance of the other schools I listed.  Whatever mission they purport to serve, athletics is athletics.

The same is true of North Carolina from an athletics standpoint, which is all I'm really interested in.

The list of "peers" you have above for UK really perplexes me.  I'd love to know why you chose them.

by Truzenzuzex on Jul 4, 2007 11:49 AM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

what a pretentious....
load of BS! When I see UNC show up in the Ivy league, I consider you as a premium academic college.

by blueblood on Jul 5, 2007 11:20 AM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

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